St. Mirren1Hibernian1

HT 0–0Wed 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 42%–58%ShotsShots 11–9On targetOn target 3–1CornersCorners 3–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Oct 2026, 04:07 · Europe/Bucharest

St Mirren are sixth and at home, but Hibernian have taken all seven of their league points on the road and are unbeaten in the last five meetings.

St Mirren avoiding defeat is the likely result. St Mirren to win or draw at 1.75, Hibernian to score under 1.5 goals at 1.91 and both teams to score – No at 2.38 each offer something; Under 3.5 goals at 1.50 and a first-half goal at 1.25 do not.

Context

Hibernian officially announced Reedijk's first match in charge on 10 October, and club posts have documented his subsequent league fixtures against Falkirk and Celtic. This Paisley trip is therefore only his fourth Premiership match at the helm. Early in a managerial appointment, selection and tactical preferences can still be taking shape for the next fixture. Hibernian had not published a specific plan or squad update for St Mirren in the available material.
- Hibernian said Reedijk would take charge of his first game as Hibs manager at Dundee United on 10 October.
- The club posted Reedijk's reaction following the 25 October Premiership match against Celtic.
ConfirmedSources checked 27 Oct 2026, 04:04 · Europe/Bucharest
That result shows Hibernian can score three away from home in this fixture, but it is one match from November 2025 rather than a current guarantee. St Mirren had won their latest home league game 2-1 against Dundee on 24 October, so the venue has not been a fortress.
- 8 November 2025: St Mirren 0-3 Hibernian in the Premiership.
That split makes the trip to Paisley more credible than the bottom-place tag alone suggests, because Hibernian have already won twice away in the league. Their four away games have produced five goals for and five against, so they have been competitive rather than prolific. St Mirren's home league record is 2W-1D-2L, which keeps the home edge real but not overwhelming.
- After 10 Premiership games: Hibernian are 12th with 7 points, away record 2W-0D-2L, home record 0W-1D-5L.
- Hibernian's four away league games: 5 goals for, 5 against.
Hibernian's 15 October statement confirmed that Block Seven would miss the fixtures against Falkirk, Celtic and St Mirren. The sanction directly affects the makeup of Hibernian's travelling support at this match. It is a supporter-context development rather than a confirmed change to the squad or tactical setup. The ban applies to that named group, not to Hibernian supporters generally.
- Hibernian announced the three-match sanction on 15 October after incidents following the Dundee United away fixture on 10 October.
- The club named the away fixture at St Mirren as the third match covered by the sanction.
ConfirmedSources checked 27 Oct 2026, 04:04 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75
The read
St Mirren are higher, at home and just won, while Hibernian are struggling in the league, so St Mirren avoiding defeat is the stronger result side.
- St Mirren are 6th on 13 points; Hibernian are 12th on 7.
- St Mirren's home league record is 2W-1D-2L; Hibernian's away record is 2W-0D-2L.
- Hibernian's last five league form reads L-L-L-D-L.
- St Mirren won their most recent home match 2-1 against Dundee.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSt. Mirren or DrawEstimated chance62%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Hibernian away games and recent meetings have been low-scoring, so staying below four goals is the likelier side.
- Hibernian's seven away matches have produced only 8 total goals (4 scored, 4 conceded).
- All six of Hibernian's recent matches stayed under 3.5 total goals.
- Four of the last five head-to-head meetings stayed under 3.5.
- Four of St Mirren's last six matches stayed under 3.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Hibernian have been low-scoring, especially away, so keeping them to one goal or none is the more likely outcome.
- Hibernian have scored four goals in seven away matches, an average of 1.14.
- Hibernian's overall scoring average is 1.13 goals per match.
- Hibernian scored one goal or fewer in five of their last six matches.
- Hibernian have three clean sheets in seven away matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonHibernian under 1.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.38
The read
Hibernian's away defence and St Mirren's recent blanks make a clean sheet for at least one side more likely than both scoring.
- Hibernian kept three clean sheets in seven away matches and conceded only four.
- Only three of Hibernian's seven away matches had both teams score.
- St Mirren failed to score in three of their last six matches.
- Three of the last five head-to-heads had at least one side blanked.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance57%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both teams' recent first halves have usually produced at least one goal, and their season first-half averages point the same way.
- St Mirren average 1.67 first-half goals in their matches (0.87 for, 0.80 against).
- Hibernian average 1.40 first-half goals in their matches (0.60 for, 0.80 against).
- St Mirren's last six first halves contained a goal in five.
- All six of Hibernian's recent first halves contained a goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance78%

Match stats2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' season and recent shot-on-target totals hover around the line, with St Mirren home games especially active.
- St Mirren's matches average 9.4 shots on target (4.1 for, 5.3 against); at home 10.7.
- Hibernian's matches average 8.1 shots on target (3.9 for, 4.2 against).
- Five of St Mirren's last six matches had eight or more shots on target.
- Hibernian's last six totals were 6, 8, 12, 4, 14 and 7.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 7.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' season corner totals sit around eleven per match, so the 9.5 line is a reasonable target despite some low recent games.
- St Mirren's matches average 10.9 total corners (4.55 for, 6.36 against).
- At home St Mirren's matches average 11.3 total corners.
- Hibernian's matches average 10.9 total corners (5.29 for, 5.57 against).
- Four of Hibernian's last six matches had 10 or more corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
St Mirren have regularly been out-cornered, so Hibernian or a draw in the corner count is the more supported side.
- St Mirren have lost the corner count in five of their last six matches.
- St Mirren average 4.55 corners and concede 6.36 per match.
- Hibernian average 5.29 corners and concede 5.57 per match.
- Hibernian won or drew the corner count in three of their last six.
BetBugs · Corners Double ChancewonDraw or Hibernian on cornersEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The available first-half corner counts for both teams are low, with no recent total above five.
- St Mirren's first-half corner matches average 4.33 total corners (2.33 for, 2.00 against).
- Hibernian's first-half corner matches average 3.67 total corners (1.33 for, 2.33 against).
- Recent first-half corner totals for St Mirren are 3, 5 and 5.
- Recent first-half corner totals for Hibernian are 3, 5 and 3.
BetBugs · 1st Half CornerswonUnder 5.5 corners in 1st halfEstimated chance68%