CSKA Sofia II
Market 40% · BetBugs 42%
CSKA Sofia II's stronger early-season form and higher scoring output give them a slight edge, though Chernomorets' home advantage and solid defensive record keep this close.
Second LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is Over 2.5 goals at 2.10, with a +7.4 point edge driven by CSKA Sofia II's high-scoring trend.
Avoid Under 2.5 and Draw No Bet on Chernomorets, as both are priced against the model. The away win at 2.50 offers only a marginal edge and carries home-resilience risk.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
CSKA Sofia IIMarket 40% · BetBugs 42%
CSKA Sofia II's stronger early-season form and higher scoring output give them a slight edge, though Chernomorets' home advantage and solid defensive record keep this close.
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 55%
CSKA Sofia II's high-scoring trend (8 goals in 3 matches) and Chernomorets' defensive lapses support Over 2.5.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 58% · Market 69%
Chernomorets' home resilience and CSKA Sofia II's occasional away draws make the double chance for the home side a reasonable play.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 54% leaves no cushion vs our 58% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chernomorets Burgas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3-2 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia II | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8-4 | 7 |

