Bohemians over 0.5
Market 72.5% · BetBugs 78%
Bohemians have scored regularly away and St Patrick's home defence has been beatable, so an away goal is well supported.
Premier DivisionFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Bohemians are two points above St Patrick's going into the final round, and the recent derbies have been tight and low on goals.
A close game with Bohemians' away scoring the likeliest route through. Bohemians to score at 1.38 is the only reviewed price that holds up; under 3.5 goals at 1.36 and St Patrick's to win or draw at 1.29 do not.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Bohemians over 0.5Market 72.5% · BetBugs 78%
Bohemians have scored regularly away and St Patrick's home defence has been beatable, so an away goal is well supported.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 72% · Market 73.5%
Both recent scoring profiles and the head-to-head point to a game short of four goals.
BetBugs 66% · Market 77.5%
Home advantage and a good recent home head-to-head make St Patrick's hard to beat, though Bohemians are a serious away side.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The 1.36 price requires 73.5%, above our 72.0% estimate.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | St Patrick'sQualifying | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 53-28 | 60 |
| 2 | BohemiansQualifying | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 60-42 | 62 |
