NB IFull time

Predictions graded

Puskas Academy3Kispest Honved1

HT 2–1Fri 18 Sept 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions12–286%

Edges6–0100%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 16–17On targetOn target 5–5CornersCorners 9–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 17 Sep 2026, 23:01 · Europe/Bucharest

Puskás Academy are the rightful favourites given Honvéd's winless away form and the H2H record, but their weak home split and Fameyeh's exit temper confidence.

The value sits in the match-winner at 2.15 and the home-or-draw double chance at 1.38; goal and first-half markets are priced too short to back.

Context

Puskas Academy are second in NB I with 12 points from seven games, but their home and away records are sharply different. They have won three of four away matches and only one of three at home.
At home, Puskas Academy have conceded six goals in three league games, including a 1-2 loss to Ferencvarosi TC on 30 August 2026 and a 0-2 loss to Kisvarda FC on 31 July 2026. Their away form shows they can defend better on the road, with three wins from four. Kispest Honved have drawn two of three away games and scored five goals on their travels, so they arrive with a reasonable chance of taking something from a ground where the hosts have struggled.
- Puskas Academy home record in NB I 2026: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, 4 goals scored, 6 conceded in 3 games.
- Puskas Academy away record in NB I 2026: 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 6 goals scored, 3 conceded in 4 games.
- On 30 August 2026, Puskas Academy lost 1-2 at home to Ferencvarosi TC in NB I.
- On 31 July 2026, Puskas Academy lost 0-2 at home to Kisvarda FC in NB I.
Kispest Honved are 11th in NB I with 6 points from six matches, one point above bottom club Zalaegerszegi TE on goal difference. The league table shows them in the relegation zone with a record of one win, three draws and two losses.
Honved have drawn three of six league games and two of three away matches, scoring five goals on the road. They have not won away in NB I this season, but their away draws against Paks on 9 August 2026 and Kisvarda FC on 25 July 2026 show they can avoid defeat. With Puskas Academy's home form being their weaker side, Honved have a chance to add to their points total and move out of the bottom three.
- Kispest Honved are 11th in NB I with 6 points from 6 games, record: 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses.
- Kispest Honved away record in NB I 2026: 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 5 goals scored, 6 conceded in 3 games.
- On 9 August 2026, Kispest Honved drew 2-2 away at Paks in NB I.
- On 25 July 2026, Kispest Honved drew 1-1 away at Kisvarda FC in NB I.
Puskas Academy average 0.7 red cards per NB I match this season, the highest rate in the supplied data. They have received red cards in two of their last three league games.
On 31 July 2026, Puskas Academy had a player sent off in a 0-2 home loss to Kisvarda FC. On 26 July 2026, they also received a red card in a 2-0 away win at Debreceni VSC. Playing with ten men for long spells can disrupt their shape and increase the workload on the remaining players. Kispest Honved have drawn two of three away games and could benefit if Puskas Academy are again reduced in numbers.
- Puskas Academy average 0.7 red cards per game in NB I 2026.
- On 31 July 2026, Puskas Academy received a red card in a 0-2 home loss to Kisvarda FC.
- On 26 July 2026, Puskas Academy received a red card in a 2-0 away win at Debreceni VSC.
Joel Fameyeh was a first-team forward at Puskás Academy until the club announced a mutual contract termination on 15 September, three days before this fixture.
His exit removes a squad-listed forward from the home side's matchday attacking selection for the Honvéd match. The claim does not name a replacement or state how Puskás will restructure their forward line, so the on-field effect on their attacking setup remains unclear.
- Puskás Academy said Joel Fameyeh ended his contract with the club by mutual agreement on 15 September.
- The club identified Fameyeh as a first-team forward.
ConfirmedSources checked 17 Sep 2026, 23:00 · Europe/BucharestPuskás Academy: Fameyeh leavespuskasakademia.hu · 15 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.28

BetBugs 78% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Both teams average roughly one first-half goal each (Puskas 0.9, Honved 1.1) and each led at half-time in 40% of matches, making at least one first-half goal the strong base case.

