Deportivo Moron2All Boys1

HT 1–0Sat 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–660%

Edges2–167%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 3 Oct 2026, 22:24 · Europe/Bucharest

Moron have won 11 of 15 home league games while All Boys have two away wins all season, so a home win in a tight, low-scoring game is the likeliest outcome.

The 1.13 on a Moron win asks far more than that record supports. The draw at 6, over 2.5 goals at 3.3 and both teams to score at 3.3 are the three quoted prices that carry potential value.

Context

That result is the most recent evidence between these two, and it came with All Boys keeping Moron out for the full 90 minutes. It supports the view that All Boys can make this a tight, low-scoring game even away to a strong home side, rather than being swept aside.
- 18 May 2026, Primera Nacional at All Boys: All Boys 1-0 Deportivo Moron.
- Sample: one meeting, the most recent of five supplied head-to-head results.
Moron's home record of 29 goals scored and 10 conceded is why they sit second with 55 points from 31 games, and All Boys' away return of eight scored and 20 conceded is the mirror image. It makes a home win the likeliest single result, though All Boys have drawn 15 of their 31 league games and are hard to put away.
- 2026 Primera Nacional to 29 September: Moron home record 15 played, 11 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat, 29 scored, 10 conceded; overall 31 played, 16 wins, 7 draws, 8 defeats, 55 points, 2nd.
- All Boys 2026 Primera Nacional: away record 15 played, 2 wins, 4 draws, 9 defeats, 8 scored, 20 conceded; overall 31 played, 6 wins, 15 draws, 10 defeats, 17 scored, 26 conceded.
The totals describe a team that keeps matches tight at both ends, which is the main reason this fixture is expected to be low-scoring. All Boys also drew eight of those 15 matches, so a single goal can settle the result either way. The counterweight is Moron's home scoring, 29 goals in 15 league games at their own ground.
- 15 competitive matches tracked 14 June 2026 to 26 September 2026: 3 wins, 8 draws, 4 defeats, 8 goals scored, 8 conceded, 7 clean sheets, both teams scored in 5.
The split points to Moron's best work coming before half-time and their control loosening later, which fits the second-half goals against in their two recent defeats. It makes early goals more likely than late ones from Moron and is a reason to treat a half-time lead as less than decisive.
- 15 competitive matches tracked 13 June 2026 to 27 September 2026: first-half goals for 1.07 per game, first-half goals against 0.20 per game.
- Same 15 matches: second-half goals for 0.60 per game, second-half goals against 1.00 per game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Moron have converted home games into wins all season while All Boys rarely score or win on the road.
- Moron league home record: 11W-3D-1L, 29 scored and 10 conceded in 15 games.
- All Boys league away record: 2W-4D-9L, 8 scored and 20 conceded in 15 games.
- All Boys have 17 goals in 31 league matches and 15 draws.
- Last five head-to-head meetings: two Moron wins, two draws, one All Boys win.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDeportivo MoronEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
All Boys' first halves are the quietest part of their matches and usually finish level.
- All Boys first-half averages: 0.13 scored and 0.13 conceded per game across 15 matches.
- All Boys away first halves: 0.125 scored and 0.125 conceded per game.
- Moron conceded 0.2 first-half goals per game overall.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Moron score less after the break than before it, and second halves often finish level in low-scoring games.
- Moron score 0.6 second-half goals per game across 15 matches.
- Moron concede 1.0 goal per second half on average.
- All Boys' second halves: 0.22 scored and 1.22 conceded per game.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Moron have converted home games into wins all season while All Boys rarely score or win on the road. All Boys' season is built on tight, low-scoring draws and they have held Moron twice in recent meetings.
- Moron league home record: 11W-3D-1L, 29 scored and 10 conceded in 15 games.
- All Boys league away record: 2W-4D-9L, 8 scored and 20 conceded in 15 games.
- All Boys have drawn 15 of 31 league matches, including 4 of 15 away.
- Moron have drawn 3 of 15 league home games.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDeportivo Moron or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Moron start home games on the front foot while All Boys' first halves are almost always quiet. All Boys' first halves are the quietest part of their matches and usually finish level.
- Moron first-half home record: 1.33 goals for and 0.33 against per game across 6 home matches.
- Moron scored in the first half in four of their last six matches.
- All Boys first-half averages: 0.13 scored and 0.13 conceded per game across 15 matches.
- All Boys away first halves: 0.125 scored and 0.125 conceded per game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDeportivo Moron or DrawEstimated chance88%

Goals5 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' low output and the history between these sides point to a tight, low-scoring game.
- All Boys have scored 17 goals in 31 league matches.
- Moron conceded 10 goals in 15 league home games.
- Four of the last five head-to-head meetings produced two goals or fewer.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
One side's scoring rate is so low that a clean sheet for either team is a realistic outcome.
- All Boys have 17 goals in 31 league matches (0.55 per game).
- Moron kept 3 clean sheets in 15 tracked matches and conceded 0.67 per home league game.
- All Boys were held to two 0-0 draws in their last six games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' low-conceding record makes it likely Moron are held below two goals.
- All Boys conceded 0.67 goals per game across 15 tracked matches.
- All Boys away: 1.33 conceded per league away game.
- Moron failed to score in one of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostDeportivo Moron under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' away scoring rate is low enough that two goals would be out of character.
- All Boys have 8 goals in 15 away league games.
- All Boys have 17 goals in 31 league matches overall.
- Moron have lost once at home in 15 league home games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonAll Boys under 1.5Estimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' away games often pass without them scoring, and Moron defend well at home.
- All Boys scored 17 goals in 31 league matches and were involved in two 0-0 draws in their last six games.
- Moron conceded 10 goals in 15 league home games.
- All Boys away: 8 goals in 15 league away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostAll Boys not to scoreEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Moron's home scoring record makes it unlikely they are held scoreless.
- Moron scored 29 goals in 15 league home games.
- Moron were shut out once in their last six matches.
- All Boys conceded 20 goals in 15 league away games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonDeportivo Moron to scoreEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Moron win often at home but their recent habit is to concede at least once along the way.
- Moron have conceded in five of their last six matches.
- All Boys scored 8 goals in 15 away league games.
- Moron home league record: 11 wins in 15, mostly without needing a shutout.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Moron regularly score before half-time at home, making at least one first-half goal more likely than not.
- Moron first-half home scoring: 1.33 goals per game.
- Moron scored before the break in four of their last six matches.
- All Boys' first halves average 0.26 goals in total.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' first-half record makes scoring before the break unlikely, let alone both teams doing so.
- All Boys have scored 0.13 first-half goals per game across 15 matches.
- All Boys away first halves: 0.125 scored per game.
- Moron have kept first-half clean sheets in most of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance91%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent games have been low-scoring, which keeps second-half totals down.
- All Boys' last six matches produced five goals in total.
- All Boys score 0.22 second-half goals per game overall.
- Moron kept a clean sheet in one of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance56%

Prediction history

Deportivo Moron: 2/6 recent goals projections matched

2 of 6 comparable goals projections involving Deportivo Moron matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for Deportivo Moron6 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

26 Jul·Primera Nacional