Forward Madison
Market 46.5% · BetBugs 55%
Forward Madison are unbeaten at home this season (7W-3D-0L) with a +20 goal difference, while One Knoxville have lost only 2 of 10 away but draw often.
USL League OneFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Forward Madison's unbeaten home record and first-half dominance make them strong favorites, with the best betting value in the first-half result market (Madison to lead at HT at 2.80, edge +14.3pts).
The double chance (Madison or draw) is a high-confidence play, while Over 2.5 goals and BTTS offer moderate value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Forward MadisonMarket 46.5% · BetBugs 55%
Forward Madison are unbeaten at home this season (7W-3D-0L) with a +20 goal difference, while One Knoxville have lost only 2 of 10 away but draw often.
Market 72.5% · BetBugs 80%
Forward Madison are unbeaten at home this season and the head-to-head is draw-heavy, making the double chance a high-probability outcome.
Forward MadisonMarket 35.7% · BetBugs 50%
Forward Madison led at half-time in 73% of recent matches and average 1.1 first-half goals, while One Knoxville led in only 20%.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The handicap market is not available in the attached odds data, so no value can be assessed.
Forward Madison has fulfilled 5 of 7 win predictions, a 71% success rate. Their average estimated probability was 53.6%, with an expected 3.8 fulfilled predictions, indicating they have outperformed expectations. All five fulfilled predictions came at home, where they are 5 for 6, while their only away prediction missed.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Forward MadisonPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 43-23 | 43 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SCPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37-25 | 39 |

