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Predictions graded

Norrby IF3GIF Sundsvall1

HT 0–0Mon 20 Jul 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 58%–42%ShotsShots 7–2On targetOn target 1–0CornersCorners 3–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 Jul 2026, 19:11 · Europe/Bucharest

A relegation clash with Sundsvall under new management and fresh attackers, but both teams’ poor scoring records point to a low-scoring game.

The best value is under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.43, with a +5-point edge, while under 2.5 full-time goals and under 9.5 corners also offer value. Avoid the draw in the match-winner market due to Norrby’s inflated draw rate and Sundsvall’s potential for an immediate bounce.

Context

Sundsvall officially announced Hansen on 7 July 2026, with Lagerbäck as adviser and Ion Doros moving to assistant.
- The change comes during the Superettan summer break, giving the new staff limited but focused preparation time.
- No prior matches under this regime exist, making Sundsvall's tactical approach and player roles uncertain.
Finey was sold on 1 July, Gojani joined on 10 July, and Ekong arrived on 15 July.
- The club confirmed Ekong is eligible for the Norrby match, indicating he is match-fit and available.
- Sundsvall average 0.5 goals per away game; the new signings are a direct attempt to fix that output.
Norrby are 13th with 14 points from 14 games; Sundsvall are 16th with 9 points from 14 games.
- Örebro in 14th have 14 points from 15 matches, so the bottom three are tightly packed.
- A win for Sundsvall could lift them off the bottom and within touching distance of safety.
The official 2026 fixture list shows the league break ran from 1 July to 17 July.
- This is round 15, the first round back, meaning both teams may show rust or refreshed tactics.
- Sundsvall's reset occurred entirely within the break, so their new shape is untested in competitive play.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Norrby's high draw rate and Sundsvall's managerial reset create uncertainty, making a stalemate the most likely outcome given both teams' struggles to win.
- Norrby IF have drawn 8 of 14 league matches this season (57%), including 3 of 6 at home.
- GIF Sundsvall have lost 11 of 14, but their new coach and attacking additions could disrupt form patterns.
- Last H2H meeting (28 Jun 2026) ended 0-0, and 3 of last 5 H2H meetings had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Norrby's resilience (only 4 losses) combined with Sundsvall's terrible away form makes a home win or draw highly probable.
- Norrby IF have lost only 4 of 14 league matches (29%), with 8 draws.
- GIF Sundsvall have lost 11 of 14, including 5 of 6 away matches.
- Sundsvall's away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 5 losses, with only 3 goals scored in 6 away games.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonNorrby IF or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Norrby's tendency to start level and Sundsvall's occasional resilience early in games point to a halftime stalemate.
- Norrby IF led at halftime in 47% of matches but drew 6 of 14 first halves.
- GIF Sundsvall trailed at halftime in 60% of matches but drew 5 of 14 first halves.
- Last H2H was 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A low-event match with both teams cancelling each other out could lead to a draw at both intervals, though Sundsvall's lack of draws makes this speculative.
- Norrby IF have drawn 8 of 14 matches, with 3 of those being 0-0 or 1-1 at halftime.
- GIF Sundsvall have drawn only 0 of 14, but their new coach may prioritize defensive stability.
- Last H2H was 0-0 at both halftime and fulltime.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Norrby's relative stability and Sundsvall's second-half collapses could see the home side edge the latter period, but the overall match context limits confidence.
- Norrby IF have a positive second-half goal difference in 5 of their last 10 matches.
- GIF Sundsvall have lost the second half in 8 of their last 14 matches.
- Sundsvall's away second-half record: conceded 7 goals in 6 matches, scored only 2.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableNorrby IFEstimated chance35%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low scoring output, especially Sundsvall away (0.5 goals per game), and recent H2H trends point to a low-scoring affair.
- Norrby IF average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match over last 15; 7 of last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- GIF Sundsvall average 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded; 5 of last 6 away matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Last H2H was 0-0, and 3 of last 5 H2H meetings had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sundsvall's away scoring woes and Norrby's occasional defensive solidity at home suggest at least one team will blank.
- GIF Sundsvall have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 away matches.
- Norrby IF have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 home matches.
- Sundsvall average only 0.5 goals per away game this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are slow starters, with Sundsvall particularly poor in first halves, making a low-scoring opening 45 minutes very likely.
- Norrby IF average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded over last 15 matches.
- GIF Sundsvall average 0.2 first-half goals scored and 0.9 conceded; they trailed at halftime in 60% of matches.
- In 10 of Norrby's last 15 matches, the first half had under 1.5 goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede more after the break, and fatigue or tactical adjustments could open the game up, though overall low scoring tempers confidence.
- Norrby IF score 0.5 second-half goals on average and concede 1.1, with 60% of their goals coming after halftime.
- GIF Sundsvall concede 1.2 second-half goals on average, with 70% of their goals against coming after halftime.
- In 8 of Norrby's last 15 matches, the second half had over 1.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate moderate corner counts, and the expected cautious play from Sundsvall's new setup should keep total corners below 10.
- Norrby IF average 4.3 corners per match over last 15; opponent corners average not provided but recent matches show low totals (e.g., 7, 6, 4, 4).
- GIF Sundsvall average 5.1 corners per match; recent away matches had 5, 7, 6 corners.
- Combined average corners in Norrby's last 5 matches with data: 8.2 per game.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Neither team is excessively aggressive, and the referee's profile is unknown, but the stats suggest a relatively clean game.
- Norrby IF average 1.6 yellow cards per match over last 15; only 1 red card in that span.
- GIF Sundsvall average 1.9 yellow cards per match; 0 red cards in last 15.
- Combined average cards in recent matches with data: around 3.5 per game.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 2D · 3W

