Enkopings SK
BetBugs 42% · Market 45%
Enkopings' home form (4W-1D-2L) and Umea's modest away record (2W-2D-2L) give the hosts a slight edge, but the odds imply a 45% chance, slightly above our 42% estimate, leaving no value.
Ettan - NorraFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Enkopings' midweek cup fixture and squad rotation risk make their home edge less certain, while Umea's improving availability adds balance.
Markets overprice goals and first-half scoring, with the over 2.5 and BTTS lines offering negative value. Wait for lineups before betting, as Enkopings' fatigue could open value on Umea or the draw.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Enkopings SKBetBugs 42% · Market 45%
Enkopings' home form (4W-1D-2L) and Umea's modest away record (2W-2D-2L) give the hosts a slight edge, but the odds imply a 45% chance, slightly above our 42% estimate, leaving no value.
BetBugs 70% · Market 70%
Enkopings' home resilience (only 2 losses in 7) and Umea's modest away win rate make a home win or draw the most likely double-chance outcome, but the odds perfectly match our 70% estimate, offering no edge.
BetBugs 55% · Market 65.4%
Both teams' home/away splits show high-scoring trends, and recent form supports goals, with Enkopings' defensive vulnerabilities at home (13 conceded in 7) and Umea's consistent away scoring (10 in 6) driving the over 2.5 probability above 50%.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Enkopings SK | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21-20 | 22 |
| 7 | Umea FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18-18 | 16 |

