Serie AFull time

Predictions graded

Chapecoense2Remo PA3

HT 1–1Sun 17 May 2026, 21:30 Predictions graded

Predictions3–633%

Edges0–40%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 18–11On targetOn target 8–4CornersCorners 3–9

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 May 2026, 21:41 · Europe/Bucharest

The draw is the most likely result, backed by two 1-1 H2H meetings and both teams' poor win rates in their respective home/away splits.

Chapecoense's recent coaching change adds risk, but the value lies in the draw at 3.25 and the first-half draw at 2.10. Expect a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals offering a slim edge.

Context

365Scores reported last month that Chapecoense dismissed Gilmar Dal Pozzo, who had been in charge since August 2024.
- A coaching change this close to a match often disrupts team identity and makes form readings unreliable.
- Chapecoense have won only once in their last eight home games, which likely triggered the decision.
Chapecoense 1-1 Remo (2025-07-13) and Remo 1-1 Chapecoense (2025-11-02) are the only H2H results.
- Both matches saw both teams score and under 2.5 goals.
- The repeat scoreline hints at a tactical stalemate when these sides meet.
Rafael Thyere (defender) is out with injury, and Y. Bolasie (attacker) is suspended due to yellow cards.
- Midfielder Robert Conceicao is also out with a knee injury, and defender Bruno Leonardo is questionable.
- Remo are missing attacker Gabriel Taliari (hamstring) and midfielder Ze Ricardo (red card), with several others doubtful.
Chapecoense home record: 1W-4D-3L, with five of eight home games finishing under 2.5 goals.
- Remo away record: 1W-2D-5L, scoring in six of eight away games but conceding in seven.
- Chapecoense last five home: 1W-2D-2L; Remo last five away: 1W-1D-3L.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology shows a clear draw pattern with both meetings ending 1-1, and both teams have poor win rates in their respective home/away splits, making a stalemate the most likely outcome.
- Both H2H meetings (2025-07-13 and 2025-11-02) ended 1-1.
- Chapecoense home record: 1W-4D-3L, Remo away record: 1W-2D-5L.
- Chapecoense last 5 home matches: 1W-2D-2L, Remo last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge favors Chapecoense avoiding defeat, as Remo has struggled on the road with only 1 win in 8 away matches, while Chapecoense has lost just 3 of 8 at home.
- Chapecoense home record: 1W-4D-3L, losing only 3 of 8 home games.
- Remo away record: 1W-2D-5L, losing 5 of 8 away games.
- Chapecoense last 5 home: 1W-2D-2L, Remo last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostChapecoense or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a strong tendency to be level at halftime, with over 65% draw rates, and H2H psychology reinforces a drawn first half.
- Chapecoense half-time results: 20% lead, 13% trail, 67% draw; Remo: 7% lead, 27% trail, 66% draw.
- Both H2H matches were draws at halftime (0-0 and 1-1).
- Chapecoense last 5 first halves: 4 draws, 1 loss; Remo last 5: 3 draws, 2 losses.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology shows a Draw/Draw pattern, but low overall draw rates for both teams in their splits make this a low-confidence pick.
- Both H2H matches were draws at halftime and fulltime.
- Chapecoense home draws: 4 of 8; Remo away draws: 2 of 8.
- Chapecoense last 5 home: 2 draws; Remo last 5 away: 1 draw.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology and low-scoring averages from both teams, combined with Chapecoense's home trend of 5 of 8 games under 2.5, suggest a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Both H2H matches ended 1-1 (Under 2.5).
- Chapecoense averages 1.0 goals scored, 1.5 conceded overall; Remo averages 1.4 scored, 1.3 conceded.
- Chapecoense home matches: 11 goals for, 17 against in 8 games (avg 3.5 total, but 5 of 8 home games had under 2.5 goals).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology shows consistent both-teams-scoring, and both teams have high rates of scoring and conceding in their respective home/away splits, making BTTS likely.
- Both H2H meetings saw both teams score (1-1 each).
- Chapecoense scored in 6 of 8 home games; Remo scored in 6 of 8 away games.
- Chapecoense conceded in 7 of 8 home games; Remo conceded in 7 of 8 away games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages and rarely lead at halftime, indicating a slow start with few goals before the break.
- Chapecoense averages 0.6 first-half goals, concedes 0.7; Remo averages 0.6 scored, 0.8 conceded in first halves.
- Chapecoense led at halftime in only 20% of matches, trailed in 13%; Remo led in 7%, trailed in 27%.
- Last 5 Chapecoense matches: 4 had 0 or 1 first-half goal; Remo last 5: 3 had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Tactical matchup edge suggests both teams are more vulnerable after halftime, and H2H pattern supports second-half scoring, though confidence is low due to limited data.
- Chapecoense concedes 1.5 goals per game overall, with many conceded in second halves (first-half conceded 0.7).
- Remo scores 1.4 per game, with 0.8 in second halves on average.
- Both H2H matches had second-half goals (1-1 draws with goals in both halves).
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner averages, and combined totals hover around 9, making Under 9.5 slightly favorable, though confidence is low due to variability.
- Chapecoense averages 4.2 corners per game, Remo averages 4.0.
- Chapecoense home corners: 5, 6, 1, 4, 9, 7 in recent home games (avg ~5.3); Remo away corners: 6, 1, 3, 4 in recent away (avg ~3.5).
- Combined average corners in Chapecoense home games: ~9.5; Remo away games: ~9.0.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Chapecoense's high disciplinary record (3.4 yellows/game) combined with Remo's moderate cards suggests a total over 4.5, though low confidence due to Remo's lower average.
- Chapecoense averages 3.4 yellow cards, Remo averages 1.5 yellow cards per game.
- Chapecoense home matches: 5, 5, 2, 4, 2, 1 yellows in recent home games (avg ~3.2); Remo away: 2, 1, 3, 3 in recent away (avg ~2.3).
- Combined average cards in Chapecoense home games: ~5.5; Remo away games: ~5.0.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

