Pfc NesebarvsChernomorets Burgas

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The higher-ranked away side is difficult to beat on the road, so a draw or Chernomorets win is the more likely combined outcome.

• Chernomorets are 3rd with 25 points from 13 league games; Nesebar are 12th with 18.
• Chernomorets away record is 3W-3D-1L with 14 goals for and 7 against in 7 away league games.
• Nesebar home record is 4W-2D-1L with 17 goals for and 10 against in 7 home league games.

BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or Chernomorets BurgasEstimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Chernomorets concede very little before half-time, making them likely to be level or ahead at the break.

• Chernomorets away first-half goals average 0.75 for and 0.13 against (8 matches).
• Chernomorets overall first-half defence averages 0.20 conceded (15 matches).
• Nesebar home first-half goals average 1.00 for and 0.50 against (8 matches).

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfDraw or Chernomorets BurgasEstimated chance67%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Both teams' relevant home and away splits point to a match with at least three goals.

• Nesebar home league games have produced 27 goals in 7 (3.86 per game).
• Chernomorets away league games have produced 21 goals in 7 (3.00 per game).
• Nesebar overall league games average 3.08 goals (21 for, 19 against in 13).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Both teams' first-half scoring is low, especially Chernomorets away from home.

• Nesebar home first-half goals average 1.00 for and 0.50 against (8 matches).
• Chernomorets away first-half goals average 0.75 for and 0.13 against (8 matches).
• Chernomorets overall first-half defence averages 0.20 conceded (15 matches).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Chernomorets score regularly, particularly away, so Nesebar are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.

• Chernomorets scored in 12 of 15 competitive matches and in 7 of 8 away matches.
• Nesebar home matches have conceded 10 goals in 7 league games.
• Chernomorets average 1.6 goals overall and 2.0 in away league games.

BetBugs · Team to ScoreChernomorets Burgas to scoreEstimated chance76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Chernomorets' away attack averages two goals and Nesebar concede at home, pointing to at least two away goals.

• Chernomorets away league games have produced 14 goals in 7 (2.00 per game).
• Nesebar home league games have conceded 10 goals in 7 (1.43 per game).
• Chernomorets scored in 7 of 8 away matches in the split sample.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalChernomorets Burgas over 1.5Estimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' second halves are more productive, with venue splits averaging above two goals.

• Nesebar home second-half goals average 1.13 for and 1.00 against (8 matches).
• Chernomorets away second-half goals average 1.25 for and 0.75 against (8 matches).
• Nesebar overall second-half games average 1.86 goals (14 matches).