DebrecenvsPuskas Academy

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Opening round with both teams in transition (new coach for Puskas, key attacker sold by Debrecen) and a recent H2H draw suggests a stalemate is likely, supported by Debrecen's high draw rate in recent NB I matches.

• Debrecen drew 5 of their last 15 matches (33%), including 4 of the last 10 NB I games.
• Puskas Academy drew 3 of their last 15 matches (20%), but 2 of those were in the last 5.
• H2H last meeting ended 1-1 on 2026-03-22.
• Both teams have significant turnover: Debrecen lost top scorer Bárány, Puskas under new coach Babó.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Debrecen's low loss rate overall and home resilience, combined with Puskas's inconsistent away form, make the home side avoiding defeat the safer outcome in this opener.

• Debrecen lost only 2 of their last 15 matches (13%), both in NB I.
• At home in NB I last season, Debrecen were unbeaten in 5 of 7 matches with available data (W2 D3 L2).
• Puskas Academy lost 5 of their last 15 matches (33%), including 3 of last 5 away NB I games.

BetBugs · Double ChanceDebrecen or DrawEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The high frequency of halftime draws for Debrecen, combined with Puskas's recent trend and a cagey H2H pattern, supports a level score at the break.

• Debrecen were drawing at halftime in 8 of their last 15 matches (53%).
• Puskas Academy were drawing at halftime in 5 of their last 15 matches (33%), but 3 of those were in the last 5.
• H2H last 5: 3 draws at halftime, including the most recent meeting.
• Both teams scored first-half goals in only 27% of Debrecen's matches and 33% of Puskas's.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While not a high-probability outcome, the combination of Debrecen's tendency to draw and the transitional state of both squads makes a full draw a plausible scenario, albeit with low confidence.

• Debrecen had 4 draws at both halftime and fulltime in their last 15 matches (27%).
• Puskas Academy had 2 such results in their last 15 (13%).
• H2H last meeting: 1-1 draw with a 1-1 halftime score.
• Both teams are in transition, which often leads to stalemates.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The loss of Debrecen's primary goal threat, combined with a history of low-scoring H2H encounters at this venue and both teams' moderate scoring averages, points to a tight, low-scoring match.

• Debrecen's last 15 matches averaged 2.7 total goals, but 8 of those had under 2.5 goals (53%).
• Puskas Academy's last 15 matches averaged 2.6 total goals, with 7 under 2.5 (47%).
• H2H last 5 meetings: 3 of 5 had under 2.5 goals, including the last two at Debrecen (1-0, 1-0).
• Debrecen just sold their main striker Bárány (61 goals in 154 games) 11 days ago.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Debrecen's recent defensive solidity (clean sheet in last match) and Puskas's occasional scoring struggles, plus the attacking disruption for the hosts, make a clean sheet for at least one side probable.

• Debrecen kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 15 matches (33%), including a 1-0 win vs Pyunik just 3 days ago.
• Puskas Academy failed to score in 4 of their last 15 matches (27%), including 2 of the last 5.
• H2H last 5: both teams scored in only 2 of 5 meetings.
• Debrecen's attack is weakened by Bárány's departure; Puskas under new coach may start cautiously.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently produce low first-half scoring, with strong statistical evidence from recent form and H2H, making a quiet opening 45 minutes highly likely.

• Debrecen's first-half goals average: 0.7 for, 0.5 against over last 15 matches; 73% of matches had under 1.5 first-half goals.
• Puskas Academy's first-half goals average: 0.7 for, 0.8 against; 67% of matches had under 1.5 first-half goals.
• H2H last 5: 4 of 5 had 0 or 1 first-half goal; the last 3 meetings all had 0 first-half goals.
• Opening round caution and tactical adjustments under new coaches typically slow starts.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While overall averages are below the line, recent form shows an uptick in second-half scoring for Debrecen, and the match could open up after a cautious first half, though evidence is mixed.

• Debrecen's second-half goals average: 0.8 for, 0.7 against (total 1.5) over last 15 matches.
• Puskas Academy's second-half goals average: 0.6 for, 0.5 against (total 1.1) over last 15 matches.
• However, in the last 5 matches, Debrecen's second halves averaged 1.8 total goals, and Puskas's 1.4.
• H2H last 5: second-half goals totals were 0, 1, 2, 3, 1 – 2 of 5 over 1.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Historical H2H data and both teams' average corner numbers suggest a match with fewer than 10 corners, especially given the likely cautious approach in an opening fixture.

• Debrecen's last 15 matches averaged 8.5 total corners (4.4 for, 4.1 against).
• Puskas Academy's last 15 matches averaged 9.4 total corners (5.1 for, 4.3 against).
• H2H last 5 meetings with corner data (3 matches): total corners were 6, 5, and 7, all under 9.5.
• Both teams' recent matches show a trend toward lower corner counts, with 60% of Debrecen's and 53% of Puskas's games under 9.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently see matches with around 5 total cards, and Puskas's high foul rate increases the likelihood of multiple bookings in what could be a tense season opener.

• Debrecen averaged 2.3 yellow cards per match over last 15; opponents averaged 2.5, totaling 4.8 cards per game.
• Puskas Academy averaged 2.4 yellow cards per match; opponents averaged 2.3, totaling 4.7 cards per game.
• In the last H2H meeting (2026-03-22), there were 5 yellow cards (2 for Puskas, 3 for Debrecen).
• Puskas committed 18 fouls per game on average, indicating a physical style that draws cards.