Serie AFull time

Predictions graded

Remo PA0Coritiba0

Mon 31 Aug 2026, 23:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–0100%

Edges7–0100%

Yellow CardsYellow Cards 0–0Red CardsRed Cards 0–0

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Aug 2026, 05:23 · Europe/Bucharest

Remo PA vs Coritiba is likely to be a tight, low-scoring match with a draw a plausible outcome.

The best value is the draw at 3.20 (small edge), but most other markets are efficiently priced or overpriced. Avoid the double chance and first-half draw; no corner markets are available, and missing intel adds uncertainty.

Context

Remo PA are 18th in Serie A with 23 points from 24 matches, one point behind 17th-placed Mirassol.
This match is important for Remo PA because a win could move them out of the relegation zone. They have been inconsistent at home with three wins, five draws, and three losses, but they will likely push for a positive result. Coritiba are 8th with 34 points and have less pressure, which may affect their approach.
- Remo PA are 18th with 23 points, one point behind 17th-placed Mirassol.
- Remo PA's home record is 3 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses in 11 matches.
- Coritiba are 8th with 34 points, 11 points above the relegation zone.
Remo forward Jája Silva has started all five recent fixtures with available lineups, totalling 361 minutes, but is now dealing with ankle pain and joint effusion.
His availability remains unresolved after physiotherapy, so Remo may lose a regular starter in attack. The club doctor found no serious injury, but the effusion leaves his participation uncertain and could force a late change to the forward line.
- Club doctor Jean Klay said the forward was receiving physiotherapy for ankle pain and that his availability depended on his recovery.
- The doctor said tests found no serious injury but did show joint effusion after the trauma.
- Jája Silva started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups, totalling 361 minutes across 5 appearances.
To watchSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 15:29 · Europe/Bucharestgege.globo.com · 27 Aug 2026O Liberalwww.oliberal.com · 27 Aug 2026
Coritiba midfielder Thiago Santos has started all five recent fixtures with available lineups, but he is suspended after receiving his third yellow card against Corinthians.
His confirmed absence removes a regular starter from Coritiba's central midfield. The team will need to adjust its midfield selection without a player who has been a consistent presence in recent lineups.
- The Coritiba midfielder received his third yellow card against Corinthians.
- Local reporting lists the suspension as a confirmed absence for the Remo fixture.
- Thiago Santos started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 15:29 · Europe/Bucharestgege.globo.com · 28 Aug 2026
Coritiba are 8th in Serie A with 34 points and have a balanced away record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses.
Coritiba's away form has been solid recently, with wins against Santos and Chapecoense-sc and a draw at Sao Paulo. This suggests they are comfortable playing away from home and could challenge Remo PA. However, their away goals conceded average of 1.4 per game indicates they are not always solid defensively.
- Coritiba won 3-0 at Santos on 2026-05-17.
- Coritiba won 2-1 at Chapecoense-sc on 2026-08-08.
- Coritiba drew 1-1 at Sao Paulo on 2026-08-16.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Lean

Remo PA or Draw

1.30fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Remo PA's solid home form and Coritiba's inability to win away in H2H support a home-or-draw outcome, but the odds are too short.

1 St Half ResultwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw

2.10fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 47.6%

0.0ppshort

Remo PA tends to be level at half-time and H2H shows frequent first-half draws, but the odds are slightly below our estimate.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 2.5

1.67fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 59.9%

0.0ppshort

H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches had under 2.5 goals, and both teams' home/away averages hover near 2.5.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

No

1.80fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 55.6%

0.0ppshort

H2H shows frequent clean sheets and both teams have moderate BTTS rates, leaning towards at least one team not scoring.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 1.5

1.33fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 75.2%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have low first-half scoring rates and H2H matches tend to be tight early.

2 Nd Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 1.5

1.30fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Second-half scoring is also low for both teams, supporting under 1.5 goals in the second half.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high draw rates in their respective home/away splits and H2H shows no away wins, making a draw plausible.
- Remo PA home record: 3W-5D-3L in 11 home matches (45% draws)
- Coritiba away record: 4W-4D-4L in 12 away matches (33% draws)
- H2H last 5: 2 draws, 3 home wins (no away wins)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance32%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Remo PA's solid home form and Coritiba's inability to win away in H2H support a home-or-draw outcome.
- Remo PA home record: 3W-5D-3L (73% unbeaten at home)
- Coritiba away record: 4W-4D-4L (67% not winning away)
- H2H: Coritiba has never won away at Remo in last 5 meetings
BetBugs · Double ChancewonRemo PA or DrawEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Remo PA tends to be level at half-time and H2H shows frequent first-half draws.
- Remo PA first half results: 13% leading, 27% trailing, 60% level at half-time
- Coritiba first half results: 33% leading, 47% trailing, 20% level at half-time
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 matches were level at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time and full-time is possible given both teams' tendencies, but low confidence due to limited direct evidence.
- Remo PA home: 45% draws overall, but only 13% lead at half-time
- Coritiba away: 33% draws overall, 47% trail at half-time
- H2H: 2 of last 5 ended in draws, but none were 0-0 at half-time
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home/away goal averages are near 2.5 and H2H trends strongly favor low-scoring games.
- Remo PA home matches average 2.55 total goals (15 scored, 13 conceded in 11 games)
- Coritiba away matches average 2.67 total goals (15 scored, 17 conceded in 12 games)
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches had under 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
H2H shows frequent clean sheets and both teams have moderate BTTS rates, leaning towards at least one team not scoring.
- Remo PA home: 15 goals scored, 13 conceded in 11 games (BTTS in 55% of home games)
- Coritiba away: 15 scored, 17 conceded in 12 games (BTTS in 58% of away games)
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 matches had at least one team fail to score
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates and H2H matches tend to be tight early.
- Remo PA first half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.9 conceded per match (avg 1.5 total)
- Coritiba first half goals: 0.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per match (avg 1.2 total)
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches had 0 or 1 first-half goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is also low for both teams, supporting under 1.5 goals in the second half.
- Remo PA second half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.4 conceded per match (avg 1.1 total)
- Coritiba second half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.7 conceded per match (avg 1.3 total)
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 matches had 0 or 1 second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner counts and H2H matches have been low on corners, supporting under 9.5.
- Remo PA average corners: 4.5 per match, opponent corners: 7.5 (total 12.0)
- Coritiba average corners: 3.5 per match, opponent corners: 6.5 (total 10.0)
- H2H last 5: average total corners approximately 8.6
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low card averages and H2H matches have been relatively clean, but card markets are volatile.
- Remo PA average yellow cards: 1.8 per match, opponent: 2.2 (total 4.0)
- Coritiba average yellow cards: 1.3 per match, opponent: 2.5 (total 3.8)
- H2H last 5: average total cards approximately 3.6
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 77% leaves no cushion vs our 62% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Prediction history

Remo PA has struggled to fulfil Under 2.5 goals projections

Remo PA has fulfilled 2 of 5 Under 2.5 goals predictions, below the expected 3 based on average probability. The missed predictions occurred away from home, where all three away matches went over 2.5 goals. At home, both predictions were fulfilled, suggesting a location split in recent evidence.

Recent evidence for Remo PA5 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

30 Jul·Serie A