Fortaleza11 – 1Nautico PE1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Second halves between these teams have often been level or low-scoring, making a draw the most likely outcome.

• Fortaleza's last six second halves included four draws.
• Nautico's last six second halves included one draw and one 2-2 half.
• Fortaleza average 0.5 second-half goals at home, Nautico 0.571 away.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fortaleza's strong home record and Nautico's poor away form make a home win the most likely result. Both teams have shown a tendency to draw, with Fortaleza's home matches often ending level.

• Fortaleza are 2nd in Serie B with 52 points, including 9 wins and 5 draws from 15 home matches.
• Nautico are 14th and have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in 7 away matches tracked.
• Fortaleza have drawn 6 of 15 recent matches, including 4 of 8 at home.
• Nautico have drawn 6 of 15 recent matches, including 3 of 7 away.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonFortaleza or DrawEstimated chance86%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fortaleza's first-half scoring at home and Nautico's blank first-half away record favor a home lead at the break. Both teams have often been level at half-time, and Nautico rarely score early away.

• Fortaleza average 0.875 first-half goals at home and concede 0.5.
• Nautico average 0 first-half goals away and concede 0.857.
• Fortaleza's last six first halves included three draws.
• Nautico's last six first halves included two draws.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonFortaleza or DrawEstimated chance86%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Both teams' home and away scoring averages are below three total goals, making under 2.5 the stronger side.

• Fortaleza home matches average 2.25 total goals.
• Nautico away matches average 2.14 total goals.
• Fortaleza's last six matches averaged 2.17 total goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.36

The read

First-half goals have been common in both teams' recent matches, so at least one goal before the break is likely.

• Fortaleza home first halves average 1.375 total goals.
• Nautico away first halves average 0.857 total goals.
• Five of Fortaleza's last six matches had a first-half goal.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The second-half scoring averages lean toward fewer than two goals after the break.

• Fortaleza home second halves average 0.875 total goals.
• Nautico away second halves average 1.286 total goals.
• Fortaleza's last six second halves had over 1.5 goals only twice.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The average corner counts sit just below the line, favoring under 11.5 slightly.

• Fortaleza home matches average 10.875 total corners.
• Nautico away matches average 10.571 total corners.
• Five of Fortaleza's last six matches had 10 or fewer corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The teams' combined shots on target sit close to the line, with under slightly favored by Fortaleza's recent home numbers.

• Fortaleza home matches average 8.75 shots on target.
• Nautico away matches average 8.0 shots on target.
• Fortaleza's last six matches averaged 7.33 shots on target.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The recent card counts lean below the 4.5 line, so under is the stronger side.

• Fortaleza home matches average 2.25 total cards.
• Nautico away matches average 4.18 total cards including reds.
• Only two of the last twelve matches involving these teams had over 4.5 cards.