FC Stockholm Internazionale3Assyriska 0

HT 0–0Sat 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges2–625%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Oct 2026, 01:10 · Europe/Bucharest

FC Stockholm's eight-match league winning run meets an Assyriska side whose league results have come mainly away from home.

The leaders are still the likelier winners, but 1.36 asks more than their record supports. The quoted prices that hold up are Assyriska to avoid defeat at 2.9, under 2.5 goals at 2.75, the draw at 5 and at least one team kept out before half-time at 1.22.

Context

Assyriska's goalkeeper was named in Uganda's group for the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifier against Libya on 29 September, with friendlies against DR Congo completing the same window. That window runs into the weekend of this fixture, so the club cannot plan its goalkeeping with certainty for a game in the closing weeks of the season. Assyriska carry two other senior goalkeepers, and the DR Congo dates are not fixed, so an absence from Saturday's squad is a possibility rather than a settled fact.
- Uganda's group for the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifier against Libya on 29 September included Assyriska goalkeeper Kingdom Osayi.
- Osayi, 22 and listed at 1.98m, was part of the Uganda setup for that qualifier, with friendlies against DR Congo to follow in the same window.
- K. Osayi started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Oct 2026, 01:07 · Europe/Bucharest
FC Stockholm have taken maximum points in Ettan Norra since a 0-2 loss at Vasalund on 9 August, a stretch that includes a 5-2 home win over Stocksund and a 2-1 comeback at Sollentuna on 26 September. Continuity of results is the defining condition of the home side coming into this fixture and the reason the game reads as a test of whether the run holds. A 0-3 Svenska Cupen defeat by Hammarby FF on 26 August is the only interruption in the period, and the last two league wins came by a single goal and two goals after earlier four-goal wins.
- FC Stockholm have won their last eight Ettan Norra matches, from a 4-1 home win over Arlanda on 16 August to a 2-1 win at Sollentuna on 26 September.
- The most recent league win was a 2-1 comeback at Sollentuna on 26 September, and the previous home league game was a 5-2 win over Stocksund on 17 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Oct 2026, 01:07 · Europe/Bucharest
FC Stockholm's tracked season has been unusually binary — 13 wins and two defeats since early June, with nothing shared.
The sample runs from 8 June to 26 September and is emphatically decisive: 13 wins, no draws and two defeats, with 2.67 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game and eight clean sheets. Stalemates have not vanished from the club's season — their 24-game league record includes three draws — but none of them fall inside this stretch. Two of the last five meetings with Assyriska did end level, which is the counterweight the visitors can point to.
- Tracked competitive window, 8 June to 26 September 2026: 15 matches, 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats.
- In the same 15-match sample FC Stockholm average 2.67 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game, with eight clean sheets.
Assyriska's season reads two ways depending on the venue, and Saturday sends them away from home.
The visitors concede 29 goals in 12 home league games but only 13 in 12 away, and they have won five on the road against four at home. Their tracked away results include a 2-0 win at Järfälla on 29 August and a 5-1 win at Vasalund on 21 September, with a 1-2 defeat at Enköping on 10 September in between. Saturday takes them to the league leaders, and their most recent outing was a 1-2 home defeat by Piteå on 27 September.
- Ettan Norra 2026 standings fetched 1 October 2026: Assyriska's away record is 12 games — 5 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats, 17 goals scored and 13 conceded.
- Their home record in the same 24-game season is 12 games — 4 wins, 2 draws, 6 defeats, 26 scored and 29 conceded.
- Overall the side sits 8th on 32 points from 24 league games, with 9 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
FC Stockholm's league-leading form and strong home scoring make them clear favourites.
- FC Stockholm top the table on 54 points with a 17-3-4 record; Assyriska are 8th on 32.
- FC Stockholm have won their last eight league matches and all of their last six competitive games.
- At home in the tracked window they are 7W-0D-1L with 2.88 goals scored per game.
- Assyriska's away record is 5W-3D-4L in the league and they have lost three of their last six.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFC Stockholm InternazionaleEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.78
The read
FC Stockholm's first-half scoring and Assyriska's low away first-half output favour a home lead at the break.
- FC Stockholm average 1.07 first-half goals and 0.4 conceded overall.
- At home they average 1.25 first-half goals and 0.63 conceded.
- FC Stockholm led at half-time in three of their last six matches.
- Assyriska average 0.29 first-half goals away.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFC Stockholm InternazionaleEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
FC Stockholm's strong second-half scoring and Assyriska's tendency to concede later favour a home second-half win.
- FC Stockholm average 1.6 second-half goals and 0.33 conceded overall.
- They won the second half in five of their last six matches.
- Assyriska average 1.21 second-half goals and 0.79 conceded overall.
- FC Stockholm's home second-half average is 1.63 goals for and 0.38 against.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonFC Stockholm InternazionaleEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
FC Stockholm's league-leading form and strong home scoring make them clear favourites. Draw is possible because recent head-to-head meetings include two stalemates.
- FC Stockholm top the table on 54 points with a 17-3-4 record; Assyriska are 8th on 32.
- FC Stockholm have won their last eight league matches and all of their last six competitive games.
- Two of the last five head-to-head meetings were draws.
- FC Stockholm have drawn none of their last 15 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFC Stockholm Internazionale or DrawEstimated chance83%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
FC Stockholm's first-half scoring and Assyriska's low away first-half output favour a home lead at the break. FC Stockholm often start slowly at home, making a level first half plausible.
- FC Stockholm average 1.07 first-half goals and 0.4 conceded overall.
- At home they average 1.25 first-half goals and 0.63 conceded.
- FC Stockholm were level at half-time in three of their last six matches.
- Assyriska's away first-half average is 0.29 goals for and 0.43 against.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonFC Stockholm Internazionale or DrawEstimated chance83%

