FranceMouilleron-Le-Captif - FranceRETFeatured

Clement Chidekh #205France2Harold Mayot #255France1

Sets 3-6 · 6-2 · 2-0Fri 2 Oct 2026, 18:49Quarter-FinalI.hard

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageClement Chidekh · 50 places

Clement Chidekh

France

Career-best singles ranking listed as No. 176. His recorded career results are concentrated on hard and indoor hard courts; no current injury or withdrawal signal was returned by the targeted search.

Current ranking: #205
Peak ranking: #176
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Harold Mayot

France

Mayot reached career-high No. 103 in October 2024. ATP lists hard as his favorite surface; he was the 2020 Australian Open boys' singles champion and a junior world No. 1.

Current ranking: #255
Peak ranking: #103 · 2024
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Oct 2026, 03:21 · Europe/Bucharest

Mayot has won three of the pair's four meetings and beat Chidekh 6-4, 6-4 on these indoor courts three weeks ago, yet Chidekh arrives with 12 wins in 15 recent hard-court matches, 11 of them without dropping a set.

Mayot is the slightly likelier winner of this quarterfinal, but 1.9 is a fair price rather than an edge, and Chidekh at 1.8 is one to leave. No quoted price here is worthwhile.

Context

The head-to-head and the near-identical recent records shape this quarterfinal: Mayot leads the series 3-1 including the 6-4, 6-4 Rennes win on 18 September, while Chidekh has won 12 of his last 15 hard-court matches and 26 of 33 sets in that window.

The pair last met three weeks ago at Rennes on these same indoor hard courts, and Mayot won 6-4, 6-4 without a decider. Between two similar French baseliners, that is the only recent head-to-head evidence on this surface. Chidekh's response has been two straight wins at this event, including a 6-1, 6-0 first-round win over David Goffin, so the Rennes scoreline describes a different run of form than the one he carries into the quarterfinal.
- Rennes Challenger quarterfinal,, indoor hard, Mayot won 6-4 6-4
- Both players' stored match records list the same 6-4 6-4 result at Rennes
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Oct 2026, 03:20 · Europe/BucharestOpen Blot Rennes match pagewww.tennis.com · 18 Sep 2026Chidekh vs Mayot head-to-head pagescorego-app.com · 1 Oct 2026
Mayot's opening sets have been the most reliable part of his recent matches.
Mayot has won 11 of his 14 first sets in the sample, but his second sets are level at 7-7, with both sets averaging under ten games. The early advantage has not carried through as firmly as the opening record alone suggests. For this quarterfinal that puts more weight on Chidekh's own set-one record of 13 wins in 15 matches, and makes the middle of the match the likelier place for a swing.
- Mayot won 11 of 14 first sets and went 7-7 in second sets across completed hard-court matches from 7 September to 1 October 2026
- His first sets averaged 9.8 total games, his second sets 9.3
- One retirement is excluded from the 14-match hard-court sample
Chidekh has banked most of his recent wins without needing a deciding set.
The 2-0 count of 11 from 15 comes with 26 of 33 sets won and an average of 19.5 games per match, so his wins have generally been settled before a decider. Two tiebreaks in the whole sample point to sets decided by a break rather than by the finest margins. A deciding set remains possible here, so the straight-set run describes his recent habit rather than a fixed shape for this quarterfinal.
- Chidekh's 15 completed hard-court matches from 19 August to 1 October 2026 include eleven 2-0 wins, one 2-1 win, two 1-2 losses and one 0-2 loss
- He won 26 of 33 sets in that window
- Only two of the 15 matches featured a tiebreak
Mayot has already beaten Chidekh in a quarterfinal at this same venue, so surface and round are familiar territory on his side of the net. Chidekh's lone win in the series came at Rennes in 2025, which shows the matchup is not unplayable for him. Recency cuts the other way, though: the two most recent meetings both went Mayot's way indoors, while the oldest result in the set is now over a year old.
- Head-to-head recorded at 3-1 in Mayot's favour
- Previous meetings listed at Rennes (2025, 2026), Grodzisk Mazowiecki (2025) and Mouilleron-Le-Captif (2024)
- The 2024 Mouilleron-Le-Captif meeting was a quarterfinal on indoor hard courts
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Oct 2026, 03:20 · Europe/BucharestChidekh vs Mayot head-to-head pagescorego-app.com · 1 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.90
The read
Mayot has won three of four meetings between them and beat Chidekh in straight sets on the same indoor courts three weeks ago.
- Mayot leads the head-to-head 3-1 and won the most recent meeting 6-4 6-4 at Rennes on 18 September
- Mayot also won a 2024 quarter-final against Chidekh at Mouilleron-Le-Captif on indoor hard
- Mayot has won 11 of his last 14 completed matches on this surface
- Chidekh has won 12 of his last 15 hard-court matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerHarold MayotMarket price1.90Estimated chance53%

