SuperettanFull time

Predictions graded

GIF Sundsvall1Falkenbergs2

HT 1–1Sun 26 Jul 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–367%

Edges4–180%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Jul 2026, 00:08 · Europe/Bucharest

Falkenbergs are strong favorites to beat bottom-side GIF Sundsvall, with a 65% win probability offering a 16-point edge over the 2.05 odds.

Back Falkenbergs to win and score Over 1.5 goals, while Both Teams to Score – No is also value given Sundsvall's attacking woes and H2H clean sheets. Avoid Over 2.5 goals and 1st Half Over 0.5 goals, which are fairly priced or overvalued.

Context

Per Joar Hansen appointed head coach on 7 July, with Lars Lagerbäck as advisor.
- Yacqub Finey sold to Excelsior on 1 July; Suwaibou Kebbeh recalled by Hammarby on 6 July after 13 appearances.
- Eron Gojani signed on 10 July and Shalom Ekong on 15 July as attacking replacements.
Last three H2Hs: 1-0, 3-0, 0-0; Sundsvall scored 0 goals.
- Falkenbergs are unbeaten in the last five meetings (2 wins, 3 draws).
- Sundsvall have scored only 8 goals in 8 home games this season.
Falkenbergs played a league game at home on 21 July.
- Sundsvall's last match was on 20 July, giving them an extra day of rest.
- Falkenbergs' away form is strong (4 wins in 7), but fatigue could be a factor.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Falkenbergs' strong promotion push and dominant H2H record, combined with GIF Sundsvall's relegation form and attacking rebuild, make an away win highly likely.
- Falkenbergs are 3rd with 28 points from 14 games, while GIF Sundsvall are bottom with 9 points from 15 games.
- Falkenbergs have won 4 of 7 away games this season, scoring 19 goals.
- GIF Sundsvall have lost 6 of 8 home games, conceding 20 goals.
- H2H last 3: Falkenbergs won 1-0 and 3-0, with a 0-0 draw; GIF Sundsvall failed to score in all three.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFalkenbergsEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given the massive gap in form and H2H dominance, Falkenbergs are extremely unlikely to lose; a draw is the worst-case scenario for them.
- GIF Sundsvall have lost 12 of 15 league games this season.
- Falkenbergs have lost only 2 of 14 league games.
- H2H last 5: Falkenbergs unbeaten (2 wins, 3 draws).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or FalkenbergsEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Falkenbergs' strong starts and GIF Sundsvall's habit of falling behind early suggest the visitors will lead at the break.
- Falkenbergs have led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 league games.
- GIF Sundsvall have trailed at half-time in 60% of their matches this season.
- H2H last meeting: Falkenbergs led 1-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFalkenbergsEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Falkenbergs' ability to start strong and control games against weaker opponents makes a half-time/full-time double a solid possibility.
- Falkenbergs have led at half-time and won in 3 of their last 5 league games.
- GIF Sundsvall have lost 12 of 15 games, often trailing early.
- H2H last meeting: Falkenbergs led at half-time and won.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableFalkenbergs/FalkenbergsEstimated chance50%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Falkenbergs' high-scoring away form and GIF Sundsvall's leaky defense point to a match with at least 3 goals, despite the home side's attacking struggles.
- Falkenbergs' away games average 4.6 total goals (19 scored, 13 conceded in 7 games).
- GIF Sundsvall's home games average 3.5 total goals (8 scored, 20 conceded in 8 games).
- Falkenbergs have scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 league games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
GIF Sundsvall's attacking woes, especially against Falkenbergs historically, make it likely that the home side will not score, even if Falkenbergs find the net.
- GIF Sundsvall have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home games.
- GIF Sundsvall have scored only 8 goals in 8 home games this season.
- H2H last 3: GIF Sundsvall failed to score in all three meetings.
- Falkenbergs have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 away games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
GIF Sundsvall's attacking rebuild and historical struggles against Falkenbergs suggest a high chance of a clean sheet for the visitors.
- GIF Sundsvall have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home games.
- Falkenbergs have kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 away games.
- H2H last 3: Falkenbergs kept 3 clean sheets against GIF Sundsvall.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostGIF Sundsvall not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Falkenbergs' potent attack, especially on the road, against the league's worst defense makes it very likely they score at least twice.
- Falkenbergs have scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 league games.
- Falkenbergs average 2.7 goals per away game this season.
- GIF Sundsvall concede 2.5 goals per home game on average.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonFalkenbergs over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Falkenbergs' tendency to start quickly and GIF Sundsvall's early defensive lapses make a first-half goal likely.
- Falkenbergs have scored in the first half in 4 of their last 5 league games.
- GIF Sundsvall have conceded in the first half in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Falkenbergs average 0.8 first-half goals per game this season.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With Falkenbergs likely pushing for goals and GIF Sundsvall's defense tiring, the second half should see at least 2 goals.
- Falkenbergs' away games average 2.3 second-half goals (based on 4.6 total goals and typical distribution).
- GIF Sundsvall concede 1.4 second-half goals per home game on average.
- Falkenbergs have scored in the second half in 5 of their last 6 league games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner averages and the open nature of Falkenbergs' away games suggest a total above 8.5 corners, though data is limited.
- GIF Sundsvall average 4.8 corners per game, Falkenbergs average 5.4.
- Combined average corners in their matches: 10.2 per game.
- Recent H2H (April 2026): 11 corners total.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The desperation of GIF Sundsvall and the competitive nature of the fixture could push the total cards over 3.5, though evidence is thin.
- GIF Sundsvall average 1.6 yellow cards per game, Falkenbergs 0.9.
- Combined average: 2.5 cards per game, but recent H2H saw 3 cards.
- Relegation-pressure matches often see increased discipline issues.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 3D · 2W

