IK Oddevold7GIF Sundsvall0

HT 1–0Fri 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–192%

Edges5–183%

PossPossession 51%–49%ShotsShots 29–4On targetOn target 12–2CornersCorners 10–1

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Oct 2026, 21:22 · Europe/Bucharest

A bottom club with five goals in 13 away league games visits an Oddevold side that has beaten them twice in a row.

Oddevold should win, but 1.33 for the home victory does not pay enough. The prices that hold are both teams to score – No at 1.95, under 2.5 goals at 2.5, and both teams to score – No in the first half at 1.2, which offers only a thin edge.

Context

Sundsvall have lost four of their last five league matches and were beaten 1-0 at home by IFK Värnamo on 18 October, leaving them bottom of Superettan as the season runs out. That makes the visit to Uddevalla one of the last realistic chances to stay in touch with the teams above them, so the match carries unusual weight for the visitors. Oddevold arrive from a 3-1 defeat at Östers IF on 17 October and host a side with little left to protect in the table. Limitation: the relegation picture is not finalised and Sundsvall still have later fixtures against direct rivals, so this is high-stakes context rather than a decider.
- GIF Sundsvall lost 1-0 at home to IFK Värnamo on 18 October 2026.
- The result left Sundsvall bottom of Superettan with the season in its closing rounds.
- Sundsvall have lost four of their last five league matches.
ConfirmedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:20 · Europe/Bucharest
Oddevold's season profile is built on winning the ball back high, a figure no other Superettan side matches, and it lines up against a Sundsvall team that has created the fewest chances and scored the fewest goals in the division. The shape of the game therefore looks like long spells of Oddevold pressure and a visiting side that must escape its own half before it can threaten. Oddevold still lost 3-1 at Östers IF on 17 October, so the press has not guaranteed control lately. Limitation: these are season aggregates from third-party modelling, not a read on Friday's selection or shape.
- Oddevold regain possession in the opposition half more often than any other team in Superettan.
- Sundsvall create the fewest chances in Superettan and have scored the fewest goals in the league.
ReportedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:20 · Europe/Bucharest
Sundsvall's away results have split hard between wins and defeats, with no draw in 13 league trips.
Thirteen away league games have produced two Sundsvall wins, no draws and 11 defeats, with five goals scored and 29 conceded. There is no middle ground in those results, and the scoring figure explains why their away games have usually gone the home side's way. Oddevold's home record of five wins and four draws in 13 games keeps a stalemate plausible, though Sundsvall have not managed one yet.
- Sundsvall away league record, 2026 Superettan: 13 played, 2 wins, 0 draws, 11 defeats, 5 goals for, 29 against (snapshot 22 October 2026).
- Overall league record: 27 played, 6 wins, 1 draw, 20 defeats, 19 goals for, 58 against.
Oddevold have won the two most recent meetings between the clubs, which is the only recent head-to-head evidence available for a fixture that otherwise sits at opposite ends of the table. It frames the game as a familiar matchup for the home side and a record Sundsvall are trying to interrupt while chasing survival points. Both teams come in from defeat, Oddevold 3-1 at Östers IF on 17 October and Sundsvall 1-0 at home to Värnamo a day later. Limitation: two meetings is a thin basis for a pattern and neither was played in the current table situation.
- Oddevold won each of the two most recent meetings with GIF Sundsvall.
- The clubs meet at Rimnersvallen in Uddevalla on Friday 23 October at 19:00.
ReportedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:20 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Oddevold are higher in the table and face a bottom side with a poor away record, so the home win is the strongest outcome.
- Oddevold are 6th with 39 points; Sundsvall are last with 19.
- Sundsvall's away record is 2W-0D-11L with 5 goals scored and 29 conceded.
- Oddevold's home record is 5W-4D-4L and they have won the last two meetings.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonIK OddevoldEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.73
The read
Oddevold's home first-half scoring and Sundsvall's weak away first-half defence point to an early home lead.
- Oddevold average 0.86 first-half goals at home; Sundsvall concede 1.13 first-half goals away.
- Sundsvall average 0.13 first-half goals away.
- Oddevold's overall first-half goals against average is 0.67.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonIK OddevoldEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Oddevold are higher in the table and face a bottom side with a poor away record, so the home win is the strongest outcome. Oddevold's home record has a high draw rate and the match can stay tight despite Sundsvall's low position.
- Oddevold are 6th with 39 points; Sundsvall are last with 19.
- Sundsvall's away record is 2W-0D-11L with 5 goals scored and 29 conceded.
- Oddevold have drawn 4 of 13 home league games.
- Sundsvall have drawn 0 of 13 away league games.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonIK Oddevold or DrawEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Oddevold's home first-half scoring and Sundsvall's weak away first-half defence point to an early home lead. Both teams' first-half scoring is low, so the half-time draw is a strong alternative to a home lead.
- Oddevold average 0.86 first-half goals at home; Sundsvall concede 1.13 first-half goals away.
- Sundsvall average 0.13 first-half goals away.
- Oddevold average 0.6 first-half goals for and 0.67 against overall.
- Sundsvall average 0.21 first-half goals for and 0.93 against overall.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonIK Oddevold or DrawEstimated chance84%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.50
The read
Sundsvall's very low away scoring makes a total below 2.5 more likely than an open game.
- Sundsvall average 0.25 goals scored in eight away matches tracked.
- Oddevold average 1.43 goals at home.
- Sundsvall's away matches average 2.63 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Sundsvall's away scoring is so limited that Oddevold keeping them out is the stronger side of both-teams-to-score.
- Sundsvall failed to score in 6 of 8 away matches tracked.
- Oddevold kept 3 clean sheets in 7 home matches tracked.
- Sundsvall have scored five goals in 13 away league games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
The first-half goal rates on both sides make at least one goal before the break more likely than a 0-0 half.
- Oddevold's home first-half total is 1.43 goals.
- Sundsvall's away first-half total is 1.25 goals.
- Oddevold's overall first-half total is 1.27 goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Sundsvall rarely score before half-time, making both teams scoring in the first half unlikely.
- Sundsvall scored only three first-half goals in 14 tracked matches.
- Sundsvall's away first-half goals average is 0.13.
- Oddevold have conceded 10 first-half goals in 15 tracked matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance88%

Match stats4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Oddevold's home corner volume and Sundsvall's low away share point to a total above 8.5.
- Oddevold average 8.0 corners at home; Sundsvall average 2.2 away.
- Sundsvall's away opponents average 7.2 corners.
- Oddevold's overall corners average is 6.43.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Oddevold's home shot volume and Sundsvall's tendency to concede shots support a total above 20.5.
- Oddevold average 15.5 shots at home; Sundsvall average 5.4 away.
- Sundsvall's away opponents average 17.4 shots.
- Oddevold's overall shots average is 12.1.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 20.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Oddevold's home shot accuracy and Sundsvall's high shots-on-target conceded away point to over 7.5.
- Oddevold average 4.5 shots on target at home; Sundsvall average 1.8 away.
- Sundsvall's away opponents average 8.2 shots on target.
- Oddevold's overall shots on target average is 4.1.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 7.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides' card averages are low and Sundsvall's away matches have produced few bookings.
- Oddevold average 1.25 yellow cards at home; Sundsvall average 0.6 away.
- Sundsvall's away opponents average 0.6 yellows.
- Oddevold's overall yellow average is 1.43.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance68%