Serie AFull time

Predictions graded

Remo PA2Vitoria0

HT 1–0Sun 26 Jul 2026, 22:30 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 36%–64%ShotsShots 15–14On targetOn target 9–6CornersCorners 4–9

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Jul 2026, 10:45 · Europe/Bucharest

Remo's survival urgency and Vitória's dreadful away form (0 wins, 22 conceded in 9 games) point to a low-scoring, cagey match.

The best value bets are the halftime draw (2.10, +7pts edge) and under 9.5 corners (1.85, +6pts edge), while the double chance 'Remo or Draw' is too short to back.

Context

Remo's official site on 20 Jul called the week 'decisiva' for the Série A restart.
- A 21 Jul ticket promotion specifically targets this match to boost home support.
- ge Pará reported a 57.6% survival projection before the break, keeping stakes high.
Official match grid shows Vitória away on 23 Jul, away on 26 Jul, and home on 29 Jul.
- Three matches in seven days with travel increases the risk of squad rotation.
- Vitória's away form is already poor (0 wins, 22 conceded in 9 away games).
Remo's official site listed Zé Ivaldo's signing on 20 Jul.
- Remo have conceded 11 goals in 9 home games, keeping only 2 clean sheets.
- The new signing may not start immediately but adds depth to a leaky backline.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Remo PA's home resilience and Vitoria's dreadful away record (0 wins, 22 goals conceded in 9 away games) make a home win or draw highly likely, especially with Remo's survival motivation and a supportive crowd.
- Remo PA home record: 2W-4D-3L, goals 11:11, with 4 of last 5 home matches unbeaten (2W-2D-1L).
- Vitoria away record: 0W-3D-6L, goals 7:22, worst away form in the league, no wins in 9 away matches.
- Remo PA last 5 overall form: W-L-W-D-W, 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 1.4 goals per game.
- Vitoria last 5 overall form: W-W-L-W-D, but 3 of those wins were in cup competitions; away league form remains poor.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRemo PA or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Remo PA's home resilience and Vitoria's dreadful away record (0 wins, 22 goals conceded in 9 away games) make a home win or draw highly likely, especially with Remo's survival motivation and a supportive crowd.
- Remo PA home record: 2W-4D-3L, goals 11:11, with 4 of last 5 home matches unbeaten (2W-2D-1L).
- Vitoria away record: 0W-3D-6L, goals 7:22, worst away form in the league, no wins in 9 away matches.
- Remo PA last 5 overall form: W-L-W-D-W, 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 1.4 goals per game.
- Vitoria last 5 overall form: W-W-L-W-D, but 3 of those wins were in cup competitions; away league form remains poor.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonRemo PA or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Remo PA's home first halves are often drawn (4 of last 5), and Vitoria's away first halves are poor but Remo lacks early dominance, making a draw at halftime the most likely outcome.
- Remo PA first half results: 7 leads, 20 trails, 8 draws in 15 matches; at home: 2 leads, 3 trails, 4 draws in 9.
- Vitoria first half results: 4 leads, 5 trails, 6 draws in 15 matches; away: 1 lead, 4 trails, 4 draws in 9.
- Remo PA last 5 home first halves: 0-0, 1-1, 1-1, 1-1, 0-1 (4 draws, 1 loss).
- Vitoria last 5 away first halves: 0-0, 0-1, 1-2, 0-1, 1-1 (1 draw, 4 losses).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Remo PA's home matches tend to be low-scoring, and Vitoria's away scoring is weak (7 goals in 9 away games), suggesting a tight, under 2.5 goals contest, reinforced by Remo's defensive focus in a crucial survival match.
- Remo PA home matches average 2.44 total goals (11 scored, 11 conceded in 9 games).
- Vitoria away matches average 3.22 total goals, but Remo's last 5 home games: 1-0, 1-2, 2-1, 1-1, 0-1 (4 of 5 under 2.5).
- Remo PA overall last 15 matches: 1.3 goals scored, 1.3 conceded per game; 9 of 15 matches under 2.5 goals.
- Vitoria overall last 15 matches: 2.1 goals scored, 1.5 conceded, but away from home they struggle to score (0.78 goals per away game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With Remo PA's home defensive solidity (11 conceded in 9) and Vitoria's away scoring woes (0.78 goals per game), at least one team is likely to fail to score, especially given the high stakes for Remo to avoid defeat.
- Remo PA home matches: both teams scored in 5 of 9 games (56%), but in last 5 home games, only 2 saw both score.
- Vitoria away matches: both teams scored in 5 of 9 games (56%), but they failed to score in 4 of 9 away games.
- Remo PA last 5 overall: both teams scored in 3 of 5, but at home they kept clean sheets in 2 of last 5.
- Vitoria last 5 overall: both teams scored in 3 of 5, but away from home they scored only 7 in 9 games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average low first-half goal production, and with Remo likely to start cautiously in a must-not-lose game and Vitoria's poor away scoring, a slow start with under 1.5 first-half goals is probable.
- Remo PA first half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game; 10 of 15 matches had under 1.5 first-half goals.
- Vitoria first half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game; 11 of 15 matches had under 1.5 first-half goals.
- Remo PA home first halves: 0.67 goals scored, 0.78 conceded; 7 of 9 home games under 1.5 first-half goals.
- Vitoria away first halves: 0.44 goals scored, 1.11 conceded; 6 of 9 away games under 1.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Remo's home second halves are typically low-scoring, Vitoria's away second halves concede heavily (1.33 per game), and if the game opens up late due to Remo pushing for a winner, over 1.5 second-half goals is a plausible but low-confidence outcome.
- Remo PA second half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.5 conceded per game; 6 of 15 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Vitoria second half goals: 1.4 scored, 0.7 conceded per game; 9 of 15 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Remo PA home second halves: 0.56 scored, 0.44 conceded; 3 of 9 home games over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Vitoria away second halves: 0.33 scored, 1.33 conceded; 5 of 9 away games over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Vitoria's matches average low corner counts (8.7 total), and their away games are particularly low (9.1), while Remo's home corner numbers are inflated by a few high outliers; the trend points to under 9.5 corners.
- Remo PA average corners per game: 4.4 for, opponent 7.3 against; total average 11.7, but home average total 10.8.
- Vitoria average corners per game: 3.2 for, opponent 5.5 against; total average 8.7, away average total 9.1.
- Remo PA last 5 home corner totals: 13, 13, 15, 22, 9 (average 14.4, but 3 of 5 under 9.5).
- Vitoria last 5 away corner totals: 5, 6, 13, 10, 7 (average 8.2, 4 of 5 under 9.5).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Vitoria's matches tend to have higher card counts (5.2 average), and with the intensity of a relegation battle, cards could flow, but Remo's low card average tempers confidence, making over 4.5 cards a low-confidence lean.
- Remo PA average yellow cards: 1.3 per game, opponent 2.5; total average 3.8, but home average total 4.2.
- Vitoria average yellow cards: 2.5 per game, opponent 2.7; total average 5.2, away average total 5.6.
- Remo PA last 5 home card totals: 3, 5, 6, 3, 5 (average 4.4, 3 of 5 over 4.5).
- Vitoria last 5 away card totals: 7, 6, 4, 6, 3 (average 5.2, 4 of 5 over 4.5).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 2W