Total Goals AwaywonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.28

BetBugs 78% · Market 80%

−2.0ppshort

Honved scored in five of their last six NB I matches and have five goals in three away league games, while Puskas conceded in five of their last seven.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.62fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Combined averages of 2.9 (Puskas) and 3.8 (Honved) goals per match plus Honved's run of 5, 1, 3, 4 and 6 total goals point to an open contest.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.55fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Honved's consistent scoring (5 of last 6) meets Puskas's leaky home defence (2 goals conceded per home game), supporting both teams scoring.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Puskas hold a clear table and H2H edge, but their poor home split (1W-2L at home) tempers confidence against a Honved side that has drawn 2 of 3 away games.
- Puskas Academy sit 2nd on 12 pts (4W-0D-3L, 7 played) while Honved are 11th on 6 pts (1W-3D-2L, 6 played) in NB I 2026
- Puskas away record is strong (3W-0D-1L, 6 goals for, 3 against in 4), but home record is weak (1W-0D-2L, 4 for, 6 against in 3)
- Honved away record: 0W-2D-1L, 5 goals for, 6 against in 3 NB I away matches
- H2H last 5: Puskas won 3 of 5 meetings, including both 2023 home fixtures (2-1, 1-0)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPuskas AcademyEstimated chance52%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Honved's winless away record and relegation-zone position make a Puskas win or draw the dominant combined outcome, supported by the H2H pattern.
- Puskas are 2nd in NB I with 12 points from 7 games, 6 points clear of the relegation line
- Honved have won only 1 of 6 league matches (1W-3D-2L) and sit 11th, level with the relegation line
- Honved away form: 0 wins in 3 NB I away games (2D-1L)
- H2H last 5: Puskas unbeaten in 4 of 5, winning 3
BetBugs · Double ChancewonPuskas Academy or DrawEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams frequently reach half-time level and concede few first-half goals, making a drawn first half the single most likely outcome.
- Puskas were level at half-time in 4 of their last 7 NB I matches
- Honved were level at half-time in 4 of their last 6 NB I matches
- Puskas first-half goals conceded average 0.5; Honved first-half goals conceded average 0.5
- Both teams led at half-time in only 40% of matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Puskas's solid first-half defensive record and Honved's weak away form make a Puskas lead or level half-time the safer combined outcome.
- Puskas led or drew at half-time in 5 of their last 7 NB I matches
- Honved trailed at half-time in only 13% of matches, but won only 1 of 6 league games overall
- Puskas first-half goals for average 0.9 vs Honved's 1.1, but Puskas concede only 0.5 before the break
- Honved's away league form is 0W-2D-1L
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonPuskas Academy or DrawEstimated chance68%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams carry high combined goal averages and Honved's recent league games have been consistently high-scoring, pointing to an open contest.
- Puskas average 1.8 goals for and 1.1 against across last 15 matches (2.9 combined)
- Honved average 2.5 goals for and 1.3 against across last 15 matches (3.8 combined)
- Honved's last 5 NB I matches produced 5, 1, 3, 4 and 6 total goals
- Puskas home games this season: 4 for, 6 against in 3 matches (3.3 combined per game)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Honved's consistent scoring output and Puskas's leaky home defence (2 goals conceded per home game) make both teams scoring likely.
- Honved scored in 5 of their last 6 NB I matches (10 goals in 6 league games)
- Puskas conceded in 5 of their last 7 NB I matches, including 2 goals in each of their last two home defeats
- Puskas home record shows 6 goals conceded in 3 home games
- Honved have scored 5 goals in 3 away league matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides show meaningful first-half scoring rates and high half-time leading percentages, making at least one first-half goal highly probable.
- Puskas average 0.9 first-half goals and concede 0.5 in the first half across last 15
- Honved average 1.1 first-half goals and concede 0.5 in the first half across last 15
- Honved led at half-time in 40% of matches; Puskas led at half-time in 40%
- Honved scored 5 first-half goals in their recent cup win and 2 in the league draw with MTK
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined second-half scoring expectations from both teams' goal splits point to a lively second period.
- Puskas average 1.8 total goals with 0.9 in the first half, implying roughly 0.9 in the second half
- Honved average 2.5 total goals with 1.1 in the first half, implying roughly 1.4 in the second half
- Honved's last 5 NB I matches averaged over 3 total goals, with the majority arriving after the break
- Puskas conceded 1.1 goals per game on average, with late-game vulnerability in home defeats
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Puskas's home defensive record and Honved's consistent scoring output make a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Puskas conceded in 5 of their last 7 NB I matches
- Puskas home record shows 6 goals conceded in 3 home league games
- Honved scored in 5 of their last 6 NB I matches
- Honved have scored 5 goals in 3 away league matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonKispest Honved to scoreEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Puskas's scoring average and Honved's leaky defence (1.3 conceded per game) support the home side scoring at least twice.
- Puskas average 1.8 goals per match across last 15
- Puskas scored 3, 3, 2 and 2 in four of their recent league wins
- Puskas home league record: 4 goals in 3 home matches
- Honved conceded 11 goals in 6 league matches (1.3 per game)
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonPuskas Academy over 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Honved's reliable scoring record combined with Puskas's home defensive vulnerability makes an away goal highly probable.
- Honved scored in 5 of their last 6 NB I matches
- Honved have scored 5 goals in 3 away league matches
- Puskas conceded in 5 of their last 7 NB I matches
- Puskas home record shows 6 goals conceded in 3 home games
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonKispest Honved over 0.5Estimated chance78%

