Draw
Market 32.3% · BetBugs 35%
First leg was 0-0 and both teams show balanced recent form, making a draw a strong possibility in this high-stakes second leg.
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The tie is level at 0-0, and a low-scoring, tight match is expected.
The best value is Over 0.5 second-half goals at 1.40 (75% model probability vs 71.4% implied). Avoid the match winner market and first-half Under 1.5 goals, as both are overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 32.3% · BetBugs 35%
First leg was 0-0 and both teams show balanced recent form, making a draw a strong possibility in this high-stakes second leg.
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 60%
First leg ended 0-0 and both teams average under 1.6 goals scored per match, supporting a low-scoring second leg.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
First leg produced no goals and Hibernian kept clean sheets in 3 of last 6 home matches, suggesting at least one side may fail to score.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 37% vs our estimate 30% leaves no value; the home side is overpriced relative to their actual chance.

