Nyiregyhaza0Kispest Honved1

HT 0–0Sat 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–940%

Edges1–325%

PossPossession 63%–37%ShotsShots 18–7On targetOn target 5–3CornersCorners 6–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Oct 2026, 17:45 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom two in NB I meet at Nyíregyháza, unbeaten in four league home games, against a Honvéd side without an away win this season.

The hosts are the likelier winners, though Honvéd's four draws in eight games and two recent level meetings keep it tight. None of the four reviewed prices is worth taking: a first-half goal at 1.25, one side kept out before the break at 1.22, both teams to score at 1.55 and over 2.5 goals at 1.62.

Context

Nyíregyháza's 5-1 defeat at Zalaegerszeg on 11 October and Honvéd's 1-1 home draw with Újpest the same day left the two clubs in the lower reaches, Honvéd bottom and Nyíregyháza in the relegation zone. Their next-round meeting is therefore a direct encounter between sides already under early-season pressure, so the outcome can move the bottom of the table rather than merely adding three points. The pressure is not identical: Nyíregyháza's heavy defeat interrupted a steadier run, while Honvéd have drawn four of eight league games and remain difficult to beat but rarely win. That 'decisive' framing comes from independent league coverage rather than either club, so treat it as stakes context rather than a settled prediction.
- Zalaegerszegi TE beat Nyíregyháza 5-1 on 11 October, after which independent league coverage places Nyíregyháza in the relegation zone.
- Kispest-Honvéd drew 1-1 with Újpest on 11 October, a fourth draw in eight league games, and remain bottom of NB I.
- Independent league coverage describes the next-round Nyíregyháza-Honvéd fixture as potentially decisive for both clubs' relegation dynamics.
ReportedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 17:42 · Europe/Bucharest
The home ground has supplied all six of Nyíregyháza's league points from four matches, and no visiting side has left with a win. Away from home the same team has lost every league game and conceded 15 goals in five. That split makes this their most winnable fixture on paper, though Honvéd have drawn twice in four league away trips, so the advantage is not absolute.
- Nyíregyháza NB I home record 2026: 4 played, 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats, 6 scored, 4 conceded (standings as of 13 October 2026)
- Nyíregyháza NB I away record 2026: 5 played, 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 defeats, 4 scored, 15 conceded
Honvéd's four draws explain how a side with only one league win is not adrift: they have lost three matches, fewer than Nyíregyháza's five. It points to a narrow game rather than an open one, and their draws are split evenly, two at home and two away. Their single win came at home, so the pattern of sharing points travels with them.
- Kispest Honvéd NB I record 2026: 8 played, 1 win, 4 draws, 3 defeats, 12 scored, 15 conceded, 7 points, 12th of 12 (standings as of 13 October 2026)
- Kispest Honvéd home league record: 4 played, 1 win, 2 draws, 1 defeat; away league record: 4 played, 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats
That is the heaviest scoreline in the recent head-to-head record and the last time the sides met outside the league. It came five years ago, in a different competition and with different squads, so it says more about the fixture's history than about this fixture. It does show Honvéd have travelled to Nyíregyháza and scored freely.
- Nyíregyháza 1-5 Budapest Honvéd, Magyar Kupa, 19 September 2021

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalslostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.25fair 1.35

BetBugs 74% · Market 80%

−6.0ppshort

Both teams score before half-time often enough that at least one first-half goal is likely.