Match stats3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average over 5 corners each, giving a combined expectation near or above the 8.5 line, though variance keeps confidence low.
- Puskas average 5.1 corners per match across last 15
- Honved average 5.2 corners per match across last 15
- Puskas home matches this season produced 2, 7 and 6 corners for the home side
- Honved away league matches produced 6, 4 and 7 corners
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined shots-on-target averages from both teams sit comfortably above the 8.5 line, supported by recent match-level data.
- Puskas average 4.7 shots on target per match across last 15
- Honved average 5.8 shots on target per match across last 15
- Honved's recent league matches produced 8, 5, 7, 5 and 4 shots on target
- Puskas's recent league matches produced 4, 3, 5, 7 and 4 shots on target
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show elevated disciplinary averages, with Puskas's high foul count (16.7 per game) and Honved's red-card tendency pushing the combined card count over 3.5.
- Puskas average 2.7 yellow cards and 0.7 red cards per match across last 15
- Honved average 2.0 yellow cards and 1.0 red card per match across last 15
- Puskas's recent league matches produced 3, 2, 2, 4 and 1 yellow cards
- Honved's recent league matches produced 5, 0, 2 and 1 yellow cards, plus a red card vs MTK
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

W2-1Puskas AcademyvBudapest HonvedMay 27, 2023NB

L3-1Budapest HonvedvPuskas AcademyMar 5, 2023NB

W1-0Puskas AcademyvBudapest HonvedOct 15, 2022NB

L1-2Puskas AcademyvBudapest HonvedMay 15, 2022NB

D0-0Budapest HonvedvPuskas AcademyFeb 26, 2022NB

Puskas Academy: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

NB I 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Puskas Academy Play-offs	7	4	0	3	10-9	12	LLWWW
11	Kispest Honved Relegation	6	1	3	2	10-11	6	LWLDD

6pt gap between teamsPuskas Academy leads the leagueKispest Honved in relegation zone

Recent Form

Puskas Academy

W8-1MezőörsSep 13MAG

L0-1Zalaegerszegi TESep 6NB

L1-2Ferencvarosi TCAug 30NB

W1-0VasasAug 22NB

W3-2PaksAug 16NB

W3-2MTK BudapestAug 7NB

L0-2Kisvarda FCJul 31NB

W2-0Debreceni VSCJul 26NB

L0-2BaşakşehirJul 16FRI

D1-1FC BW LinzJul 11FRI

W1-0Slovan BratislavaJul 4FRI

D2-2MTK BudapestMay 15NB

W3-1Zalaegerszegi TEMay 1NB

W2-0UjpestApr 25NB

L0-1PaksApr 19NB

Kispest Honved

W7-0BajaiSep 12MAG

L2-3Gyori ETO FCSep 6NB

W1-0Zalaegerszegi TEAug 29NB

L1-2VasasAug 14NB

D2-2PaksAug 9NB

D3-3MTK BudapestAug 1NB

D1-1Kisvarda FCJul 25NB

L1-2NK OsijekJul 18FRI

W6-0Monori SeJul 11FRI

W2-0SoroksarJul 8FRI

W3-0NaftaJul 4FRI

W2-1Sturm Graz IIJul 3FRI

W2-1Kisvarda FCJun 27FRI

L1-4BVSCMay 17NB

W3-1VasasMay 10NB

Squad & Injuries

Puskas Academy

28 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Kispest Honved

31 available

Attackers9

Midfielders5

Defenders13

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Puskas Academy

Puskas Academy or Draw

Over 0.5

Over 0.5

Over 2.5

Yes

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals6 of 7 landed

Match stats3 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Puskas Academy

Kispest Honved

Squad & Injuries

Puskas Academy

Kispest Honved