Malmo FFvsHammarby

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Hammarby’s stronger league position, away solidity and recent head-to-head edge make them the likelier side to avoid defeat.

• Hammarby sit 2nd on 52 points; Malmö are 7th on 40.
• Hammarby's tracked away split is W5 D2 L1 with only 2 goals conceded in 8.
• Malmö's tracked home split is W2 D1 L4.
• Hammarby have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including 3-1 at Malmö.

BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or HammarbyMarket price1.22Estimated chance69%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.53

The read

Both teams’ recent matches and Hammarby’s low concession rate point to a controlled game rather than a shootout.

• Hammarby concede 0.50 goals per game overall and 0.50 away, with 9 clean sheets in 14.
• Malmö average 1.00 goal at home in the tracked home split.
• Recent six matches: Malmö 5/6 and Hammarby 5/6 stayed under 3.5 total goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.25

The read

Hammarby’s away clean-sheet rate and Malmö’s intermittent home scoring make a one-sided clean-sheet outcome more likely than both scoring.

• Hammarby have 9 clean sheets in 14 overall and 6 in 8 away.
• Malmö failed to score in 3 of 7 tracked home matches.
• Both teams scored in only one of each side’s last six matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.57

The read

Both teams’ first-half records are low-scoring enough to favor at most one goal before the break.

• Malmö home first-half goals: 0.14 for and 0.57 against per game.
• Hammarby away first-half goals: 0.75 for and 0.25 against per game.
• Recent six first halves: Malmö produced 3 goals, Hammarby 5.
• Under 1.5 first-half goals landed in 5/6 recent matches for each team.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.75

The read

Hammarby’s high corner volume and Malmö’s home corner output make a double-figure total the more supported side.

• Hammarby average 8.15 corners and concede 2.92; away split is 7.86 vs 2.71.
• Malmö average 6.57 corners at home.
• Malmö had 10+ total corners in 5 of last 6; Hammarby in 4 of last 6.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Combined shot-on-target volume is modest, with Hammarby’s away defence suppressing opponents well.

• Malmö average 8.69 total shots on target per match (5.08 for, 3.62 against).
• Hammarby average 10.31 total shots on target per match (7.77 for, 2.54 against).
• 10 of 12 recent team matches stayed under 12.5 total shots on target.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams’ recent match shot totals sit well below 36.5, even with Hammarby’s high attacking volume.

• Malmö average 28.39 total shots per match (15.77 for, 12.62 against).
• Hammarby average 28.27 total shots per match (21.18 for, 7.09 against).
• All 12 recent team matches finished under 36.5 total shots.