Games0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Chidekh has usually wrapped up opening sets without reaching double figures in games.
- Chidekh's first sets average 8.8 total games
- Chidekh has had only one first-set tiebreak in 15 matches
- Mayot has had two first-set tiebreaks in 14 matches
- Mayot's first sets average 9.8 games
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GamesUnder 9.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Mayot's matches have regularly run past 21 games and both men came through three-set battles in the last round.
- Mayot's recent hard-court matches average 23.7 games
- Chidekh's recent hard-court matches average 19.5 games
- Mayot has needed three sets in 5 of his last 14 matches
- Both players won three-set matches in the previous round
BetBugs · Total GamesOver 21.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' second sets average below ten games and tiebreaks have been scarce in that set.
- Chidekh's second sets average 9.2 games
- Mayot's second sets average 9.3 games
- Chidekh has one second-set tiebreak in 15 matches
- Mayot has no second-set tiebreaks in 14 matches
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GamesUnder 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent records lean towards two-set finishes, and their last meeting was over in straight sets.
- Chidekh's last 15 matches include 11 straight-set wins and only three three-setters
- Mayot's last 14 matches include eight straight-set results
- Their September meeting finished 6-4 6-4 in two sets
- Mayot's average match length is 2.43 sets
BetBugs · Total SetsUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Chidekh's second-set record is clearly better than Mayot's, who has split second sets evenly.
- Chidekh has won the second set in 12 of his last 15 matches
- Mayot is 7-7 in second sets over his last 14 matches
- Chidekh's second sets average 9.2 games
- Mayot's second sets average 9.3 games
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerClement ChidekhEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Mayot's first-set record is strong and he started well in their most recent encounter on these courts.
- Mayot has won the first set in 11 of his last 14 matches
- He took the opening set 6-4 in their September meeting
- Chidekh has won the first set 13 times in 15 matches
- Mayot has won three of four career meetings
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerHarold MayotEstimated chance51%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tiebreaks have been uncommon in both players' recent matches, with most sets decided by a break.
- Chidekh has had two tiebreaks in his last 15 matches
- Mayot has had three tiebreaks in his last 14 matches
- Only three of Chidekh's last 33 sets reached a tiebreak
- Mayot has had no second-set tiebreaks in 14 matches
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchNoEstimated chance67%

Prediction history

Harold Mayot: 3/6 recent winner projections matched

3 of 6 comparable winner projections favouring Harold Mayot matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for Harold Mayot6 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