0W · 2D · 0W

D1-1RemovChapecoense-scNov 2, 2025SER

D1-1Chapecoense-scvRemoJul 13, 2025SER

2 goals/game avg

League Table

Serie A 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
20	Chapecoense Relegation - Serie B	14	1	6	7	14-27	9	DLLLL
19	Remo PA Relegation - Serie B	15	2	6	7	16-25	12	DWLLD

3pt gap between teamsChapecoense in relegation zoneRemo PA in relegation zone

Recent Form

Chapecoense

W2-0BotafogoMay 14COP

D1-1MirassolMay 10SA

W2-1Operario-PRMay 7COP

L1-2RB BragantinoMay 3SA

W2-1America MineiroApr 29COP

L1-2FluminenseApr 26SA

L0-1BotafogoApr 21COP

L1-4BotafogoApr 18SA

D0-0JuventudeApr 16COP

L0-2Atletico ParanaenseApr 12SA

W2-1AvaiApr 8COP

D1-1VitoriaApr 5SA

L0-4Atletico-MGApr 2SA

L0-1Volta RedondaMar 28COP

W2-1São BernardoMar 26COP

Remo PA

W2-1BahiaMay 14COP

D1-1PalmeirasMay 10SA

W2-1BotafogoMay 2SA

W2-1GalvezApr 29COP

L0-1CruzeiroApr 25SA

W3-1BahiaApr 22COP

L2-4RB BragantinoApr 19SA

L1-2Águia de MarabáApr 15COP

D1-1Vasco DA GamaApr 11SA

W1-0AmazonasApr 8COP

D0-0GremioApr 5SA

L0-2SantosApr 2SA

D1-1Monte RoraimaMar 29COP

L1-2Porto VelhoMar 26COP

W4-1BahiaMar 22SA

Squad & Injuries

Chapecoense

10 out

Attackers2/15

×#11

Midfielders2/19

×#8

Defenders6/16

×#4

×#15

×#33

×#4

×#15

×#33

Goalkeeper5

#11 Y. Bolasie — Yellow Cards

#4 Kauan — Inactive

#15 Rafael Thyere — Injury

#8 Robert Conceicao — Knee Injury

#33 Bruno Leonardo — Injury

#11 Y. Bolasie — Yellow Cards

#4 Kauan — Inactive

#15 Rafael Thyere — Injury

#8 Robert Conceicao — Knee Injury

#33 Bruno Leonardo — Injury

Remo PA

18 out

Attackers4/11

×#19

×#39

×#19

×#39

Midfielders8/13

×#12

×#55

×#35

×#77

×#12

×#55

×#35

×#77

Defenders6/11

×#2

×#27

×#3

×#2

×#27

×#3

Goalkeeper3

#19 Gabriel Taliari — Hamstring Injury

#12 Patrick de Paula — Inactive

#55 Ze Ricardo — Red Card

#39 Eduardo Melo — Hamstring Injury

#35 Freitas — Inactive

#2 Joao Lucas — Knee Injury

#27 Kayky Almeida — Knee Injury

#77 P. Tachtsidis — Inactive

#3 Thalisson — Knee Injury

#19 Gabriel Taliari — Hamstring Injury

#12 Patrick de Paula — Inactive

#55 Ze Ricardo — Red Card

#39 Eduardo Melo — Hamstring Injury

#35 Freitas — Inactive

#2 Joao Lucas — Knee Injury

#27 Kayky Almeida — Knee Injury

#77 P. Tachtsidis — Inactive

#3 Thalisson — Knee Injury

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

Chapecoense or Draw

Under 1.5

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Chapecoense

Remo PA

Squad & Injuries

Chapecoense

Remo PA