Yes
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 65%
Botev's consistent scoring and Ludogorets' occasional defensive lapses make it likely both teams find the net, as they have in recent H2H clashes.
First LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Ludogorets are strong favorites but offer no value at 1.50; the best betting angle is both teams to score at 1.67, where our 65% estimate beats the implied 59.9%.
Expect an open game with goals, but tread carefully on first-half markets given Ludogorets' slow starts and Botev's early resilience.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 65%
Botev's consistent scoring and Ludogorets' occasional defensive lapses make it likely both teams find the net, as they have in recent H2H clashes.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Ludogorets RazgradBetBugs 55% · Market 67%
Ludogorets' perfect start and home advantage, combined with Botev's poor away form and key midfield absence, give the hosts a clear edge.
BetBugs 80% · Market 88%
Ludogorets' strong home form and historical dominance make a home defeat unlikely, especially with Botev missing a key midfielder.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 67% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ludogorets RazgradPlay-offs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8-3 | 12 |
| 7 | Botev PlovdivPlay-offs playoffs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7-6 | 7 |

