IF Karlstad
Market 56% · BetBugs 65%
IF Karlstad are unbeaten away (4W-1D) with 8 goals scored and only 2 conceded, while Assyriska have lost 3 of 5 at home and conceded 16.
Ettan - NorraFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
IF Karlstad's unbeaten away record (4W-1D) and promotion drive give them a clear edge over a leaky Assyriska side.
The best value is on Karlstad to win at 1.80, with a 9-point edge over implied probability. Avoid over 3.5 goals and first-half BTTS, as Karlstad's strong defense should limit scoring.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
IF KarlstadMarket 56% · BetBugs 65%
IF Karlstad are unbeaten away (4W-1D) with 8 goals scored and only 2 conceded, while Assyriska have lost 3 of 5 at home and conceded 16.
Market 80% · BetBugs 85%
IF Karlstad have lost only 1 of 12 league matches this season, while Assyriska have won just 2 of 12, making the away side highly likely to avoid defeat.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 62.5%
Assyriska's home games average 5.6 total goals, and their leaky defense (3.2 conceded per home game) should combine with Karlstad's efficient attack to produce at least three goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Assyriska | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17-26 | 10 |
| 2 | IF Karlstad | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20-6 | 29 |

