Zalaegerszeg1Kisvarda1

HT 0–0Sat 24 Oct 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–450%

Edges5–271%

PossPossession 51%–49%ShotsShots 11–7On targetOn target 3–3CornersCorners 6–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Oct 2026, 13:53 · Europe/Bucharest

Zalaegerszeg's home form — three wins in four league games, 11 goals — meets a Kisvárda side that has drawn five of ten and just held Ferencváros.

Zalaegerszeg are the likelier winners, but 1.85 is short; the draw or Kisvárda at 1.88 and no goals in the first half at 3.4 are the two prices the record supports.

Context

Zalaegerszeg's points have come almost entirely at their own ground: they beat Paks 5-2 in August and Nyíregyháza 5-1 on 11 October after trailing at half-time, then lost 3-0 at Debrecen a week later, part of an away run of defeats stretching back roughly six months. Returning home matters because their scoring rate there is the clearest counterweight to a Kisvárda side that has drawn its last two league matches. The caveat is that both home wins came against opponents who left space, while Kisvárda's recent points were earned by defending deep, so the venue switch alone does not settle the match.
- Zalaegerszeg overturned a half-time deficit to beat Nyíregyháza 5-1 at home on 11 October 2026.
- Zalaegerszeg lost 3-0 at Debreceni VSC on 18 October 2026 in NB I round 10.
- Zalaegerszeg's away matches had all ended in defeat for roughly six months, as of 19 October 2026.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 13:50 · Europe/Bucharest
Kisvárda took a point from Ferencváros on 18 October and missed a penalty in the process, which says more about their capacity to stay in a match than about attacking threat. Their away record is the better guide for this trip: a 1-1 at Vasas on 10 October and a 2-1 win at MTK Budapest in September, with their only league defeat on the road coming at Nyíregyháza in August. The counterpoint is that Zalaegerszeg at home have scored five in two matches this season, a different challenge from the deep defending that earned the Ferencváros draw.
- Kisvárda drew 1-1 with Ferencváros in NB I round 10 on 18 October 2026.
- Kisvárda missed a penalty in that draw.
- The draw was Ferencváros' fourth consecutive league draw.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 13:50 · Europe/Bucharest
Zalaegerszeg have won three of four home league games, but not all of those wins were built on control. Against Puskás they scored in the first half and then absorbed pressure, managing two shots on target to Puskás's four. It is a reminder that their home record contains different kinds of performance, so a narrow, low-scoring home win is also within their recent range.
- 6 September 2026, NB I: Zalaegerszeg 1-0 Puskás Academy, with Zalaegerszeg taking 8 shots to 16 and 2 shots on target to 4.
- Zalaegerszeg had 1 corner to Puskás's 7 in that match.
- The only goal came in the first half.
Kisvárda's first halves have been the quieter half of their games: eight goals scored and four conceded before the break in 11 competitive matches, against 12 scored and eight conceded after it. That fits an away side content to stay compact early and push later. Zalaegerszeg's home first halves have averaged a goal at each end, so the opening 45 minutes is where the two records pull against each other.
- In 11 competitive matches from 25 July to 18 October 2026, Kisvárda averaged 0.73 first-half goals for and 0.36 against (8 scored, 4 conceded).
- The same 11 matches produced 1.09 second-half goals for and 0.73 against (12 scored, 8 conceded).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.85
The read
Zalaegerszeg's home record is far better than their away form, giving them the stronger case for victory.
- Zalaegerszeg have won 3 of 4 home league games, scoring 11 and conceding 4.
- Kisvárda have drawn 5 of 11 competitive matches.
- Zalaegerszeg lost their latest league game 0-3 at Debrecen.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostZalaegerszegEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40
The read
Kisvárda's cautious away starts and Zalaegerszeg's mixed first halves make a level half-time plausible.
- Kisvárda were level at half-time in four of their last six matches.
- Kisvárda conceded only one first-half goal in five away matches.
- Zalaegerszeg's home first halves average 1.00 goal for and 1.00 against.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg's home record is far better than their away form, giving them the stronger case for victory. Kisvárda's away results and recent resilience make an away win plausible.
- Zalaegerszeg have won 3 of 4 home league games, scoring 11 and conceding 4.
- Kisvárda have drawn 5 of 11 competitive matches.
- Kisvárda are unbeaten in two league games, including a 1-1 draw with Ferencváros.
- Kisvárda's league away record is 2W 1D 1L with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostZalaegerszeg or KisvardaEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Zalaegerszeg have shown they can take a first-half lead, though Kisvárda start away games cautiously. Kisvárda's cautious away starts and Zalaegerszeg's mixed first halves make a level half-time plausible.
- Zalaegerszeg average 1.00 first-half goal at home.
- Kisvárda conceded only one first-half goal in five away matches.
- Kisvárda were level at half-time in four of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonZalaegerszeg or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Zalaegerszeg's home matches have been high-scoring enough to lean towards over 2.5 goals.
- Zalaegerszeg's four home league games have produced 15 goals.
- Kisvárda's four league away games have produced 10 goals.
- Zalaegerszeg's last five league games averaged 2.8 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Kisvárda's record of scoring and conceding, plus Zalaegerszeg's home goals, points to both teams scoring.
- Kisvárda have both scored and conceded in 7 of 11 competitive matches.
- Zalaegerszeg have scored 11 goals in four home league games.
- Kisvárda averaged 1.5 goals in four league away games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half goals have been common in Zalaegerszeg's matches, making over 0.5 likely.
- Zalaegerszeg's last six matches all had a first-half goal.
- Zalaegerszeg's home league first halves average 2.00 goals.
- Kisvárda's away matches average 1.20 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance68%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg's low home corner output points to fewer than 8.5 corners.
- Zalaegerszeg's four home league matches average 7.0 total corners.
- Zalaegerszeg average 2.25 corners at home.
- Kisvárda's three away matches with corner data average 9.7 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 8.5Estimated chance56%