Chernomorets Burgas
Market 34.5% · BetBugs 40%
Chernomorets are unbeaten in the two current-era H2H meetings, including a 3-1 win at Hebar in April, and Hebar have lost 3 of their last 4 league games.
Second LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Chernomorets Burgas are the value side: unbeaten in H2H, Hebar in poor form, and the away win at 2.90 offers a +6pt edge.
For a safer play, back draw or Chernomorets (double chance) at 1.60, and consider over 2.5 goals given Hebar's leaky defense.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Chernomorets BurgasMarket 34.5% · BetBugs 40%
Chernomorets are unbeaten in the two current-era H2H meetings, including a 3-1 win at Hebar in April, and Hebar have lost 3 of their last 4 league games.
Market 62.5% · BetBugs 65%
Given Hebar's poor form and Chernomorets' H2H edge, the away side or draw is the safer outcome and offers a small edge.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 55%
Hebar's league matches average 5.0 total goals and 3 of 4 have gone over 2.5, while the last H2H produced 4 goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 47% leaves no cushion vs our 35% estimate; the home side's poor form and H2H deficit make this a trap.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hebar Pazardzhik | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9-11 | 3 |
| 12 | Chernomorets Burgas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 5 |

