NB IUpcoming

ZalaegerszegPuskas Academy

Sun 6 Sept 2026, 13:306 Sept, 13:30

11Probabilities0Priced5Edges78%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight leanNear coin-flip

Quick Take

Read first

Context last updated 3 Sep 2026, 00:51 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Puskás Academy to win at 2.25 (11-point edge) or take Draw/Puskás Academy double chance at 1.35 for a safer play.

Avoid Zalaegerszeg-related markets and goal props, as they offer no value.

Context

Zalaegerszeg sit bottom with three points and a -10 goal difference, while Puskas Academy lead the table with 12 points and a perfect away record.

Zalaegerszeg are 12th in NB I with three points from six matches, scoring five and conceding 15. Puskas Academy are 1st with 12 points from six matches, scoring 10 and conceding eight.
Zalaegerszeg have lost five of six league games, including their last four, and have the worst goal difference in the division. Puskas Academy have won four of six and are unbeaten away with three wins from three. The nine-point gap and contrasting form suggest Puskas Academy can control this match, but Zalaegerszeg's only win came at home, so they are not completely without threat.
- Zalaegerszeg are 12th with 3 points from 6 matches (1W, 0D, 5L), goals 5:15.
- Puskas Academy are 1st with 12 points from 6 matches (4W, 0D, 2L), goals 10:8.
- Zalaegerszeg have lost their last four league matches: 0-1 vs Budapest Honved (Aug 29), 0-3 vs Gyori ETO FC (Aug 23), 0-1 vs Ferencvarosi TC (Aug 17), 0-5 vs Vasas (Aug 8).
- Puskas Academy have won three away matches this season: 1-0 vs Vasas (Aug 22), 3-2 vs MTK Budapest (Aug 7), 2-0 vs Debreceni VSC (Jul 26).
Puskas Academy's away record is 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, with 6 goals scored and 2 conceded. Zalaegerszeg's home record is 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded.
Puskas Academy have beaten Vasas 1-0, MTK Budapest 3-2, and Debreceni VSC 2-0 away from home. Zalaegerszeg's only home win was a 5-2 victory over Paks, but they also lost 0-1 to Ferencvarosi TC at home. Puskas Academy's away solidity contrasts with Zalaegerszeg's overall struggles, making the visitors likely to control the match.
- Puskas Academy away record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 6 goals for, 2 against.
- Zalaegerszeg home record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, 5 goals for, 3 against.
- Puskas Academy away wins: 1-0 vs Vasas (Aug 22), 3-2 vs MTK Budapest (Aug 7), 2-0 vs Debreceni VSC (Jul 26).
- Zalaegerszeg home results: 5-2 win vs Paks (Aug 3), 0-1 loss vs Ferencvarosi TC (Aug 17).
The last five meetings between these teams have produced three Puskas Academy wins, one Zalaegerszeg win, and one draw. Puskas Academy won the most recent encounter 3-1 away on May 1, 2026.
Puskas Academy won 3-1 at Zalaegerszeg in May 2026 and 1-0 at home in October 2025. Zalaegerszeg's only win in this period was a 4-2 home victory in November 2024. The recent head-to-head record favours Puskas Academy, but Zalaegerszeg have shown they can score at home against them.
- May 1, 2026: Zalaegerszeg 1-3 Puskas Academy (away win).
- Feb 8, 2026: Puskas Academy 0-1 Zalaegerszeg (away win).
- Oct 19, 2025: Zalaegerszeg 0-1 Puskas Academy (away win).
- Nov 9, 2024: Zalaegerszeg 4-2 Puskas Academy (home win).
Puskás Academy defender B. Ormonde-Ottewill started four of the five recent team fixtures with available lineups before the 30 August match against Ferencváros.
He was replaced by B. Farkas in first-half stoppage time, and MTI reported an injury-enforced substitution. His status for the trip to Zalaegerszeg is unresolved, so the away side may need to adjust its defensive selection if he is unavailable.
- B. Ormonde-Ottewill started Puskás Academy’s 30 August league match against Ferencváros.
- The official match sheet records B. Farkas replacing him in first-half stoppage time.
- MTI reported that Puskás Academy made an injury-enforced first-half substitution.
- B. Ormonde-Ottewill started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
To watchSources checked 3 Sep 2026, 00:49 · Europe/BucharestMLSZ official match sheet: Puskás Akadémia vs Ferencvárosadatbank.mlsz.hu · 30 Aug 2026MTI match report: Ferencváros win at Puskás Academymti.hu · 30 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.62fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Combined average goals per match is 3.6 and Zalaegerszeg concede 2.1 per game, supporting a high-scoring contest.

