Remo PA0Flamengo1

HT 0–0Sun 6 Sept 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–736%

Edges2–433%

PossPossession 36%–64%ShotsShots 7–21On targetOn target 1–5CornersCorners 8–9

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Sep 2026, 19:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Flamengo are strong favourites away to relegation-threatened Remo, with the away win at 1.55 offering a +7-point edge.

The HT/FT double Flamengo/Flamengo at 2.38 is also a value play, but avoid the overpriced first-half goals market.

Context

Remo are 19th in Serie A with 23 points from 25 matches, two points behind 16th-placed Mirassol.
Their recent form is poor: they lost 3-2 at home to Coritiba on 31 August, lost 2-1 at Fluminense on 22 August, and drew 1-1 at Internacional on 17 August. At home this season they have won only three of 12 matches, so they cannot rely on home advantage. Facing second-placed Flamengo, Remo need a result to avoid falling further into the relegation zone.
- Remo are 19th with 23 points, two points behind 16th-placed Mirassol.
- They lost 3-2 at home to Coritiba on 31 August and 2-1 at Fluminense on 22 August.
- Remo have won only three of 12 home matches this season.
Remo lost 3-2 at home to Coritiba on 31 August and remained in the relegation zone, while Flamengo beat Botafogo 3-0 to reach 48 points, three behind the leader.
Both teams enter Round 26 with a direct points incentive: Remo need points to escape the drop zone, and Flamengo are chasing the league leaders. The match therefore carries immediate table consequences for both sides, increasing the importance of pursuing a result rather than treating the fixture as low-stakes.
- Remo lost 3-2 at home to Coritiba on 31 August and remained in the relegation zone.
- Flamengo beat Botafogo 3-0 and reached 48 points, three behind the leader at that point.
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Sep 2026, 19:04 · Europe/Bucharestge Pará — Marlon crê em reação do Remo e promete surpreender Flamengoge.globo.com · 1 Sep 2026ge — Jardim exalta momento de Lino após Flamengo x Botafogoge.globo.com · 31 Aug 2026
Flamengo are second in Serie A with 48 points from 24 matches, four points behind leaders Palmeiras.
They have won seven of 13 away matches this season, scoring 26 goals and conceding 13. Their recent away form includes a 5-1 win at Mirassol on 16 August and a 4-0 win at Chapecoense on 23 July. Flamengo need points to keep pressure on Palmeiras, and their away record suggests they can handle Remo's struggling side.
- Flamengo are second with 48 points, four behind leaders Palmeiras.
- They have won seven of 13 away matches, scoring 26 and conceding 13.
- Flamengo won 5-1 at Mirassol on 16 August and 4-0 at Chapecoense on 23 July.
The only recent head-to-head match was on 19 March 2026.
Flamengo won 3-0 at home against Remo. That result suggests Flamengo can dominate this fixture, but it was played at Flamengo's stadium and Remo are now at home, so the context is different. Still, the margin indicates a quality gap that may repeat.
- Flamengo beat Remo 3-0 at home on 19 March 2026.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Flamengo's superior away form, attacking output, and defensive solidity, combined with Remo's relegation struggles, make an away win the most likely outcome.
- Flamengo away record: 7W 3D 3L, 26 goals scored, 13 conceded in 13 away matches
- Remo home record: 3W 5D 4L, 17 goals scored, 16 conceded in 12 home matches
- Flamengo average 2.4 goals per match, concede 0.8; Remo average 1.3 goals, concede 1.4
- H2H last meeting: Flamengo 3-0 Remo (March 2026)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFlamengoEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Flamengo's strong away form and Remo's poor home record make it highly unlikely Remo will win, so Flamengo or Draw covers the vast majority of outcomes.
- Flamengo have lost only 3 of 13 away matches this season
- Remo have won only 3 of 12 home matches
- Flamengo's goal difference is +27, Remo's is -12
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFlamengo or DrawEstimated chance90%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Flamengo's superior first-half performance and Remo's tendency to trail at the break support a Flamengo half-time lead.
- Flamengo led at half-time in 53% of matches, Remo in 13%
- Flamengo average 0.9 first-half goals, concede 0.3
- Remo average 0.5 first-half goals, concede 0.8
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFlamengoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Flamengo's tendency to lead at half-time and win matches makes the HT/FT double a reasonable prediction.
- Flamengo led at half-time in 53% of matches and won 58% overall
- Remo trailed at half-time in 27% and lost 48% overall
- Flamengo's away win rate is 54%
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostFlamengo/FlamengoEstimated chance50%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' scoring and conceding averages suggest a total above 2.5 goals is slightly more likely than not, driven by Flamengo's high-scoring attack.
- Flamengo average 2.4 goals scored per match, Remo concede 1.4
- Remo average 1.3 goals scored, Flamengo concede 0.8
- Flamengo's away matches average 3.0 total goals (26+13 in 13 games)
- Remo's home matches average 2.75 total goals (17+16 in 12 games)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Remo's ability to score at home and Flamengo's occasional defensive lapses make both teams scoring a plausible outcome.
- Remo have scored in 10 of their last 15 matches
- Flamengo have conceded in 8 of their last 15 matches
- Remo average 1.3 goals per match at home
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Flamengo's strong first-half scoring record makes it likely there will be at least one goal before the break.
- Flamengo average 0.9 first-half goals, Remo average 0.5
- Flamengo led at half-time in 53% of matches, Remo in 13%
- Flamengo concede only 0.3 first-half goals on average
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The second half tends to produce more goals for both teams, making over 1.5 second-half goals a slight lean.
- Flamengo average 1.5 second-half goals (2.4 total - 0.9 first half)
- Remo average 0.8 second-half goals (1.3 total - 0.5 first half)
- Combined second-half average is 2.3 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Remo's matches tend to have high corner counts, especially when they are under pressure, pushing the total over 9.5.
- Remo average 4.8 corners per match, Flamengo average 4.7
- Remo concede 7.1 opponent corners per match, Flamengo concede 3.3
- Combined average corners in Remo matches: 11.9, in Flamengo matches: 8.0
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Flamengo's high shot volume and Remo's defensive vulnerability suggest a total above 8.5 shots on target.
- Flamengo average 7.1 shots on target per match, Remo average 3.9
- Flamengo concede 3.0 shots on target, Remo concede 5.1
- Combined average shots on target in Flamengo matches: 10.1, in Remo matches: 9.0
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Remo's matches tend to have more cards, and the competitive nature of this fixture could push the total over 3.5.
- Remo average 1.9 yellow cards, Flamengo average 1.0
- Remo opponents average 2.1 yellow cards, Flamengo opponents average 1.9
- Combined average cards in Remo matches: 4.0, in Flamengo matches: 2.9
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%