PremiershipFull time

Predictions graded

St. Mirren1St Johnstone0

HT 0–0Sat 8 Aug 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–736%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 13–9On targetOn target 4–2CornersCorners 5–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 3 Aug 2026, 08:51 · Europe/Bucharest

St Johnstone's scoring streak (14 of last 15 matches) makes over 0.5 away goals highly probable, but the 1.33 odds offer no edge.

Better value lies in both teams to score (1.67) and over 2.5 goals (1.80), where our estimates narrowly beat the market. Avoid match-winner bets due to tight pricing and defensive uncertainties on both sides.

Context

St Johnstone beat Kilmarnock 4-3 on 2 August after leading 2-1, falling 3-2 behind within six minutes.
- Goalkeeper hesitation and an own goal contributed to the three goals conceded.
- St. Mirren scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
McLeish took over in March 2026 and guided St. Mirren to survival through a 2-1 aggregate playoff win over Partick Thistle.
- He was given the permanent role on 5 June 2026.
- St. Mirren opened the season with a 2-0 away win at Falkirk, suggesting early progress.
Gullan assisted three goals in the 4-3 win over Kilmarnock.
- St. Mirren kept only 4 clean sheets in their last 15 matches across all competitions.
- St Johnstone have scored in 14 of their last 15 matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

St. Mirren or Draw

1.33fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 75.2%

0.0ppshort

St. Mirren's strong home H2H record and St Johnstone's unproven away form at this level make a home win or draw highly likely, though the odds are tight.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
St. Mirren's strong H2H record at home and St Johnstone's defensive volatility from their opener give the hosts an edge, though St Johnstone's attacking threat keeps it close.
- St. Mirren won 4 of last 6 H2H league meetings, including 3-1 at home in Oct 2024.
- St. Mirren opened season with 2-0 away win at Falkirk, keeping a clean sheet.
- St Johnstone conceded 3 goals in their opener vs Kilmarnock, showing defensive instability.
- St. Mirren averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSt. MirrenEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
St. Mirren's home H2H strength and St Johnstone's defensive questions make a home win or draw highly likely, with St Johnstone's away form unproven at this level.
- St. Mirren lost only 1 of last 5 home H2H meetings (W3 D1 L1).
- St Johnstone have not won away in Premiership this season (0 played, but promoted side).
- St. Mirren's last 15 matches: 7 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses overall.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSt. Mirren or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With both teams capable of leading at the break but also showing resilience, a draw at halftime is a plausible outcome given the balanced first-half stats.
- St. Mirren led at halftime in 47% of matches, trailed in 33%.
- St Johnstone led at halftime in 53% of matches, trailed in 13%.
- Last H2H at this venue was 0-0 at halftime.
- Both teams scored first-half goals in only 1 of last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by St. Mirren pulling away is a plausible scenario given their H2H dominance and St Johnstone's second-half defensive lapses.
- St. Mirren won 4 of last 6 H2H, often after tight first halves.
- St Johnstone led at halftime in 53% of matches but have defensive issues.
- St. Mirren's last 5 home matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with 3 draws at halftime.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/St. MirrenEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
St Johnstone's high-scoring opener and the H2H trend of goals, combined with both teams' attacking intent, suggest over 2.5 goals is probable.
- St Johnstone's opener had 7 total goals (4-3 vs Kilmarnock).
- 4 of last 6 H2H meetings had over 2.5 goals.
- St. Mirren averaged 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against in last 15; St Johnstone 2.3 for and 0.6 against in last 15 (skewed by lower-league opponents).
- Both teams scored in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
St Johnstone's defensive fragility and attacking creativity, plus St. Mirren's consistent scoring at home, make both teams scoring likely.
- Both teams scored in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings.
- St Johnstone scored 4 in their opener but conceded 3.
- St. Mirren scored in 4 of last 5 home matches across all competitions.
- St Johnstone's Jamie Gullan created 3 goals in opener, showing attacking threat.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St. Mirren's home scoring record against St Johnstone and the visitors' leaky defense support over 1.5 home goals.
- St. Mirren scored 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 home H2H meetings.
- St. Mirren averaged 1.7 goals per game over last 15 matches.
- St Johnstone conceded 3 goals in their only Premiership match this season.
- St. Mirren scored 2 goals in their season opener away.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostSt. Mirren over 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
St Johnstone's consistent scoring form and St. Mirren's occasional defensive lapses make an away goal highly probable.
- St Johnstone scored in 14 of last 15 matches across all competitions.
- St Johnstone scored 4 goals in their Premiership opener.
- St. Mirren kept only 4 clean sheets in last 15 matches.
- St Johnstone won last H2H at this venue 1-0 in Feb 2025.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostSt Johnstone over 0.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have strong first-half scoring records recently, making a first-half goal very likely.
- St. Mirren led at halftime in 47% of last 15 matches; St Johnstone in 53%.
- St Johnstone scored first-half goals in 4 of last 5 matches (all competitions).
- St. Mirren scored first-half goals in 3 of last 5 matches.
- H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings had a first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St. Mirren's high corner count and the last H2H total suggest over 9.5 corners is possible, though St Johnstone's data is sparse.
- St. Mirren averaged 6.2 corners per game over last 15; opponents averaged 5.1.
- St Johnstone averaged 4.0 corners in limited data (only 2 matches with corner stats).
- Last H2H at this venue: St. Mirren 7 corners, St Johnstone 5 (total 12).
- St. Mirren's opener had 14 total corners (7 each).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St. Mirren's disciplinary record and the competitive nature of the fixture could push total cards over 3.5, though St Johnstone's low card count tempers confidence.
- St. Mirren averaged 1.9 yellow cards per game over last 15; opponents 1.5.
- St Johnstone averaged 1.5 yellow cards in limited data (2 matches).
- Last H2H at this venue: St. Mirren 2 yellows, St Johnstone 0 (total 2).
- St. Mirren's opener had 4 yellow cards (all for St. Mirren).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 47% leaves no cushion vs our 42% estimate; price already reflects the directional read and offers no value.

