New York Cosmos00 – 3One Knoxville SC3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.15

The read

Knoxville are far stronger in the table, in better form and already beat Cosmos this season.

• One Knoxville are 5th with 51 points and a 14-9-8 record (49 scored, 36 conceded).
• Knoxville away league record: 7 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses with 27 scored and 20 conceded in 15.
• Knoxville won the only head-to-head 3-1 on June 13 and have clinched a playoff place.
• Cosmos have lost 18 of 29 league games and were eliminated from playoff contention on Oct 9.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonOne Knoxville SCEstimated chance46%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

First-half scoring on both sides is modest, so the opening period is likely to end level. Knoxville score slightly more before the break overall and Cosmos concede more first-half goals than they score.

• Cosmos home first-half total average is 0.67 goals per game.
• Knoxville away first-half total average is 1.25 goals per game.
• Knoxville away first-half average: 0.375 scored, 0.875 conceded.
• Knoxville overall first-half average: 0.47 scored, 0.6 conceded.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or One Knoxville SCEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches have generally produced enough goals to push the total past two and a half.

• Cosmos tracked matches average 3.0 total goals (1.27 for, 1.73 against).
• Knoxville tracked matches average 2.6 total goals (1.27 for, 1.33 against).
• The June meeting produced 4 goals.
• Knoxville away window averages 3.3 total goals per game.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Cosmos have produced low home goal totals, making fewer than two goals the more likely outcome.

• Cosmos home average is 1.17 goals scored per game across 6 home matches.
• Cosmos scored 5 goals in 6 home matches in the window.
• Cosmos were held scoreless in their 0-3 loss on Oct 10.
• Knoxville kept 3 clean sheets in 15 tracked matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonNew York Cosmos under 1.5Estimated chance68%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

One Knoxville score regularly on their travels, making a Cosmos clean sheet unlikely.

• Knoxville away window saw them score in 7 of 8 matches.
• Cosmos have only 3 clean sheets in 15 tracked matches.
• Cosmos home concede 1.33 goals per game across 6 matches.
• Knoxville season away total is 27 goals in 15 games.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonOne Knoxville SC to scoreEstimated chance76%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Combining both sides' first-half rates gives a realistic chance of at least one goal before the break.

• Cosmos home first-half total average is 0.67 goals per game.
• Knoxville away first-half total average is 1.25 goals per game.
• Cosmos overall concede 0.8 first-half goals per game.
• Knoxville away concede 0.875 first-half goals per game.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams score at well under a goal a half, making a first-half blank for at least one side very likely.

• Cosmos home first-half average: 0.33 scored, 0.33 conceded.
• Knoxville away first-half average: 0.375 scored, 0.875 conceded.
• Cosmos overall first-half average: 0.47 scored, 0.8 conceded.
• Knoxville overall first-half average: 0.47 scored, 0.6 conceded.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides' second halves average close to two goals, putting two or more within reach.

• Cosmos home second-half total average is 1.83 goals per game.
• Knoxville away second-half total average is 1.875 goals per game.
• Cosmos overall second-half average: 0.8 scored, 0.93 conceded.
• Knoxville overall second-half average: 0.8 scored, 0.73 conceded.