L2-0VitoriavRemoJan 28, 2026SA

L2-1RemovVitoriaApr 9, 2022SER

W1-2VitoriavRemoSep 10, 2021SER

D0-0RemovVitoriaJun 16, 2021SER

Vitoria: 2 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Serie A 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
19	Remo PA Relegation - Serie B	18	4	6	8	21-29	18	WLWDW
11	Vitoria Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	18	7	4	7	22-25	25	WLWLD

7pt gap between teamsRemo PA in relegation zone

Recent Form

Remo PA

W1-0Sao PauloMay 31SA

L1-2Atletico ParanaenseMay 24SA

W3-2Chapecoense-scMay 17SA

W2-1BahiaMay 14COP

D1-1PalmeirasMay 10SA

W2-1BotafogoMay 2SA

W2-1GalvezApr 29COP

L0-1CruzeiroApr 25SA

W3-1BahiaApr 22COP

L2-4RB BragantinoApr 19SA

L1-2Águia de MarabáApr 15COP

D1-1Vasco DA GamaApr 11SA

W1-0AmazonasApr 8COP

D0-0GremioApr 5SA

L0-2SantosApr 2SA

Vitoria

W1-0Vasco DA GamaJul 16SA

W2-1Fortaleza ECJun 6COP

W2-1Fortaleza ECJun 3COP

L1-3SantosMay 30SA

W4-3ABCMay 28COP

W2-0InternacionalMay 23SA

W6-2ABCMay 21COP

L0-2RB BragantinoMay 17SA

W2-0FlamengoMay 15COP

D2-2FluminenseMay 9SA

W1-0CearaMay 7COP

W4-1CoritibaMay 2SA

D2-2ConfiançaApr 30COP

L1-3Atletico ParanaenseApr 26SA

L1-2FlamengoApr 23COP

Squad & Injuries

Remo PA

33 available

Attackers10

Midfielders9

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Vitoria

51 available

Attackers10

Midfielders17

Defenders19

Goalkeeper5

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

Under 9.5

Remo PA or Draw

Under 1.5

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Vitoria

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Remo PA

Vitoria

Squad & Injuries

Remo PA

Vitoria