Both Teams Score First HalfwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.22fair 1.52

BetBugs 66% · Market 82%

−16.0ppshort

Low first-half scoring at both ends makes it more likely that at least one team fails to score before the break.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza's solid home record and Honved's winless away form give the hosts the better chance.
- Nyiregyhaza are unbeaten in four league home games (2 wins, 2 draws, 6 scored, 4 conceded)
- Kispest Honved have no win in four league away games (2 draws, 2 defeats, 9 conceded)
- The last two meetings, in 2023 and 2024, were both draws
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostNyiregyhazaEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams score relatively few early goals, making a level half-time the single most likely result.
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.5 first-half goals in home matches
- Honved average 0.33 first-half goals against
- Two of Honved's last six matches were level at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Honved's defence weakens after the break, giving Nyiregyhaza the better chance of winning the second half.
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.9 second-half goals for and 1.4 against
- Honved average 1.83 second-half goals against
- Honved concede more after half-time than before
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostNyiregyhazaEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza's solid home record and Honved's winless away form give the hosts the better chance. Honved's habit of drawing and Nyiregyhaza's two home draws point to a tight contest.
- Nyiregyhaza are unbeaten in four league home games (2 wins, 2 draws, 6 scored, 4 conceded)
- Kispest Honved have no win in four league away games (2 draws, 2 defeats, 9 conceded)
- Honved have drawn four of eight league matches
- Nyiregyhaza drew two of four league home matches
BetBugs · Double ChancelostNyiregyhaza or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza often start games at least level, giving them a fair share of the half-time lead. Both teams score relatively few early goals, making a level half-time the single most likely result.
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.9 first-half goals for and 0.6 against
- They led at half-time in four of their last five league matches
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.5 first-half goals in home matches
- Honved average 0.33 first-half goals against
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonNyiregyhaza or DrawEstimated chance71%

Goals3 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both defences give up goals often and neither side keeps clean sheets, so a higher-scoring game is more likely.
- Nyiregyhaza average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded in competitive matches
- Honved average 2.11 scored and 1.67 conceded in competitive matches
- Nyiregyhaza have kept no clean sheet in ten competitive matches
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Neither side shuts opponents out often and both score regularly, so both finding the net is the more likely outcome.
- Nyiregyhaza have scored in 8 of 10 competitive matches and kept no clean sheet
- Honved have conceded in 7 of 9 competitive matches
- Both teams scored in Nyiregyhaza's last five league matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza have tended to score once at home recently, which favours staying under two.
- Nyiregyhaza scored exactly one goal in each of their last two league home games
- They average 1.5 goals in home matches
- Honved kept a clean sheet in one of their last four away league games
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonNyiregyhaza under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Honved have mostly managed a single away goal recently, favouring fewer than two.
- Honved scored one goal in each of their last three league away matches against Puskas, Gyor and MTK
- They average 1.5 goals in away league games
- Nyiregyhaza conceded just 0.6 first-half goals per game
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonKispest Honved under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both teams score before half-time often enough that at least one first-half goal is likely.
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.9 first-half goals for
- Honved average 1.11 first-half goals for
- Honved scored in the first half in four of their last six matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Low first-half scoring at both ends makes it more likely that at least one team fails to score before the break.
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.5 first-half goals at home
- Honved average 0.33 first-half goals conceded
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.6 first-half goals against
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences concede frequently after the break, making two or more second-half goals the likelier result.
- Nyiregyhaza average 1.4 second-half goals against
- Honved average 1.83 second-half goals against
- Five second-half goals were scored in Nyiregyhaza's 11 October match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance63%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Combined corner counts in recent games sit around the line, with the pair's attacking play suggesting it can go over.
- Nyiregyhaza average 5 corners for and 4.8 against
- Honved average 4.4 corners for and 5.6 against
- Recent matches included 14, 13 and 11 corners in total
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The two teams' combined shots on target average just under the line, so going over is a marginal call.
- Nyiregyhaza average 4.2 shots on target and concede 5.2
- Honved average 5.3 shots on target and concede 4.1
- Recent totals included 13, 12 and 11 shots on target
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance51%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza's matches regularly reach around six cards, putting the over within reach.
- Nyiregyhaza average 3 yellow cards and 3 for opponents
- Honved average 2.3 yellow cards and 1.3 for opponents
- Nyiregyhaza's 11 October match produced 6 cards
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 5.5Estimated chance53%