Both Teams To ScoreUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.53fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 65.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams regularly score and concede, making BTTS a plausible outcome.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to be involved in first-half goals, with a combined average above 1.5, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result4 outcomes · top 78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Puskas Academy's superior league position, perfect away record, and recent H2H edge make them favourites, while Zalaegerszeg's poor away form and defensive struggles support an away win.
- Puskas Academy are 1st with 12 points from 6 matches; Zalaegerszeg are 12th with 3 points.
- Puskas Academy have won all 3 away matches this season, scoring 6 and conceding 2.
- Zalaegerszeg have lost 4 of 4 away matches, scoring 0 and conceding 12.
- H2H last 5: Puskas Academy won 3, Zalaegerszeg won 2; Puskas won the most recent meeting 3-1.
BetBugs · Match WinnerPuskas AcademyEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Puskas Academy's strong away form and Zalaegerszeg's overall poor results make a Puskas win or draw highly likely.
- Puskas Academy are unbeaten away (3W 0D 0L) this season.
- Zalaegerszeg have lost 5 of 6 league matches overall.
- H2H last 5: Puskas Academy won 3, Zalaegerszeg won 2, no draws.
BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or Puskas AcademyEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into half-time level, making a first-half draw a reasonable outcome.
- Zalaegerszeg led at half-time in 20% of matches, trailed in 53%.
- Puskas Academy led at half-time in 33%, trailed in 33%.
- Both teams have a high frequency of drawing at half-time (Zalaegerszeg 27%, Puskas 34%).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A half-time draw followed by a Puskas win is a plausible sequence given Puskas's overall strength and both teams' tendency to be level at the break.
- Puskas Academy have won 4 of 6 matches this season.
- Zalaegerszeg have drawn at half-time in 27% of matches.
- Puskas Academy have drawn at half-time in 34% of matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoubleDraw/Puskas AcademyEstimated chance25%

Goals4 outcomes · top 65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown goal involvement, and Zalaegerszeg's defensive weakness (2.1 conceded per game) increases the likelihood of a high-scoring match.
- Zalaegerszeg average 1.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match.
- Puskas Academy average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
- Combined average goals per match: 3.6 (Zalaegerszeg 3.6, Puskas 2.8).
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly score and concede, making BTTS a plausible outcome.
- Zalaegerszeg have scored in 4 of their last 6 matches.
- Puskas Academy have scored in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Zalaegerszeg have conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Puskas Academy have conceded in 4 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be involved in first-half goals, with a combined average above 1.5, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.
- Zalaegerszeg average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Puskas Academy average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Combined first-half goal average: 1.6 per match.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is slightly above the 1.5 line on average, but confidence is low due to limited direct data.
- Zalaegerszeg average 0.8 second-half goals scored and 1.2 conceded (derived from totals).
- Puskas Academy average 0.7 second-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Combined second-half goal average: 1.5 per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a combined average of 8.7 corners, slightly above the 8.5 line, but data is limited.
- Zalaegerszeg average 3.9 corners per match, opponents 4.0.
- Puskas Academy average 4.8 corners per match, opponents 5.0.
- Combined average corners: 8.7 per match.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined average of 9.4 shots on target suggests over 8.5 is slightly favoured.
- Zalaegerszeg average 4.7 shots on target per match, opponents 5.0.
- Puskas Academy average 4.7 shots on target per match, opponents 5.0.
- Combined average shots on target: 9.4 per match.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined average of 4.6 yellow cards is just above the 4.5 line, but confidence is low.
- Zalaegerszeg average 2.1 yellow cards per match, opponents 2.0.
- Puskas Academy average 2.5 yellow cards per match, opponents 2.0.
- Combined average yellow cards: 4.6 per match.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

W1-3Zalaegerszegi TEvPuskas AcademyMay 1, 2026NB

W0-1Puskas AcademyvZalaegerszegi TEFeb 8, 2026NB

W0-1Zalaegerszegi TEvPuskas AcademyOct 19, 2025NB

L2-1Puskas AcademyvZalaegerszegi TEMar 16, 2025NB

L4-2Zalaegerszegi TEvPuskas AcademyNov 9, 2024NB

Zalaegerszeg: 2 clean sheets3 goals/game avg

League Table

NB I 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Zalaegerszeg Relegation	6	1	0	5	5-15	3	LLLLW
1	Puskas Academy Play-offs	6	4	0	2	10-8	12	LWWWL

9pt gap between teamsPuskas Academy leads the leagueZalaegerszeg in relegation zone

Recent Form

Zalaegerszeg

L0-1Budapest HonvedAug 29NB

L0-3Gyori ETO FCAug 23NB

L0-1Ferencvarosi TCAug 17NB

L0-5VasasAug 8NB

W5-2PaksAug 3NB

L0-3MTK BudapestJul 27NB

W3-1KonyasporJul 18FRI

W1-0Epitsentr DunayivtsiJul 17FRI

D3-3SlováckoJul 11FRI

W3-2NK Slaven BelupoJul 4FRI

L2-3AjkaJul 1FRI

L0-3Ferencvarosi TCMay 16NB

L1-3Puskas AcademyMay 1NB

L1-2NyiregyhazaApr 25NB

W4-0KazincbarcikaiApr 18NB

Puskas Academy

L1-2Ferencvarosi TCAug 30NB

W1-0VasasAug 22NB

W3-2PaksAug 16NB

W3-2MTK BudapestAug 7NB

L0-2Kisvarda FCJul 31NB

W2-0Debreceni VSCJul 26NB

L0-2BaşakşehirJul 16FRI

D1-1FC BW LinzJul 11FRI

W1-0Slovan BratislavaJul 4FRI

D2-2MTK BudapestMay 15NB

W3-1Zalaegerszegi TEMay 1NB

W2-0UjpestApr 25NB

L0-1PaksApr 19NB

L1-2Ferencvarosi TCApr 14NB

L1-4Gyori ETO FCApr 10NB

Squad & Injuries

Zalaegerszeg

32 available

Attackers7

Midfielders12

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Puskas Academy

29 available

Attackers8

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Puskas Academy

Draw or Puskas Academy

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result4 outcomes · top 78%

Goals4 outcomes · top 65%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 55%

Markets to Avoid

Zalaegerszeg

Zalaegerszeg or Draw

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Zalaegerszeg

Puskas Academy

Squad & Injuries

Zalaegerszeg

Puskas Academy