Pfc Nesebar or Draw
Market 75.2% · BetBugs 80%
Pirin have lost all 4 league matches this season and are winless away, making a home win or draw highly probable at 80%.
Second LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Pirin Blagoevgrad are in freefall with four straight losses, making Pfc Nesebar or Draw the top value bet at 80% probability vs 75.2% implied.
Over 2.5 goals also offers a strong edge (+10 points) given both teams' leaky defenses and high-scoring H2H history, but avoid the outright home win due to Pirin's 5-1 wins in the last two meetings.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 75.2% · BetBugs 80%
Pirin have lost all 4 league matches this season and are winless away, making a home win or draw highly probable at 80%.
Market 50% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams' recent matches and H2H history point to high-scoring games, with Pirin conceding 3.0 goals per game.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have shown they can score but also concede, and the high-scoring H2H history supports both teams finding the net.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pfc Nesebar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5-8 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3-12 | 0 |