D1-1GIF SundsvallvNorrby IFFeb 19, 2023SVE

L1-4Norrby IFvGIF SundsvallNov 7, 2021SUP

L2-0GIF SundsvallvNorrby IFApr 24, 2021SUP

L0-1Norrby IFvGIF SundsvallSep 22, 2020SUP

D0-0GIF SundsvallvNorrby IFJul 18, 2020SUP

GIF Sundsvall unbeaten in 5 meetingsGIF Sundsvall: 3 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Superettan 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
13	Norrby IF Division 1 - Norra (Relegation)	14	2	8	4	16-20	14	WDLLL
16	GIF Sundsvall Relegation	14	3	0	11	11-31	9	LLLWL

5pt gap between teamsNorrby IF in relegation zoneGIF Sundsvall in relegation zone

Recent Form

Norrby IF

L2-4Varbergs BoIS FCJul 11FRI

W1-0IFK NorrkopingJun 28SUP

D0-0United NordicJun 21SUP

L0-2OddevoldJun 14SUP

L0-2Varbergs BoIS FCJun 10SUP

L1-2Osters IFMay 30SUP

W2-1Ljungskile SKMay 23SUP

D2-2IFK VarnamoMay 17SUP

D1-1Landskrona BoISMay 12SUP

D3-3HelsingborgMay 9SUP

D2-2SandvikenMay 2SUP

D1-1Orebro SKApr 25SUP

D2-2Falkenbergs FFApr 19SUP

D1-1Ostersunds FKApr 11SUP

L0-1IK brageApr 5SUP

GIF Sundsvall

L0-2Ostersunds FKJun 27SUP

L2-5HelsingborgJun 21SUP

L0-4Osters IFJun 15SUP

W1-0Orebro SKJun 10SUP

L0-3SandvikenMay 30SUP

L0-1Varbergs BoIS FCMay 24SUP

W2-1Landskrona BoISMay 18SUP

L0-1Ljungskile SKMay 14SUP

L1-3IFK NorrkopingMay 9SUP

L1-3OddevoldMay 2SUP

L0-1Falkenbergs FFApr 25SUP

L1-2IK brageApr 20SUP

L0-3IFK VarnamoApr 14SUP

W3-2United NordicApr 6SUP

W3-0Hammarby TalangMar 28FRI

Squad & Injuries

Norrby IF

24 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

GIF Sundsvall

29 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 1.5

Under 2.5

Under 9.5

Norrby IF or Draw

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

No

Over 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Norrby IF

GIF Sundsvall

Squad & Injuries

Norrby IF

GIF Sundsvall