NB IFull time

Predictions graded

Puskas Academy0Kisvarda2

HT 0–1Fri 31 Jul 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions2–625%

Edges1–233%

PossPossession 62%–38%ShotsShots 14–16On targetOn target 4–6CornersCorners 7–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Jul 2026, 23:39 · Europe/Bucharest

Puskás Akadémia vs Kisvárda is likely to be a cagey affair, with both teams adjusting to new coaches and recent H2H meetings all finishing under 2.5 goals.

The best value lies in under 1.5 first-half goals (75% estimated probability, edge +2.5pts), while the full-time under 2.5 goals (60% probability, edge +4.4pts) offers a secondary opportunity. Avoid the home win market, which is overpriced given Puskás's suspension and tactical reset.

Context

Colley received a second yellow card in the 90+2 minute of the 2-0 win at DVSC on 26 July.
- He is suspended for Round 2, confirmed by the club's match report.
- Colley started the opener, so his absence forces a change in the forward line.
Babó Levente took charge of Puskás in preseason and won his first league game 2-0 away.
- Attila Supka joined Kisvárda and drew 1-1 at home in his debut.
- New coaches often prioritize defensive organization early, contributing to low-scoring first halves.
Popoola was a regular starter in 2025-26, featuring in 28 NB I matches.
- He was sold permanently, so Kisvárda must replace his presence in the engine room.
- The team's midfield cohesion may suffer early in the season.
Kisvárda 1-0 Puskás (Mar 2026), Puskás 2-0 Kisvárda (Nov 2025), Kisvárda 2-1 Puskás (Aug 2025).
- Puskás has won 10 of 23 overall H2H meetings, with 8 draws.
- The pattern suggests home advantage plays an outsized role in this fixture.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Home advantage is decisive in this fixture (5 straight home wins in H2H), and Puskas enters with better recent league form and a new coach bounce, while Kisvarda struggles on the road.
- Puskas Academy won their opening match 2-0 away, while Kisvarda drew 1-1 at home.
- Last 5 H2H: home team won all 5, including Puskas 2-0 vs Kisvarda in Nov 2025.
- Puskas averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over last 15; Kisvarda 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Kisvarda lost 4 of last 5 NB I away matches (W0 D1 L4).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostPuskas AcademyEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Puskas's strong home H2H record and Kisvarda's poor away form make a home win or draw highly likely, supported by Puskas's defensive solidity early in matches.
- Puskas Academy unbeaten in 3 of last 5 home NB I matches (W2 D1 L2).
- Kisvarda failed to win any of last 5 away NB I matches (D1 L4).
- H2H at Puskas: Puskas won 2-0 in Nov 2025, and 4-2 in May 2024.
- Puskas conceded only 0.8 first-half goals on average; Kisvarda scored 0.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostPuskas Academy or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be level at half-time, with Puskas often trailing but Kisvarda rarely leading; the H2H pattern of drawn first halves reinforces a stalemate at the break.
- Puskas half-time results: W27% D26% L47% over last 15.
- Kisvarda half-time results: W20% D40% L40% over last 15.
- Last 3 H2H first halves: 0-0, 0-0, 1-1.
- Puskas scored first-half goals in only 5 of last 10 NB I matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Puskas tends to improve after the break, while Kisvarda's defense weakens; the H2H trend of second-half home goals supports a narrow second-half edge for Puskas.
- Puskas scored 60% of their goals in the second half over last 15 (0.8 second-half goals per game).
- Kisvarda conceded 60% of their goals in the second half (0.8 second-half goals conceded per game).
- In the last H2H at Puskas, both goals came in the second half.
- Puskas won the second half in 3 of last 5 home NB I matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradablePuskas AcademyEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Puskas win aligns with both teams' half-time/full-time patterns and the most recent H2H at this venue, though the specific sequence is uncommon.
- Puskas drew at half-time in 26% of matches but won 40% overall.
- Kisvarda drew at half-time in 40% of matches but lost 53% overall.
- Last H2H at Puskas: 0-0 at HT, 2-0 FT.
- Puskas scored 0.8 second-half goals per game vs Kisvarda's 0.8 second-half conceded.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Puskas AcademyEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low scoring averages and recent H2H matches have been tight, with Kisvarda's away goal struggles pointing to a low-scoring affair.
- Puskas Academy: 1.3 goals scored, 1.2 conceded per game over last 15.
- Kisvarda: 1.0 goals scored, 1.3 conceded per game over last 15.
- Last 3 H2H meetings: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 (all under 2.5 goals).
- Kisvarda failed to score in 3 of last 5 away NB I matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kisvarda's away scoring woes and Puskas's recent defensive solidity, combined with a low-scoring H2H trend, suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Kisvarda failed to score in 3 of last 5 away NB I matches.
- Puskas kept a clean sheet in their opening 2-0 win.
- Last H2H at Puskas: 2-0 home win.
- Kisvarda averaged only 0.5 first-half goals, and 1.0 overall.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are slow starters with low first-half scoring rates, and recent H2H first halves have been goalless or low-scoring, making under 1.5 first-half goals highly probable.
- Puskas first-half goals: 0.7 avg; first-half conceded: 0.8 avg.
- Kisvarda first-half goals: 0.5 avg; first-half conceded: 0.7 avg.
- Last 3 H2H first halves: 0-0, 0-0, 1-1 (all under 1.5).
- Puskas led at half-time in only 27% of matches; Kisvarda in 20%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate moderate corner counts, and recent H2H meetings have averaged 9.0 corners, with a trend toward lower totals, supporting under 9.5 corners.
- Puskas average corners: 5.4 per game; opponent corners: 4.9 per game.
- Kisvarda average corners: 3.5 per game; opponent corners: 5.1 per game.
- Last 5 H2H corner totals: 11, 10, 9, 9, 6 (avg 9.0).
- Both teams rank below league average in corners taken.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined card averages suggest around 4.5 cards, but Puskas's high foul rate and the competitive nature of early-season matches could push the total over 4.5.
- Puskas average yellow cards: 2.3 per game; opponent: 2.1 per game.
- Kisvarda average yellow cards: 2.0 per game; opponent: 1.5 per game.
- Last 3 H2H card totals: 5, 4, 3 (avg 4.0).
- Puskas committed 16.9 fouls per game, Kisvarda 13.1.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

