Hibernian1Celtic2

HT 1–2Sun 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–275%

Edges5–271%

PossPossession 39%–61%ShotsShots 13–15On targetOn target 2–4CornersCorners 2–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 00:25 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom-placed Hibernian, winless at home in the league, host a Celtic side with four away wins from four, though the visitors arrive three days after a Europa League defeat.

Celtic should take the points, but 1.55 asks for more than the form justifies. Three prices do offer something: Celtic to score twice or more at 1.50, not both teams scoring in the first half at 1.25, and over 10.5 corners at 1.65.

Context

Reedijk became Hibernian manager in September, shortly before this Celtic fixture. A recent managerial change can affect selection and match preparation while the new coach establishes his approach. The evidence does not describe a specific tactical change or expected starting side for this match.
- Hibernian dismissed David Gray in September 2026.
- Marink Reedijk replaced Gray as Hibernian manager.
- Hibernian were bottom after a 2-1 home loss to Falkirk.
ReportedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 00:23 · Europe/BucharestHibernian vs Celtic Scottish Premiership previewthecelticbhoys.com · 24 Oct 2026
Hibernian have two injury absences for Celtic, while Cadden and McGrath have resumed match involvement from the bench. That changes the available group for Reedijk's selection and provides two returning options. The evidence does not establish whether either returnee is ready to start.
- Adam Mayor is unavailable through injury.
- Rocky Bushiri is unavailable through injury.
- Nicky Cadden and Jamie McGrath returned from the bench against Falkirk.
ReportedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 00:23 · Europe/BucharestHibernian vs Celtic Scottish Premiership previewthecelticbhoys.com · 24 Oct 2026
Celtic played Celta Vigo on Thursday, three days before the Sunday trip to Hibernian. The short turnaround is a concrete preparation and recovery consideration for this fixture. The evidence does not identify any planned rotation or fitness issue arising from that match.
- Celtic lost 2-1 at home to Celta Vigo on 22 October 2026.
- Mika Baur scored first for Celtic.
- The defeat was Celtic's third straight Europa League loss.
ReportedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 00:23 · Europe/BucharestHibernian vs Celtic Scottish Premiership previewthecelticbhoys.com · 24 Oct 2026
Celtic scored five first-half goals in that win, a week before the trip to Easter Road.
The scoreline shows how quickly Celtic can turn an afternoon, and it came a week before this fixture. The caution sits in the shot count: Hearts had 20 attempts to Celtic's 18, so the seven goals were a finishing spike rather than complete control of the game.
- 18 October 2026: Celtic 7-1 Heart of Midlothian in the Premiership, 5-1 at half-time.
- Celtic had 18 shots to Hearts' 20, with 10 on target against 5.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 2 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Celtic's perfect away league record and Hibs' winless home record make an away win the clear sporting outcome.
- Celtic are top with 24 points from 9 league games (8W-0D-1L), including 4W-0D-0L away, 10 goals scored and 2 conceded.
- Hibernian are bottom with 7 points from 9, and their home league record is 0W-1D-4L with 4 scored and 9 conceded.
- Celtic have won three of the last five meetings, including 2-1 at Easter Road in May 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCelticEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17
The read
Hibernian rarely lead at half-time at home, while Celtic usually avoid a first-half deficit.
- Hibernian average 0.25 first-half goals at home and 1.00 first-half goals against at home.
- Celtic average 0.86 first-half goals away and 0.71 first-half goals against away.
- Hibernian were behind at half-time in each of their last three home league games.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or CelticEstimated chance84%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Hibs' low home scoring and Celtic's strong away defence make it unlikely Hibs score twice.
- Hibernian have scored 4 goals in five home league games (0.8 per match).
- Celtic have conceded only 2 goals in four away league games (0.5 per match).
- Hibernian have failed to score in one of their last three home league matches and scored once in each of the other two.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonHibernian under 1.5Estimated chance73%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Celtic's away scoring rate and Hibs' home concession rate both point to Celtic scoring at least twice.
- Celtic average 2.14 goals per away match across seven competitive away games.
- In the league Celtic have scored 10 goals in four away games (2.5 per match).
- Hibernian have conceded 9 goals in five home league games (1.8 per match).
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonCeltic over 1.5Estimated chance71%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Hibernian's very low first-half home scoring makes it unlikely both sides find the net before the interval.
- Hibernian average 0.25 first-half goals at home; they scored once across their last three home league first halves.
- Hibernian concede 1.00 first-half goals at home on average.
- Celtic average 0.86 first-half goals away and 0.71 first-half goals against away.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both teams' league goal profiles and recent meetings lean toward a moderate-scoring game.
- Hibernian's five home league games average 2.6 total goals (4 scored, 9 conceded).
- Celtic's four away league games average 3.0 total goals (10 scored, 2 conceded).
- Four of the last five meetings finished with three goals or fewer.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance61%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Both teams' home and away corner profiles point to a match above ten corners.
- Hibernian average 7.57 corners at home and concede 5.43, a home total of about 13.0.
- Celtic average 7.67 corners away and concede 4.67, an away total of about 12.3.
- Hibernian had 15 corners against Kilmarnock at home and 6 against Falkirk.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 10.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' card averages sit near four, with a competitive match likely to edge over the line.
- Hibernian home matches average 3.86 total yellow cards (1.57 for, 2.29 against).
- Celtic away matches average 3.50 total yellow cards (1.33 for, 2.17 against).
- Hibernian's last two matches produced six and four yellow cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance58%