Richmond Kickers22 – 0New York Cosmos0

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Richmond's home form is modest but New York's away record is abysmal with zero points from eight games, giving the hosts a clear edge despite their own struggles.

• Richmond have 3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses at home this season, while New York have 0 wins, 0 draws, 8 losses away.
• Richmond's last 5 matches: W-L-L-L-D (4 points), New York's last 5: L-L-D-W-L (4 points).
• Richmond have a 4-point advantage in the standings (15 vs 11) and a slightly better goal difference (-19 vs -20).
• New York have lost all 8 away matches, conceding 24 goals (3.0 per game) and scoring only 7 (0.88 per game).

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRichmond KickersEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

New York's perfect losing record on the road makes a Richmond win or draw highly probable, as the hosts are relatively solid at home.

• Richmond have avoided defeat in 5 of 8 home matches (62.5%), while New York have lost all 8 away matches.
• New York's away goal difference is -17, with an average of 3 goals conceded per game.
• Richmond's home goal difference is -2, with only 10 goals conceded in 8 games (1.25 per game).
• In the last 5 matches, Richmond have 1 win and 1 draw, New York have 1 win and 0 draws.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonRichmond Kickers or DrawEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Richmond's home advantage and New York's poor away form suggest the hosts are more likely to edge the second half, though confidence is low given both teams' inconsistency.

• Richmond have a better home record in the second half, with 3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses overall at home.
• New York have lost all 8 away matches, often conceding late goals.
• Richmond's last 5 second-half results: W, L, L, L, D (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses).
• New York's last 5 second-half results: L, L, D, W, L (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses).

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonRichmond KickersEstimated chance40%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Neither side has demonstrated the ability to control an entire match, making it highly unlikely that either will win both halves.

• Richmond have won both halves in only 1 of 18 matches this season (5.6%).
• New York have won both halves in 0 of 17 matches this season.
• Both teams have negative goal differences and rarely dominate for a full 90 minutes.
• In their last 15 matches, neither team has shown the consistency to win both halves.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Richmond are relatively solid in the first half at home, while New York often trail early, making a Richmond lead or draw at halftime highly probable.

• Richmond have led or drawn at halftime in 53% of their last 15 matches.
• New York have trailed at halftime in 60% of their last 15 matches.
• In home matches, Richmond have been level or ahead at halftime in 6 of 8 games.
• New York have been behind at halftime in 6 of 8 away matches.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonRichmond Kickers or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams frequently concede in the first half, and the majority of their recent matches have seen at least one goal before halftime.

• Richmond average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 1.0 conceded, with 73% of their last 15 matches having at least one first-half goal.
• New York average 0.1 first-half goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with 80% of their last 15 matches having at least one first-half goal.
• In the last 5 matches, Richmond's first halves: 1-0, 0-2, 0-2, 0-2, 0-0 (4 of 5 had a goal).
• New York's last 5 first halves: 0-0, 0-1, 0-0, 0-0, 0-1 (3 of 5 had a goal).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have very low first-half scoring rates, making it unlikely that both will find the net before the break.

• Richmond scored a first-half goal in only 5 of 15 recent matches (33%), New York in 2 of 15 (13%).
• Both teams scored in the first half in only 2 of Richmond's last 15 matches and 1 of New York's last 15.
• Richmond average 0.3 first-half goals, New York average 0.1.
• In the last 5 matches, both teams scored in the first half only once (Richmond's 3-2 win over Alta).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

In the absence of specific corner data, the high-scoring, open nature of matches involving these two defensively weak teams suggests an above-average corner count, but confidence is low.

• Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided match logs.
• Typical USL League One matches average around 9-10 corners per game.
• Both teams concede many shots (implied by high goals against), which often correlates with more corners.
• No specific corner stats available, so this is based on league averages and match context.