Kisvarda1Gyor1

HT 1–1Sun 30 Aug 2026, 14:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–736%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 45%–55%ShotsShots 18–10On targetOn target 3–2CornersCorners 8–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Aug 2026, 00:09 · Europe/Bucharest

Győr's 2026 H2H dominance (two 1-0 wins) and solid defense make Under 2.5 goals (2.20, +14.5 edge) and Both Teams to Score: No (2.30, +11.5 edge) the standout value plays.

Avoid the match winner and first-half markets, which are priced efficiently or offer no edge.

Context

Gyor sit second in NB I with 8 points from 4 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 3.
Their away record is less dominant: two draws from two games, with 3 goals scored and 3 conceded. This suggests they may find it harder to control matches on the road, though they remain unbeaten. Kisvarda's home form is also poor, so Gyor could still edge this.
- Gyor have 8 points from 4 league games (2 wins, 2 draws).
- Away record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, 3 goals for, 3 against.
Kisvárda midfielder H. Szikszai is suspended for this match after a two-yellow dismissal.
His one-match ban removes a confirmed left-sided option from Kisvárda's matchday selection. The team will need to cover that role from the remaining squad, limiting their in-game changes on that side.
- MLSZ recorded a one-match adult men's league suspension for Szikszai after a two-yellow dismissal.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 11:05 · Europe/BucharestMLSZ — 27 August disciplinary decisionswww.mlsz.hu · 27 Aug 2026
Kisvarda are 8th with 5 points from 5 games, but their home form has been a weakness.
At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 3 and conceding 5. This poor home record could give Gyor confidence, but Kisvarda's recent 0-0 draw with Debrecen shows they can be solid defensively.
- Home record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 3 goals for, 5 against.
- Last home match: 0-0 draw vs Debreceni VSC on 2026-08-23.
Kisvárda midfielder B. Oláh is banned through 30 November.
He cannot be selected against Győr, removing another confirmed option from Kisvárda's defensive midfield choices. The team must adjust without him for this fixture.
- MLSZ suspended B. Oláh from match participation until 2026-11-30.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 11:05 · Europe/BucharestMLSZ — 27 August disciplinary decisionswww.mlsz.hu · 27 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Gyor

1.30fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Gyor's unbeaten away league record and Kisvarda's home draw tendency support the double chance, but the odds are slightly short of our estimate.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gyor's superior form and recent H2H dominance give them the edge, though Kisvarda's home advantage keeps confidence medium.
- Gyor are unbeaten in their last 4 league matches (WDWD) and sit 2nd with 8 points.
- Kisvarda have won only 1 of their last 5 league games (DLLWD) and are 8th.
- Gyor won both 2026 NB I meetings vs Kisvarda, each 1-0.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGyorEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gyor's solid away form and Kisvarda's tendency to draw at home make a Gyor win or draw highly likely.
- Gyor have not lost in their last 4 league matches (WDWD).
- Kisvarda have drawn 2 of their 3 home league games this season.
- Gyor are unbeaten away in the league (2 draws).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or GyorEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gyor's strong first-half record is offset by Kisvarda's home resilience, making a draw at the break plausible.
- Kisvarda led at half-time in only 27% of matches, trailed in 47%.
- Gyor led at half-time in 60% of matches, trailed in 13%.
- In the last H2H, the first half ended 0-0.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Gyor win is possible given Gyor's second-half strength, but away form tempers confidence.
- Gyor have won 2 of their 4 league games, both at home.
- Kisvarda have drawn 2 of 3 home league games.
- Gyor's away form is 2 draws, no wins.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/GyorEstimated chance20%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The low-scoring pattern in recent H2H and Gyor's strong defense suggest a tight game with few goals.
- Both 2026 H2H league meetings ended 1-0.
- Kisvarda average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
- Gyor average 2.0 goals scored but only 1.0 conceded per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gyor's defensive solidity and Kisvarda's scoring struggles make it likely at least one team fails to score.
- Gyor kept clean sheets in both 2026 league meetings vs Kisvarda.
- Kisvarda failed to score in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- Gyor have conceded only 3 goals in 4 league games this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gyor's strong defense gives them a chance at a clean sheet, but Kisvarda's home scoring ability lowers confidence.
- Gyor kept clean sheets in both 2026 league meetings vs Kisvarda.
- Gyor have conceded only 3 goals in 4 league games.
- Kisvarda have scored 3 goals in 3 home league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostKisvarda not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be cautious early, with low first-half scoring averages.
- Kisvarda average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Gyor average 1.0 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
- In the last H2H, the first half ended 0-0.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have seen more goals on average, but the sample is small and confidence is low.
- Kisvarda average 0.7 second-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Gyor average 1.0 second-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
- In the last H2H, the only goal came in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner counts, and the expected cautious play may limit total corners.
- Kisvarda average 5.1 corners per match, Gyor average 3.6.
- In the last H2H, total corners were 14 (9+5), but other matches show lower totals.
- Gyor's recent league matches have seen 2,5,2,4 corners for them.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined card averages suggest over 3.5 cards is possible, but Gyor's discipline in H2H lowers confidence.
- Kisvarda average 2.1 yellow cards per match, Gyor average 2.2.
- Kisvarda average 12.7 fouls, Gyor 10.5.
- In the last H2H, Kisvarda received 3 yellows and Gyor 0.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%