Ettan - NorraUpcomingFeatured

IFK StocksundEnkopings SK

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 17:3016 Oct, 17:30

15Probabilities5Priced5Edges84%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight leanNear coin-flip

Quick Take

Read first

Context last updated 14 Oct 2026, 22:49 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom club Stocksund host fifth-placed Enköping with a 30-point gap between them, and the visitors arrive on four wins from six, the last two 1-0.

Enköping are the likelier winners, though their one goal per away game suggests a tight margin. Of the reviewed prices, only both teams to score in the first half — No, at 1.3 — looks worth taking.

Context

A league fixture made meaningful by Enköping's qualification push and Stocksund's poor home record; neither side has a reported availability issue, so the sporting conditions are otherwise ordinary.

Enköping have won three of their last five Ettan Norra matches, and the 1-0 result at Hammarby TFF on 11 October kept them in the division's top battle near a qualification place. That gives this fixture real late-season weight for the visitors rather than making it a neutral mid-table game. Their recent wins have all been narrow and Arlanda beat them 2-0 on 27 September, so the promotion position alone does not guarantee a comfortable trip.
- Enköpings SK won 1-0 away at Hammarby TFF in Ettan Norra on 11 October 2026.
- Mattias Özgün scored the only goal in the 29th minute.
- The result kept Enköping in the division's top battle and within reach of a qualification place.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 22:46 · Europe/Bucharest
Özgün's first Ettan Norra goal came from a corner in the 29th minute and settled a tight away game, showing a set-piece route to a narrow Enköping win. A first league goal for the club can change how the side is used in the next fixture, and Belouchi's assist ties the move to the Enköping midfield. One goal is a small sample, though, and nothing establishes a settled starting role or a repeatable pattern, so his involvement here should not be assumed.
- Mattias Özgün scored the only goal as Enköpings SK won 1-0 away at Hammarby TFF on 11 October 2026.
- It was his first Ettan Norra goal for the club; Mohammed Belouchi provided the assist.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 22:46 · Europe/Bucharest
Stocksund's games can run away from them before half-time, as that 0-5 interval score shows, and they concede 2.21 goals per match across 14 tracked games. They did score twice after the break that night and have found the net in nine of those 14 matches, so the collapse did not stop them scoring.
- Stocksund lost 2-5 away at Stockholm Internazionale in Ettan Norra on 17 September 2026.
- They trailed 0-5 at half-time and scored both their goals in the second half.
The clubs' recorded October 2025 meeting produced five goals and an Enköping away win at Stocksund, and Lucky Nwafor, who scored that day, is still in the Enköping squad. That offers a small historical edge and a familiar face heading into the return fixture. The result is almost a year old and Stocksund have since changed and struggled, so the precedent carries little weight on its own.
- Enköpings SK won 3-2 away at IFK Stocksund in Ettan Norra on 25 October 2025.
- Kylian Seka scored twice for Stocksund; Emil Özkan, Lucky Nwafor and Linus Zetterström scored for Enköping.
- The game was played at Danderyds Gymnasiums IP before 120 spectators.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 22:46 · Europe/BucharestMatch report — IFK Stocksund 2-3 Enköpings SKwww.transfermarkt.de · 25 Oct 2025

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalsUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.15fair 1.35

BetBugs 74% · Market 87%

−13.0ppshort

Stocksund's first halves average about 1.6 goals and Enköping's about 1.3, making a goalless half unlikely.

Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.29fair 1.64

BetBugs 61% · Market 77.5%

−16.5ppshort

Stocksund's matches average about 3.5 goals and the last meeting produced five.

Match WinnerUncertainty band: Lean

Enkopings SK

1.62fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%

−1.7ppshort

Enköping sit fifth and have won four of their last six while bottom club Stocksund have lost 11 of 14 tracked matches.

Both Teams to ScoreUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.40fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 71.4%