L1-0Falkenbergs FFvGIF SundsvallApr 25, 2026SUP

L3-0Falkenbergs FFvGIF SundsvallSep 19, 2025SUP

D0-0GIF SundsvallvFalkenbergs FFJun 1, 2025SUP

D1-1GIF SundsvallvFalkenbergs FFNov 2, 2021SUP

D1-1Falkenbergs FFvGIF SundsvallAug 7, 2021SUP

Falkenbergs unbeaten in 5 meetingsFalkenbergs: 3 clean sheets1.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Superettan 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	GIF Sundsvall Relegation	15	3	0	12	12-34	9	LLLLW
3	Falkenbergs Promotion - Allsvenskan (Promotion)	14	8	4	2	28-20	28	WWDLW

19pt gap between teamsGIF Sundsvall in relegation zone

Recent Form

GIF Sundsvall

L1-3Norrby IFJul 20SUP

L0-2Ostersunds FKJun 27SUP

L2-5HelsingborgJun 21SUP

L0-4Osters IFJun 15SUP

W1-0Orebro SKJun 10SUP

L0-3SandvikenMay 30SUP

L0-1Varbergs BoIS FCMay 24SUP

W2-1Landskrona BoISMay 18SUP

L0-1Ljungskile SKMay 14SUP

L1-3IFK NorrkopingMay 9SUP

L1-3OddevoldMay 2SUP

L0-1Falkenbergs FFApr 25SUP

L1-2IK brageApr 20SUP

L0-3IFK VarnamoApr 14SUP

W3-2United NordicApr 6SUP

Falkenbergs

W6-0LaholmJul 17FRI

L1-2Landskrona BoISJul 11FRI

W4-2IK brageJun 26SUP

W3-1Osters IFJun 21SUP

D1-1Orebro SKJun 14SUP

L2-4SandvikenJun 9SUP

W2-1OddevoldMay 30SUP

W3-1IFK VarnamoMay 23SUP

W4-1United NordicMay 17SUP

L0-3Varbergs BoIS FCMay 13SUP

D2-2Ostersunds FKMay 9SUP

W1-0IFK NorrkopingMay 5SUP

W1-0GIF SundsvallApr 25SUP

D2-2Norrby IFApr 19SUP

W2-1Landskrona BoISApr 12SUP

Squad & Injuries

GIF Sundsvall

29 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2

Falkenbergs

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders6

Defenders9

Goalkeeper6

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Falkenbergs

Draw or Falkenbergs

Falkenbergs at half-time / Falkenbergs at full-time

Over 1.5

No

Over 0.5

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

GIF Sundsvall

Falkenbergs

Squad & Injuries

GIF Sundsvall

Falkenbergs