14 Jul·Cordenons - Italy

#457Juan Cruz Martin Manzano2-0#200Harold Mayot

BetBugsHarold Mayot to win·72%

Missed

14 Jul 2026

Cordenons - Italy

#457Juan Cruz Martin Manzano2-0#200Harold Mayot

Harold Mayot to win

72%probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano won

Missed

24 Jun·ATP Wimbledon

#233Alejandro Moro Canas2-0#201Harold Mayot

BetBugsHarold Mayot to win·58%

Missed

24 Jun 2026

ATP Wimbledon

#233Alejandro Moro Canas2-0#201Harold Mayot

Harold Mayot to win

58%probability

Alejandro Moro Canas won

Missed

22 Jun·ATP Wimbledon

#861Nicolas Moreno De Alboran0-2#203Harold Mayot

BetBugsHarold Mayot to win·62%

Matched

22 Jun 2026

ATP Wimbledon

#861Nicolas Moreno De Alboran0-2#203Harold Mayot

Harold Mayot to win

62%probability

Harold Mayot won

Matched

1 Jun·Centurion - South Africa

#214Harold Mayot2-1#670Yusuke Takahashi

BetBugsHarold Mayot to win·65%

Matched

1 Jun 2026

Centurion - South Africa

#214Harold Mayot2-1#670Yusuke Takahashi

Harold Mayot to win

65%probability

Harold Mayot won

Matched

25 May·Centurion - South Africa

#217Harold Mayot2-0#542Millen Hurrion

BetBugsHarold Mayot to win·72%

Matched

25 May 2026

Centurion - South Africa

#217Harold Mayot2-0#542Millen Hurrion

Harold Mayot to win

72%probability

Harold Mayot won

Matched

Previous match context available

Clement Chidekh

12W 3L

6-4 3-6 6-2#311Ugo Blanchet 6-1 6-0#461David Goffin 6-4 6-4#191Harold Mayot

6-3 6-4#334Lucas Poullain

7-5 6-4#1532Finn Bass

7-6(5) 6-1#624Samir Banerjee

6-1 6-1#690Sebastian Dominko

6-1 6-3#605Alexander Vasilev

6-1 6-4#891Axel Garcian

6-3 6-2#850Kenny de Schepper

6-4 6-7(4) 6-2#58Arthur Gea

6-2 6-2#833Federico Coria

2-6 7-5 6-1#105Valentin Royer

6-1 6-3#200Lautaro Midon

6-2 6-4#442Kenta Miyoshi

Harold Mayot

12W 3L

6-4 2-6 6-4#153Tristan Schoolkate 6-3 7-5#418Niels Visker 6-3 7-5#72Titouan Droguet 5-7 6-2 4-2 ret.#268Murphy Cassone 6-3 4-6 7-5#93Jesper De Jong 6-4 6-3#203Edas Butvilas

6-4 2-6 7-6(2)#411Justin Boulais

4-6 6-3 7-5#218Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

6-3 6-3#153Tristan Schoolkate 6-4 6-4#177Clement Chidekh

7-6(5) 1-6 6-4#160Clement Tabur

6-1 6-3#244Max Basing

6-4 6-2#361Dimitar Kuzmanov

6-7(2) 6-3 6-2#508Adrian Boitan

6-2 6-4#272Cezar Cretu

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

CCClement ChidekhChidekh

Last 15

4–4

9 core stats · 1 even

Harold MayotMayotHM

Dead-even recent form — the edges are in serve.

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

1st Serve In14/15 · 15/1563.5%+6.2pp69.7%

1st Serve Won14/15 · 15/1572.6%—73.0%

2nd Serve Won14/15 · 15/1553.0%+0.9pp52.1%

Aces / Match14/15 · 15/153.2+1.54.7

Double Faults / Match14/15 · 15/151.80.5 fewer1.3

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won14/15 · 15/1545.9%+6.1pp39.8%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted14/15 · 15/1547.0%+8.6pp38.4%

Break Pts Saved14/15 · 15/1555.6%+2.4pp58.0%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won14/15 · 15/1555.3%+3.0pp52.3%

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

63.5%1st Serve In14/15 · 15/15+6.2pp69.7%

72.6%1st Serve Won14/15 · 15/15—73.0%

53.0%2nd Serve Won14/15 · 15/15+0.9pp52.1%

3.2Aces / Match14/15 · 15/15+1.54.7

1.8Double Faults / Match14/15 · 15/150.5 fewer1.3

Return · 1–0

45.9%Return Pts Won14/15 · 15/15+6.1pp39.8%

Pressure · 1–1

47.0%Break Pts Converted14/15 · 15/15+8.6pp38.4%

55.6%Break Pts Saved14/15 · 15/15+2.4pp58.0%

Points · 1–0

55.3%Total Pts Won14/15 · 15/15+3.0pp52.3%