CSKA Sofia22 – 0Ludogorets Razgrad0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

CSKA's perfect home league record and unbeaten run make a home win or draw the most likely combined outcome against a strong but not dominant Ludogorets.

• CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in the league (8W-3D-0L) and have won all 5 home league matches.
• Ludogorets are also unbeaten in the league (8W-2D-0L) but have drawn once away.
• The last five head-to-heads produced two CSKA wins, two Ludogorets wins and one draw.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonCSKA Sofia or DrawEstimated chance66%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.33

The read

The recent meetings have been tight and Ludogorets' defensive record points to a controlled game rather than a high-scoring one.

• All five recent head-to-heads finished under 3.5 goals (totals: 1, 1, 0, 3, 3).
• Ludogorets concede only 0.85 goals per competitive match and kept 5 clean sheets in 13.
• CSKA concede 1.33 per match overall, while Ludogorets score 2.00.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

CSKA's consistent scoring at home makes it likely they find at least one goal.

• CSKA have scored in 13 of 15 competitive matches and in all six recent games.
• CSKA have scored 17 goals in five home league matches.
• Ludogorets conceded 4 goals in four away league matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonCSKA Sofia over 0.5Estimated chance85%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Both sides start cautiously and rarely trade first-half goals, so a first half without both teams scoring is the stronger side of this market.

• CSKA's first-half goals against average is 0.67; Ludogorets' is 0.38.
• Both teams scored in the first half in only 1 of CSKA's last 6 and 2 of Ludogorets' last 6.
• Ludogorets' first-half goals for average is 0.92 and CSKA's is 0.80.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

A top-two derby with two competitive teams is likely to produce enough cards to clear 4.5.

• CSKA's matches average about 5.4 total cards including reds (2.58 yellow for, 2.50 against).
• Ludogorets' matches average about 4.5 total cards including reds (1.80 yellow for, 2.40 against).
• Recent CSKA games against Nordsjaelland and CSKA 1948 produced 9 and 8 cards.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' shot volumes sit below the line, and recent matches have not produced a high shot count.

• CSKA's matches average 29.8 total shots (18.7 for, 11.2 against) in 6 tracked games.
• Ludogorets' matches average 20.3 total shots (12.4 for, 7.9 against) in 7 tracked games.
• All five recent matches with shot data finished under 31.5 total shots.