Goals6 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score regularly and recent matches have been high-scoring.
- FC Stockholm average 2.67 goals scored and 0.73 conceded in 15 tracked games.
- Assyriska average 1.86 scored and 1.36 conceded in 14 tracked games.
- FC Stockholm's last six matches averaged 3.67 total goals; Assyriska's last six averaged 4.0.
- Three of the last five head-to-head meetings had at least three goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Assyriska's consistent scoring and FC Stockholm's strong attack make both teams scoring likely.
- Assyriska have scored in all six recent matches and in all five head-to-head meetings.
- FC Stockholm have scored in 13 of 15 tracked games.
- Assyriska's away split shows they scored in five of seven away games.
- Both teams scored in five of Assyriska's last six matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
FC Stockholm's home scoring rate and recent form point to them scoring at least twice.
- FC Stockholm average 2.88 goals per home game in the tracked window.
- They scored at least twice in all of their last six matches.
- They scored in seven of eight home games.
- Assyriska concede 0.86 goals per away game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonFC Stockholm Internazionale over 1.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
FC Stockholm's defence is strong enough to keep Assyriska to one goal or fewer.
- FC Stockholm concede 0.73 goals per game overall and 1.0 at home.
- FC Stockholm have eight clean sheets in 15 tracked games.
- Assyriska scored one or none in three of their last six matches.
- Assyriska's away average is 1.71 but they were held to one at Enköping.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonAssyriska under 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Assyriska's consistent scoring makes a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Assyriska scored in all six recent matches.
- Assyriska scored in all five head-to-head meetings.
- FC Stockholm's home split shows five goals conceded in eight games.
- Assyriska average 1.71 goals per away game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostAssyriska to scoreEstimated chance75%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
FC Stockholm's scoring consistency makes an away clean sheet unlikely.
- FC Stockholm scored in 13 of 15 tracked games.
- FC Stockholm scored in seven of eight home games.
- FC Stockholm scored in all of their last six matches.
- Assyriska conceded in four of seven away games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFC Stockholm Internazionale to scoreEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Assyriska's scoring habit makes a win-to-nil less likely than other home wins.
- Assyriska scored in all six recent matches.
- Assyriska scored in all five head-to-head meetings.
- FC Stockholm's home clean sheets are three in eight games.
- FC Stockholm have 13 wins in 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · Home Win to NillostNoEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18
The read
Both teams have recent first-half goals, though FC Stockholm have had several goalless first halves.
- FC Stockholm's first-half matches average 1.47 total goals overall.
- Assyriska's first-half matches average 1.21 total goals overall.
- Over 0.5 first-half goals landed in five of Assyriska's last six matches.
- FC Stockholm had first-half goals in three of their last six.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
FC Stockholm's early defensive record and Assyriska's limited away first-half scoring point to at least one team not scoring before the break.
- FC Stockholm have not conceded a first-half goal in their last six matches.
- Assyriska scored first-half goals in only two of their last six matches.
- FC Stockholm concede 0.4 first-half goals per game overall.
- Assyriska average 0.29 first-half goals away.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half scoring rates and FC Stockholm's recent totals make over 1.5 second-half goals likely.
- FC Stockholm's last six matches all had at least two second-half goals.
- FC Stockholm average 1.6 second-half goals and 0.33 conceded.
- Assyriska average 1.21 second-half goals and 0.79 conceded.
- Assyriska's away second-half average is 1.43 goals for and 0.43 against.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance68%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The 1.36 price requires 73.5%, above our 60.0% estimate.

Prediction history

FC Stockholm Internazionale: 6/6 recent winner projections matched

6 of 6 comparable winner projections favouring FC Stockholm Internazionale matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for FC Stockholm Internazionale6 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

1 Aug·Ettan - Norra