−13.4ppshort

Stocksund have conceded in almost every match while finding the net themselves in 9 of 14, and Enköping score in two-thirds of theirs.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Enköping sit fifth and have won four of their last six while bottom club Stocksund have lost 11 of 14 tracked matches.
- Enköping rank 5 with 45 points; Stocksund rank 16 with 15
- Enköping won four and drew one of their last six league games
- Stocksund lost 11 of 14 matches in the tracked window
BetBugs · Match WinnerEnkopings SKMarket price1.62Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Enköping score 0.67 first-half goals while Stocksund concede 1.21 before half-time.
- Stocksund concede 1.21 first-half goals per match
- Stocksund score 0.36 first-half goals per match
- Enköping score 0.67 first-half goals per match
BetBugs · First Half WinnerEnkopings SKEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Enköping have the stronger side and Stocksund concede about one goal per second half.
- Enköping score 0.6 second-half goals per match
- Stocksund concede 1.0 second-half goal per match
- Enköping rank 5 against Stocksund's 16th
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerEnkopings SKEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping sit fifth and have won four of their last six while bottom club Stocksund have lost 11 of 14 tracked matches. Both season records contain a meaningful share of drawn games, and Enköping's modest away scoring keeps a stalemate plausible.
- Enköping rank 5 with 45 points; Stocksund rank 16 with 15
- Enköping won four and drew one of their last six league games
- Stocksund have drawn 6 of 26 league games
- Enköping have drawn 3 of 26 league games
BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or Enkopings SKEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping score 0.67 first-half goals while Stocksund concede 1.21 before half-time. Both teams average under 0.7 first-half goals, so the opening period can stay level.
- Stocksund concede 1.21 first-half goals per match
- Stocksund score 0.36 first-half goals per match
- Stocksund average 0.36 first-half goals
- Enköping average 0.67 first-half goals
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfDraw or Enkopings SKEstimated chance82%

Goals10 outcomes · top 84%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.29
The read
Stocksund's matches average about 3.5 goals and the last meeting produced five.
- Stocksund matches average 3.5 total goals (1.29 for, 2.21 against)
- Stocksund home matches average 3.34 total goals
- The last meeting finished 3-2 to Enköping
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Market price1.29Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Stocksund have conceded in almost every match while finding the net themselves in 9 of 14, and Enköping score in two-thirds of theirs.
- Stocksund conceded in 13 of 14 tracked matches
- Stocksund scored in 9 of 14 tracked matches
- Enköping scored in 10 of 15 tracked matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesMarket price1.40Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stocksund manage only 1.29 goals per game and were scoreless in five of 14 matches.
- Stocksund average 1.29 goals per match
- Stocksund failed to score in 5 of 14 tracked matches
- Enköping kept two clean sheets in their last six
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalIFK Stocksund under 1.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping have been winning away games by a single goal and average only one per away match.
- Enköping average 1.0 goal in away matches
- Enköping won 1-0 at Hammarby Talang and 1-0 at home to Gefle
- Stocksund kept one clean sheet in 14 matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalEnkopings SK under 1.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stocksund have kept one clean sheet in 14 and concede about 2.2 goals per game.
- Stocksund kept one clean sheet in 14 matches
- Stocksund concede 2.21 goals per match
- Enköping scored in 10 of 15 tracked matches
BetBugs · Team to ScoreEnkopings SK to scoreEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stocksund have scored in nine of 14 matches and Enköping concede 1.5 goals per away game.
- Stocksund scored in 9 of 14 tracked matches
- Enköping concede 1.5 goals per away match
- Enköping conceded in 12 of 15 tracked matches
BetBugs · Team to ScoreIFK Stocksund to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stocksund score in nine of 14 matches, which makes a shutout win for Enköping harder to achieve.
- Stocksund scored in 9 of 14 matches
- Enköping kept two clean sheets in their last six
- Enköping concede 1.5 goals per away match
BetBugs · Away Win to NilNoEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15
The read
Stocksund's first halves average about 1.6 goals and Enköping's about 1.3, making a goalless half unlikely.
- Stocksund first halves average 1.57 goals (0.36 for, 1.21 against)
- Enköping first halves average 1.27 goals (0.67 for, 0.6 against)
- Stocksund conceded in 13 of 14 matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.15Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Stocksund average 0.36 first-half goals and Enköping 0.67, so both scoring before the break is rare.
- Stocksund average 0.36 first-half goals
- Enköping average 0.67 first-half goals
- Stocksund failed to score in 5 of 14 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfNoMarket price1.30Estimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Stocksund's second halves average close to two goals and Enköping's about 1.5.
- Stocksund second halves average 1.93 goals (0.93 for, 1.0 against)
- Enköping second halves average 1.47 goals (0.6 for, 0.87 against)
- Stocksund conceded 3 second-half goals against Umeå
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfOver 1.5Estimated chance53%

Prediction history

IFK Stocksund: 3/6 recent goals projections matched

3 of 6 comparable goals projections involving IFK Stocksund matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for IFK Stocksund6 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

1 Aug·Ettan - Norra

IFK Stocksund0-2