Kisvarda1Ferencvaros1

HT 1–0Sun 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–645%

Edges2–0100%

PossPossession 36%–64%ShotsShots 5–29On targetOn target 2–5CornersCorners 1–12

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 Oct 2026, 00:51 · Europe/Bucharest

Ferencváros, the stronger side, travel to a Kisvárda team still without a home league win this season, three days after a European night.

Ferencváros are the more likely winners, but they have drawn half their league games and each of the last three. The quotes that offer something are Kisvárda to win or draw at 2.5 and the draw at 4.33; Ferencváros to win at 1.45 does not.

Context

Ferencváros are now led by Balázs Borbély, appointed in summer 2026 from ETO after he won the 2025-26 NB I title and after the club moved on Robbie Keane. His early months included steering Ferencváros through four European qualifying ties into the Europa League league phase. That matters here because he chooses the side and decides how heavily to rotate for a Sunday league trip with a Thursday European match in between. The uncertainty is that he is in his first season in Budapest, so his league selection and rotation habits are not yet well established.
- Borbély was appointed Ferencváros head coach in summer 2026, taking over from Robbie Keane after winning the 2025-26 NB I title with ETO.
- He has guided Ferencváros through four European qualifying ties into the Europa League league phase.
ConfirmedSources checked 15 Oct 2026, 00:47 · Europe/Bucharest
Ferencváros host Viktoria Plzeň in Europa League league-phase matchday two on Thursday 15 October, three days before travelling to Kisvárda in the league. Borbély's pre-match message concentrated on matching Plzeň's aggression, showing where the club's immediate focus lies. A short turnaround between a home European night and an away league fixture normally invites changes in personnel, which could narrow the gap in freshness and cohesion. No lineup or rotation plan has been confirmed, so how much Ferencváros actually change is unknown.
- Ferencváros host Viktoria Plzeň in Europa League league-phase matchday two on Thursday 2026-10-15.
- The NB I trip to Kisvárda follows on Sunday 2026-10-18.
- Head coach Balázs Borbély said his side must match Plzeň's aggression as well as its play.
ConfirmedSources checked 15 Oct 2026, 00:47 · Europe/Bucharest
Ferencváros are the club that surrendered the 2025-26 NB I title to ETO, and on 10 October they dropped two more home points when Debrecen converted a 95th-minute penalty. A visit to Kisvárda therefore matters within the title race rather than as a routine fixture, since another slip would leave them further off the pace. The limitation is that the Debrecen equaliser came from a stoppage-time penalty, a single late event, so it does not by itself show a deeper problem.
- Ferencváros lost the 2025-26 NB I title to ETO.
- Debrecen scored a 95th-minute penalty to draw 1-1 at Ferencváros in the ninth round on 2026-10-10.
ConfirmedSources checked 15 Oct 2026, 00:47 · Europe/Bucharest
Kisvárda have turned home league games into draws and defeats rather than wins, and their four goals in five home matches point to a tight, low-scoring contest. That record leaves Ferencváros the stronger side in this fixture while keeping a home point within reach.
- NB I table fetched 14 October 2026: Kisvárda have 10 points from nine games, seventh place, with 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats overall.
- Their home league record is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in five games, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Ferencvaros are the stronger, unbeaten side and have a good record at Kisvarda.
- Ferencvaros are unbeaten in 14 competitive matches (8 wins, 6 draws).
- Ferencvaros' away league record is 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss with 9 goals scored.
- Ferencvaros average 2.07 goals per competitive game.
- Ferencvaros have won 3 of the last 5 meetings and drawn the other 2.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFerencvarosEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams score few goals before half-time, making a level half-time score likely.
- Kisvarda average 0.4 first-half goals for and 0.6 against at home.
- Ferencvaros average 0.67 first-half goals away and concede 0.17.
- 4 of Kisvarda's last 5 league first halves finished 0-0.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both clubs draw often, and Ferencvaros' recent league form includes several stalemates. Ferencvaros are the stronger, unbeaten side and have a good record at Kisvarda.
- Ferencvaros have drawn 4 of 8 league games.
- Ferencvaros drew 4 of 6 away matches across all competitions.
- Ferencvaros are unbeaten in 14 competitive matches (8 wins, 6 draws).
- Ferencvaros' away league record is 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss with 9 goals scored.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or FerencvarosEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score few goals before half-time, making a level half-time score likely. Ferencvaros carry the greater threat before the break and rarely concede early.
- Kisvarda average 0.4 first-half goals for and 0.6 against at home.
- Ferencvaros average 0.67 first-half goals away and concede 0.17.
- Ferencvaros average 0.93 first-half goals per competitive game.
- Ferencvaros concede 0.29 first-half goals per game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or FerencvarosEstimated chance84%

Goals2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kisvarda's home matches rarely produce many goals and recent meetings have been tight.
- Kisvarda home league games average 2.2 goals in total.
- Kisvarda have scored 4 goals in 5 home league games.
- The last 5 meetings produced 2, 3, 1, 0 and 4 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Ferencvaros' defence is reliable and Kisvarda score little at home.
- Ferencvaros kept 7 clean sheets in 14 competitive matches.
- Kisvarda have scored 4 goals in 5 home league games.
- Ferencvaros kept 3 clean sheets in 6 away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Ferencvaros usually score before half-time, so a first-half goal is likely.
- Ferencvaros average 0.93 first-half goals per competitive game.
- Kisvarda home games average 1.0 first-half goals in total.
- Ferencvaros scored a first-half goal in 4 of their last 5 matches with data.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance57%

Match stats2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Kisvarda's matches produce plenty of corners, and this game should follow suit.
- Kisvarda home games average 12.6 corners in total.
- Kisvarda's last 5 matches with data averaged 12.4 corners.
- Ferencvaros away games average 8.8 corners in total.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kisvarda's matches tend to be busy in front of goal, supporting a higher total.
- Kisvarda home games average 29.4 shots in total.
- Kisvarda's recent matches averaged about 30 shots.
- Ferencvaros away games average 26 shots in total.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 27.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Ferencvaros put several shots on target, which should push the total above the line.
- Ferencvaros away games average 9 shots on target in total.
- Kisvarda home games average 7 shots on target in total.
- Ferencvaros average 5 shots on target in away games.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Ferencvaros pick up plenty of cards away from home, so a higher total is possible.
- Ferencvaros matches average 3.75 cards including opponents.
- Ferencvaros average 2.43 yellow cards in away games.
- Kisvarda home league games average 3.0 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance52%