Karlbergs BK11 – 1Umea FC1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.53

The read

Umeå arrive on the stronger run and have avoided defeat in each of the last three meetings, so a draw or away win is the likeliest combined outcome.

• Umeå's last six: 5 wins, 1 loss, 13 goals scored
• Umeå away record 6W-2D-5L with 20 goals scored
• Head-to-head: Umeå 2 wins and 1 draw in the last three meetings
• Karlberg home record 5W-3D-5L, 18 scored and 22 conceded

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Umea FCEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Umeå have found the net in every recent outing and Karlberg's defence has leaked steadily, so one away goal is the baseline expectation.

• Umeå scored in all six of their recent matches
• Umeå average 1.5 goals per away game
• Karlberg have kept no clean sheet in their last six matches
• Umeå have scored 13 goals across their last six games

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonUmea FC over 0.5Estimated chance79%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Karlberg have scored regularly at home and Umeå's away defence, while tidy, has only rarely produced a shutout.

• Karlberg average 1.38 goals per home game (18 in 13)
• Karlberg scored three times in home draws and wins over Vasalund and Sollentuna
• Umeå kept only two clean sheets in six tracked away matches
• Karlberg were shut out once in their last six games

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonKarlbergs BK over 0.5Estimated chance74%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Both teams have been getting early goals with reasonable regularity, making at least one first-half strike the likely outcome.

• Karlberg score 0.71 first-half goals per home game
• Umeå score 0.67 first-half goals per away game
• A first-half goal landed in 9 of the two sides' last 12 matches
• Umeå scored 8 first-half goals across their last six games