L1-0Kisvarda FCvPuskas AcademyMar 6, 2026NB

W2-0Puskas AcademyvKisvarda FCNov 22, 2025NB

L2-1Kisvarda FCvPuskas AcademyAug 10, 2025NB

W4-2Puskas AcademyvKisvarda FCMay 4, 2024NB

W0-2Kisvarda FCvPuskas AcademyFeb 10, 2024NB

Puskas Academy: 2 clean sheets2.8 goals/game avg

League Table

NB I 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Puskas Academy Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	1	1	0	0	2-0	3	W
6	Kisvarda	1	0	1	0	1-1	1	D

2pt gap between teamsPuskas Academy leads the league

Recent Form

Puskas Academy

W2-0Debreceni VSCJul 26NB

L0-2BaşakşehirJul 16FRI

D1-1FC BW LinzJul 11FRI

W1-0Slovan BratislavaJul 4FRI

D2-2MTK BudapestMay 15NB

W3-1Zalaegerszegi TEMay 1NB

W2-0UjpestApr 25NB

L0-1PaksApr 19NB

L1-2Ferencvarosi TCApr 14NB

L1-4Gyori ETO FCApr 10NB

W2-1Diosgyori VTKApr 5NB

D1-1Debreceni VSCMar 22NB

L0-1Kisvarda FCMar 6NB

L1-2NyiregyhazaMar 1NB

W2-0KazincbarcikaiFeb 21NB

Kisvarda

D1-1Budapest HonvedJul 25NB

W1-0Zemplín MichalovceJul 18FRI

L0-1BukovynaJul 15FRI

W1-0KazincbarcikaiJul 11FRI

L1-3VasasJul 8FRI

W5-0Tatran PrešovJul 4FRI

L1-2Budapest HonvedJun 27FRI

L0-1Gyori ETO FCMay 16NB

L1-2KazincbarcikaiMay 2NB

L1-2Diosgyori VTKApr 25NB

L1-2MTK BudapestApr 18NB

D0-0Debreceni VSCApr 13NB

L0-2Zalaegerszegi TEApr 4NB

D1-1Ferencvarosi TCMar 22NB

L1-2UjpestMar 14NB

Squad & Injuries

Puskas Academy

25 available

Attackers5

Midfielders11

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

Kisvarda

29 available

Attackers8

Midfielders8

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 1.5

Under 2.5

Puskas Academy or Draw

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Puskas Academy

Kisvarda

Squad & Injuries

Puskas Academy

Kisvarda