Gyor0Puskas Academy1

HT 0–1Sun 11 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–657%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 59%–41%ShotsShots 12–14On targetOn target 2–5CornersCorners 4–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Oct 2026, 03:08 · Europe/Bucharest

NB I's top two meet in round nine level on 15 points, Gyor having won the last five meetings and Puskas arriving with three wins from four league away games.

Gyor's home record and that head-to-head run make them the likelier winners. At least one side to be kept off the scoresheet at 2.50 and fewer than three goals at 2.40 hold up best; Gyor to win or draw at 1.48 and a Gyor win at 2.30 also stand.

Context

Round nine is the first NB I action since mid-September, and the league's own schedule puts the top two against each other after that three-week break, with both clubs carrying 15 points out of eight games. The winner takes the early upper hand in the title race, but the pause is the real variable here: neither side has a competitive league match behind it since 18-20 September, and the only games in between were each club's Hungarian Cup tie plus, for Puskás Akadémia, a friendly. That makes current sharpness and any rotation choices harder to read than the table alone suggests.
- Round nine of the 2026-27 OTP Bank Liga is scheduled for the weekend of 10-11 October, with Győri ETO and Puskás Akadémia meeting as the table's top two after a three-week break.
- Győri ETO and Puskás Akadémia each had 15 points after eight rounds.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 03:05 · Europe/Bucharest
That run is the strongest single argument for Gyor, who have also scored 10 goals in four league home games this season. The sample comes from the previous season, and Puskas return with three wins from four league away matches, so the sequence frames the fixture rather than settling it. Puskas' only goal in the five came in the April 2026 meeting, which Gyor still won 4-1.
- Gyor beat Puskas Academy 2-0 at home in NB I on 20 December 2025.
- All five listed meetings between the clubs from 7 December 2024 to 10 April 2026 ended in Gyor wins, by 4-1, 2-0, 2-0, 2-0 and 3-0.
Puskas's away numbers are the counterweight to Gyor's head-to-head dominance: three wins from four on the road with only three goals conceded. Gyor have won the last five meetings, so that league travel form has not carried into this fixture. Four away matches is a thin base for either reading.
- Puskas Academy's away record after eight rounds of the 2026 NB I season: four matches, three wins, no draws, one defeat, six goals scored and three conceded (standings fetched 9 October 2026).
Gyor sit level on 15 points at the top while being out-shot and heavily out-cornered in the matches with data. Puskas's opponents also take more shots (14.9 per game) than Puskas manage, so both teams give up chances. Thirteen matches is a limited sample, and shot data is missing for two of Gyor's 15 competitive games.
- Gyor's 13 competitive matches with shot data (7 July to 20 September 2026) averaged 11.0 shots and 3.8 on target, against 17.6 shots and 5.9 on target for opponents.
- Gyor's 13 matches with corner data in the same window averaged 2.9 corners to 6.9 for opponents.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.30
The read
Gyor's home advantage and dominant recent record against Puskas make them slight favourites.
- Gyor have won the last five head-to-head meetings, scoring at least twice in each.
- Gyor are 3W-0D-1L at home in NB I this season, scoring 10 goals in four league home matches.
- Puskas Academy are 3W-0D-1L away in NB I, conceding only 3 goals in four league away matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGyorEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have mixed first-half scoring records, making a level first half the most likely single outcome.
- Gyor's home first halves average 1.14 total goals.
- Puskas's away first halves average 2.0 total goals.
- First halves often finish level in top-of-table matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance36%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The second-half scoring averages are close enough to make a draw the most likely single result.
- Gyor's home second halves average 2.15 total goals.
- Puskas's away second halves average 1.67 total goals.
- Second-half outcomes are often level in evenly matched games.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance36%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gyor's home advantage and dominant recent record against Puskas make them slight favourites. Puskas's strong away scoring form gives them a real chance despite losing the last five head-to-heads.
- Gyor have won the last five head-to-head meetings, scoring at least twice in each.
- Gyor are 3W-0D-1L at home in NB I this season, scoring 10 goals in four league home matches.
- Puskas Academy have won 5 of 6 competitive away matches this season, scoring 2.83 goals per away match.
- Puskas have scored in 5 of their last 6 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonGyor or Puskas AcademyEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have mixed first-half scoring records, making a level first half the most likely single outcome. Puskas's strong first-half away scoring makes them the most likely first-half winner on current form.
- Gyor's home first halves average 1.14 total goals.
- Puskas's away first halves average 2.0 total goals.
- Puskas average 1.67 first-half goals away and concede only 0.33.
- Puskas have won 5 of 6 competitive away matches this season.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Puskas AcademyEstimated chance70%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gyor's home games and Puskas's away scoring suggest a moderate chance of three or more goals.
- Gyor's competitive matches average 3.34 total goals; Puskas's average 3.64.
- Gyor's home league matches average 3.75 total goals.
- Puskas's away league matches average 2.25 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score regularly and each has recent matches with goals at both ends.
- Gyor have seen both teams score in 10 of 15 competitive matches.
- Puskas have seen both teams score in 7 of 11 competitive matches.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Gyor's last 6 and 4 of Puskas's last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Both teams' first-half goal averages point to at least one goal before the break.
- Gyor's home first halves average 1.14 total goals.
- Puskas's away first halves average 2.0 total goals.
- Both teams have scored first-half goals in recent matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede few first-half goals, making it more likely that at least one team fails to score before the break.
- Puskas concede only 0.33 first-half goals away.
- Gyor concede only 0.43 first-half goals at home.
- Gyor average 0.71 first-half goals at home.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half averages point to more than one goal after the break.
- Gyor's home second halves average 2.15 total goals.
- Puskas's away second halves average 1.67 total goals.
- Gyor scored and conceded in the second half of their last two league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance65%

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches regularly produce around ten corners, making over 8.5 more likely.
- Gyor's matches average 9.84 total corners; Puskas's average 10.44.
- Gyor's home matches average 9.83 total corners.
- Puskas's away matches average 10.5 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches consistently produce high total shot counts, supporting over 24.5.
- Gyor's matches average 28.6 total shots; Puskas's average 28.1.
- Gyor's home matches average 29.3 total shots.
- Puskas's away matches average 28.3 total shots.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 24.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches regularly produce around ten shots on target, favoring over 8.5.
- Gyor's matches average 9.7 total shots on target; Puskas's average 9.9.
- Gyor's home matches average 10.0 total shots on target.
- Puskas's away matches average 10.0 total shots on target.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined card averages and recent totals lean slightly toward under 5.5.
- Gyor's matches average 4.7 total yellow cards; Puskas's average 4.6.
- Puskas's last four matches with card data produced totals of 6, 4, 5 and 2.
- Gyor's last five matches with card data produced totals of 5, 6, 3, 6 and 7.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 5.5Estimated chance55%