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 3W

W0-1ST MirrenvST JohnstoneFeb 1, 2025PRE

W2-3ST JohnstonevST MirrenDec 14, 2024PRE

L3-1ST MirrenvST JohnstoneOct 30, 2024PRE

L2-0ST MirrenvST JohnstoneFeb 24, 2024PRE

L1-0ST JohnstonevST MirrenDec 6, 2023PRE

St Johnstone: 2 clean sheets2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Premiership 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	St. Mirren Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	1	1	0	0	2-0	3	W
2	St Johnstone Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)	1	1	0	0	4-3	3	W

St. Mirren leads the leagueSt Johnstone leads the league

Recent Form

St. Mirren

W2-0FalkirkAug 1PRE

L0-1DunfermlineJul 26LEA

W4-3East KilbrideJul 21LEA

W4-0Cove RangersJul 18LEA

W4-0DumbartonJul 11LEA

W4-2ArbroathJun 27FRI

W1-0PartickMay 25PRE

D1-1PartickMay 21PRE

D1-1Dundee UtdMay 17PRE

W2-0AberdeenMay 12PRE

L0-3KilmarnockMay 9PRE

L0-1DundeeMay 2PRE

L0-2LivingstonApr 25PRE

L0-1CelticApr 11PRE

W2-0AberdeenApr 4PRE

St Johnstone

W4-3KilmarnockAug 2PRE

L0-1Inverness CTJul 21LEA

W3-0MortonJul 18LEA

W2-0Linlithgow RoseJul 14LEA

W4-2Cove RangersJul 11FRI

W3-0MontroseJul 4FRI

W4-0Forfar AthleticJun 30FRI

W1-0Ayr UtdMay 1CHA

W2-0Raith RoversApr 24CHA

W2-0DunfermlineApr 21CHA

W4-0Airdrie UnitedApr 11CHA

W4-2ArbroathApr 4CHA

D1-1Queen's ParkMar 28CHA

D0-0PartickMar 20CHA

W1-0Ross CountyMar 14CHA

Squad & Injuries

St. Mirren

34 available

Attackers8

Midfielders14

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

St Johnstone

27 available

Attackers6

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 2.5

St. Mirren or Draw

Over 0.5

Over 0.5

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals0 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Yes

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

St. Mirren

St Johnstone

Squad & Injuries

St. Mirren

St Johnstone