New England Revolution3New York Red Bulls2

HT 1–0Wed 28 Oct 2026, 23:30 Predictions graded

Predictions5–363%

Edges4–357%

PossPossession 51%–49%ShotsShots 9–20On targetOn target 4–11CornersCorners 2–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 28 Oct 2026, 03:32 · Europe/Bucharest

Second-placed New England host ninth-placed New York, and the home record plus a five-match run of home wins in this fixture points to New England avoiding defeat.

The 1.33 for win or draw reflects that without offering extra. Five of the quoted prices hold up: under 3.5 goals at 1.75, under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.78, New York under 1.5 goals at 1.67, over 9.5 corners at 1.62 and New York over 3.5 corners at 1.50.

Context

New England have not beaten New York since March 2025, when they won 2-1 at home, and the February 1-0 is the only 2026 meeting on the record. A five-match run of home wins says more about venue than about either squad. It keeps this fixture awkward for the visitors even with the 16-point gap in the standings.
- New York Red Bulls beat New England Revolution 1-0 on 28 February 2026 in Major League Soccer.
- Across the five head-to-head meetings listed from 11 May 2024 to 28 February 2026, the home team won every match.
The Independence Day design was released at the start of the 2026 season and is designated as New England's 2026-27 kit for this fixture. Its use on October 28 is a matchday presentation detail at the home venue. It is relevant supporter-facing context rather than a late change to personnel or match arrangements.
- The Independence Day design was released at the start of the 2026 season.
- The design serves as New England's kit through the 2026-27 campaigns.
- New England will wear it for the October 28 match.
ConfirmedSources checked 28 Oct 2026, 03:29 · Europe/BucharestMatchday Guide: Revs vs. Red Bull New York, October 28, 2026www.revolutionsoccer.net · 26 Oct 2026
The October 26 matchday information places this fixture at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough with a 7:30 p.m. ET start. It resolves the otherwise unspecified venue and gives the relevant stadium-entry timetable. The information concerns supporter access and scheduling, not a change to the teams' preparation.
- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
- Parking opens at 5:30 p.m. ET, or 4:30 p.m. ET for Season Members.
- Gates open at 6:30 p.m. ET, or 6:15 p.m. ET for Season Members.
ConfirmedSources checked 28 Oct 2026, 03:29 · Europe/BucharestMatchday Guide: Revs vs. Red Bull New York, October 28, 2026www.revolutionsoccer.net · 26 Oct 2026
Mascot Night is part of the October 28 event programme, including Fan Zone appearances and the halftime mascot match. That makes it a specific part of the Gillette matchday setting for this fixture. The activity is scheduled around the game rather than affecting the teams' selection or tactics.
- October 28 is designated as Mascot Night.
- New England mascots will be in the Fan Zone.
- The annual Halftime Mascot Soccer Match will take place.
ConfirmedSources checked 28 Oct 2026, 03:29 · Europe/BucharestMatchday Guide: Revs vs. Red Bull New York, October 28, 2026www.revolutionsoccer.net · 26 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 6

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33
The read
New England's strong home record and NYRB's poor away form make the home side clear favourites to avoid defeat.
- New England are 10W-2D-3L at home this season, scoring 27 and conceding 16 in 15 home games.
- NYRB are 5W-3D-7L away, with 17 goals for and 27 against in 15 away games.
- The home team has won all five recent meetings in this fixture.
- New England sit 2nd on 55 points; NYRB are 9th on 39.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonNew England Revolution or DrawEstimated chance76%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Both teams' season goal averages and recent scorelines point to a match that stays below four total goals.
- New England's matches average 3.20 total goals (1.67 for, 1.53 against).
- NYRB's matches average 2.40 total goals (1.0 for, 1.4 against).
- NYRB away matches average 2.89 total goals (1.22 for, 1.67 against).
- Nine of the last 12 combined matches finished under 3.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 3.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.78
The read
Both teams produce little in the first half, so a low-scoring opening period is well supported.
- New England average 0.93 first-half goals for and 0.67 against.
- NYRB average 0.47 first-half goals for and 0.60 against.
- Five of New England's last six first halves had one goal or fewer.
- Four of NYRB's last six first halves had one goal or fewer.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.11
The read
New England's home scoring rate and NYRB's leaky away defence make at least one home goal likely.
- New England average 1.67 goals per match and have scored in 12 of 15.
- New England scored 27 goals in 15 home league games (1.8 per game).
- NYRB have conceded 27 goals in 15 away league games and kept one clean sheet in nine away matches in the split.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonNew England Revolution over 0.5Estimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67
The read
NYRB's low scoring output makes it more likely they are held to one goal or none.
- NYRB average 1.0 goal per match overall and 1.22 away.
- NYRB scored 0 or 1 in four of their last six matches.
- New England have kept two clean sheets in 15 matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostNew York Red Bulls under 1.5Estimated chance62%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both teams' season corner averages sit above the line, and New England's recent matches have consistently cleared it.
- New England average 5.6 corners for and 5.87 against (11.47 per match).
- NYRB average 5.4 corners for and 5.93 against (11.33 per match).
- All six of New England's recent matches had 10+ total corners.
- Three of NYRB's last six had 10+ total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
NYRB's corner volume and New England's high concession rate make four away corners likely.
- NYRB average 5.4 corners per match.
- NYRB took 4+ corners in five of their last six matches.
- New England concede 5.87 corners per match.
BetBugs · Away CornerswonNew York Red Bulls over 3.5Estimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' season shot averages sit below the line, and recent matches have mostly stayed under it.
- New England's matches average 28.1 total shots (14.33 for, 13.8 against).
- NYRB's matches average 27.5 total shots (15.07 for, 12.47 against).
- Under 29.5 total shots landed in eight of the last 12 combined matches.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonUnder 29.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 3W

L1-0New York Red BullsvNew England RevolutionFeb 28, 2026MAJ

L5-3New York Red BullsvNew England RevolutionJul 16, 2025MAJ

W2-1New England RevolutionvNew York Red BullsMar 29, 2025MAJ

W1-0New England RevolutionvNew York Red BullsJun 8, 2024MAJ

L4-2New York Red BullsvNew England RevolutionMay 11, 2024MAJ

3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	New England Revolution Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)	31	17	4	10	51-42	55	WWWLL
9	New York Red Bulls Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	31	11	6	14	41-56	39	WLLWL