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Kispest HonvedKisvarda

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 14:4531 Oct, 14:45

8Probabilities5Priced5Edges68%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight leanNear coin-flip

Quick Take

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Context last updated 30 Oct 2026, 06:17 · Europe/Bucharest

Honvéd's one home win in five league games against Kisvárda's two wins and two draws from five away sets up a tight, low-scoring afternoon between two draw-prone sides.

A draw or a narrow Kisvárda result is the likelier shape. Under 2.5 goals at 2.00, draw-or-Kisvárda at 1.70 and Honvéd under 1.5 team goals at 1.75 all hold up; both teams to score at 1.67 does not.

Context

A mid-table NB I fixture with no reported availability issues and no venue detail supplied; the interest comes from the teams' contrasting league home and away splits and a recent 1-1 meeting.

Kisvárda have taken 8 points from 5 away league games, Honvéd 5 from 5 at home. The samples are small and the opponents differ, but the direction matches a home side with 6 goals in 5 home league games. Kisvárda's six draws in 11 league games also point to a side that keeps games close.
- 2026 NB I, Kisvárda away: 5 played, 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost, 7 scored, 5 conceded.
- 2026 NB I, Honvéd home: 5 played, 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost, 6 scored, 8 conceded.
Kisvárda led at half-time and were pegged back, taking a point from a game in which they were heavily out-created. It shows a side that can defend its area and stay in matches without the ball, which fits a low-scoring read. It also shows how little they created: 2 shots on target across the 90 minutes.
- 18 October 2026, NB I: Kisvárda 1-1 Ferencváros.
- Shots 5-29, shots on target 2-5, corners 1-12.
The first league meeting of 2026–27 was a 1-1 draw in Kisvárda on 25 July, with the away side recovering through an 88th-minute equaliser. It provides a recent direct reference point for this reverse fixture and a useful marker of the series' history. The match was more than three months ago, so it does not establish current selection or availability.
- Kisvárda drew 1-1 at home with newly promoted Kispest-Honvéd in the first round of the 2026–27 NB I season on 25 July 2026.
- C. Herc scored for Kisvárda in the 53rd minute and Á. Baki equalised for Honvéd in the 88th minute.
- The result was the sixth draw across the clubs' 16 top-flight meetings.
ReportedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 06:15 · Europe/BucharestNB1.hunb1.hu · 25 Jul 2026
Honvéd's opening top-flight fixture on 25 July was their first NB I match since relegation in 2023. That makes this game part of the club's continuing return-season story. The historical account does not provide a current squad or managerial update for this fixture.
- Kispest-Honvéd's 25 July 2026 match at Kisvárda was their first NB I fixture in three years.
- Honvéd had been relegated from the top division in 2023.
ReportedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 06:15 · Europe/BucharestIndex.huindex.hu · 25 Jul 2026

BetBugs edges

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Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result2 outcomes · top 62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Kisvarda are the harder side to beat and travel well, while Honved have won just once at home this season.
- Kisvarda away in the league: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 7 scored and 5 conceded
- Honved at home in the league: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, 6 scored and 8 conceded
- Kisvarda have lost only 3 of 11 league games, drawing 6
- The reverse fixture finished 1-1
BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or KisvardaMarket price1.70Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Two low-tempo starters who frequently reach the interval level make a half-time draw the single most likely first-half result.
- Honved were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches
- Kisvarda were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches
- Kisvarda's first halves average 1.16 total goals against 13 games
BetBugs · First Half WinnerDrawEstimated chance38%

Goals4 outcomes · top 68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Two of the division's more draw-prone sides, with Kisvarda's league games averaging barely over two goals, point to a controlled rather than open contest.
- Kisvarda's 11 league games have produced 25 goals (2.27 per game)
- Honved's 10 league games have produced 30 goals (3.0 per game)
- Kisvarda's last three league matches all finished 1-1
- The season opener between these sides finished 1-1
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5Market price2.00Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Neither side keeps clean sheets reliably and both have found the net in the large majority of their matches, including the 1-1 opener.
- Honved scored in 11 of 12 competitive matches; Kisvarda in 11 of 13
- Both teams scored in 8 of Honved's 12 and 9 of Kisvarda's 13
- Kisvarda scored in all seven away matches tracked
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesMarket price1.67Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43
The read
Both teams start cautiously and do most of their scoring after the break, so the opening period is unlikely to produce two goals.
- Honved first halves: 0.92 scored and 0.33 conceded per match over 12 games
- Kisvarda first halves: 0.62 scored and 0.54 conceded per match over 13 games
- Three of Honved's last five first halves ended goalless
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.43Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Honved's home scoring is modest and Kisvarda's away defence is their stronger department, so a multi-goal home display is unlikely.
- Honved have scored 6 goals in 5 home league games (1.2 per match)
- Kisvarda have conceded 5 goals in 5 league away games
- Honved's last two home league games produced 0 and 1 goals
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalKispest Honved under 1.5Market price1.75Estimated chance64%

Match stats2 outcomes · top 59%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides give up plenty of corners and neither dominates territorially, which pushes the combined count above a modest line.
- Honved's matches average 9.4 corners (4.0 for, 5.4 against) over 9 games
- Kisvarda's matches average 11.3 corners (4.5 for, 6.8 against) over 10 games
- Kisvarda's opponents have won 6.8 corners per game against them
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderOver 8.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences allow a high volume of attempts, and neither attack is efficient enough to end moves early.
- Honved's matches: 13.3 shots for, 15.1 against over 9 games
- Kisvarda's matches: 12.5 shots for, 16.8 against over 10 games
- Both teams are out-shot by opponents, keeping both ends of the pitch active
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderOver 25.5Estimated chance59%