St Patrick's11 – 1Dundalk1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Given St Patrick's fortress-like home record and Dundalk's struggle to win on the road, the hosts are highly unlikely to lose, making the double chance a strong safety net.

• St Patrick's have lost only 2 of 12 home league matches this season.
• Dundalk have won only 3 of 12 away matches, with 6 draws.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, St Patrick's have 2 wins, Dundalk 2 wins, and 1 draw.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonSt Patrick's or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

St Patrick's recent home matches have seen both teams score frequently, and Dundalk's consistent away scoring record, despite defensive frailties, makes it likely both nets will be found.

• Both teams scored in 4 of St Patrick's last 5 home matches.
• Dundalk have scored in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
• Dundalk have conceded in 10 of their last 12 away matches.
• St Patrick's have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 5 home matches.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Dundalk's poor away defensive record, with clean sheets in just 17% of road games, against a St Patrick's side that almost always scores at home makes an away clean sheet highly improbable.

• Dundalk have kept only 2 clean sheets in 12 away matches this season.
• St Patrick's have failed to score in only 1 of 12 home matches.
• St Patrick's have scored in 11 consecutive home matches across all competitions.
• Dundalk conceded in 10 of their last 12 away matches.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSt Patrick's to scoreEstimated chance75%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have a strong record of first-half goals, and the H2H history shows early action, making it very likely that at least one goal will be scored before halftime.

• St Patrick's have scored a first-half goal in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
• Dundalk have conceded a first-half goal in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
• In 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, there was at least one first-half goal.
• St Patrick's average 0.9 first-half goals; Dundalk average 0.9 first-half goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

With the match likely to be competitive and both teams capable of scoring late, the second half could see multiple goals, especially if the game opens up after the break.

• St Patrick's home matches average 1.5 second-half goals (calculated from total goals minus first-half goals).
• Dundalk away matches average 1.8 second-half goals.
• In 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings, there were 2+ second-half goals.
• Both teams tend to push for results in the second half given European race stakes.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and recent matches indicate a combined average near the 10 mark, though the lack of consistent corner data makes this a lower-confidence call.

• St Patrick's average 5.8 corners per game overall; Dundalk average 6.0.
• In St Patrick's last 5 home matches with corner data, total corners averaged 10.2.
• In Dundalk's last 5 away matches with corner data, total corners averaged 9.4.
• The last H2H at this venue had no corner data, but both teams' styles suggest attacking width.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined card averages and the high-stakes nature of the match suggest a slightly above-average card count, though disciplinary data can be volatile.

• St Patrick's average 1.6 yellow cards per game; Dundalk average 2.2.
• In St Patrick's last 5 home matches, total cards (yellow+red) averaged 3.8.
• In Dundalk's last 5 away matches, total cards averaged 4.2.
• The match has European qualification implications, which could increase intensity and fouls.