First LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
CSKA Sofia are strong favourites and should win, but the odds are too short to offer value.
Avoid the home win (1.29) and double chance (1.06); the HT/FT market is especially overpriced. No clear betting edge exists in this match.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
CSKA SofiaBetBugs 72% · Market 77.5%
CSKA Sofia's home form and historical H2H dominance are strong, but the odds imply a higher probability than our model estimate, leaving no value.
BetBugs 92% · Market 94.3%
CSKA Sofia's unbeaten H2H run and home strength make a loss unlikely, but the odds offer no value relative to our estimate.
CSKA Sofia at half-time / CSKA Sofia at full-timeBetBugs 42% · Market 55.6%
The market is pricing a home win with a half-time lead as more likely than our model suggests, given CSKA Sofia's tendency to start slowly.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 77.5% leaves no cushion vs our 72% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Sofia Play-offs | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8-3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Botev VratsaRelegation Playoffs | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 1 |