Primera NacionalFull time

Predictions graded

Ciudad de Bolivar0All Boys0

HT 0–0Fri 17 Jul 2026, 23:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–280%

Edges5–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Jul 2026, 13:15 · Europe/Bucharest

A low-scoring, cagey match is expected between playoff-chasing Ciudad de Bolivar and survival-mode All Boys.

The standout value is first-half under 0.5 goals at 1.95, with a +13.7-point edge, while popular markets like double chance and under 2.5 goals are correctly priced and offer no value.

Context

On 11 July, All Boys wrote that the team 'necesita vencer para despegarse del fondo de la tabla'.
- All Boys sit 13th on 21 points, just above the relegation zone in a league where the bottom two go down.
Giganti signed on 19 May 2026.
- On 27 June, All Boys announced a mini-preseason, four additions or loans, three players no longer in plans, and key injury updates.
On 6 July, local media said Bolivar were 'seguia prendido en la pelea' after beating Godoy Cruz.
- 365Scores still had Bolivar 5th on 30 points after the 11 July loss to Los Andes.
All Boys away record: 1W-2D-7L, 6 goals scored, 16 conceded.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 away games and lost 4 of their last 5 on the road.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Ciudad de Bolivar or Draw

1.22fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

All Boys' terrible away form (1W-2D-7L) and Bolivar's home resilience (70% unbeaten) make a home win or draw highly likely.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 2.5

1.25fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have low-scoring profiles, especially All Boys' weak attack, making a low-scoring game very probable.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

No

1.38fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 72.5%

0.0ppshort

All Boys' offensive struggles, especially on the road, suggest at least one team will fail to score.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Ciudad de Bolivar's stronger home form and All Boys' poor away record, combined with Bolivar's playoff motivation, give them a moderate edge.
- Ciudad de Bolivar home record: 3W-4D-3L, 11 goals scored, 11 conceded in 10 home matches.
- All Boys away record: 1W-2D-7L, 6 goals scored, 16 conceded in 10 away matches.
- Ciudad de Bolivar last 5 home matches: 2W-1D-2L, including a 3-1 win over Godoy Cruz.
- All Boys last 5 away matches: 0W-1D-4L, with 3 goals scored and 10 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCiudad de BolivarEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' terrible away form and Bolivar's solid home resilience make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Ciudad de Bolivar home record: 3W-4D-3L, meaning they avoid defeat in 70% of home games.
- All Boys away record: 1W-2D-7L, losing 70% of away matches.
- All Boys have only 1 away win all season.
- H2H: only meeting was a 0-0 draw.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCiudad de Bolivar or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of first-half draws, and All Boys' passive approach away from home reinforces this trend.
- Ciudad de Bolivar first half results: 4 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses in 15 recent matches.
- All Boys first half results: 1 win, 8 draws, 6 losses in 15 recent matches.
- All Boys have drawn 8 of their last 15 first halves.
- Ciudad de Bolivar have drawn 8 of their last 15 first halves.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Ciudad de Bolivar's home advantage and All Boys' poor away second-half record give the hosts a slight edge to win the second period.
- Ciudad de Bolivar have won 4 second halves in their last 15 matches, drawn 8, lost 3.
- All Boys have won 2 second halves in their last 15 matches, drawn 6, lost 7.
- All Boys away: lost 7 of 10 matches, often conceding late.
- Ciudad de Bolivar home: won 3 of 10, but often stronger after halftime.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableCiudad de BolivarEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime followed by a Ciudad de Bolivar win is a plausible scenario given both teams' first-half passivity and All Boys' second-half away collapses.
- Ciudad de Bolivar have drawn at halftime in 8 of 15 recent matches.
- All Boys have drawn at halftime in 8 of 15 recent matches.
- Ciudad de Bolivar have won 3 of 10 home matches, often after a tight first half.
- All Boys have lost 7 of 10 away matches, with many defeats coming after a level first half.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Ciudad de BolivarEstimated chance25%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring profiles, especially All Boys' weak attack, making a low-scoring game very probable.
- Ciudad de Bolivar home matches average 2.2 total goals (11 scored, 11 conceded in 10 games).
- All Boys away matches average 2.2 total goals (6 scored, 16 conceded in 10 games).
- All Boys overall matches: 13 goals scored, 20 conceded in 20 games (1.65 total goals per game).
- Ciudad de Bolivar overall: 19 scored, 16 conceded in 20 games (1.75 total goals per game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' offensive struggles, especially on the road, suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- All Boys have failed to score in 10 of their 20 league matches this season.
- All Boys away: scored only 6 goals in 10 away games, failing to score in 5 of those.
- Ciudad de Bolivar home: kept 3 clean sheets in 10 home games.
- H2H: previous meeting ended 0-0.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with All Boys particularly goal-shy in first halves, making a 0-0 halftime scoreline likely.
- Ciudad de Bolivar first half goals: 0.5 per game overall, with 0.3 conceded.
- All Boys first half goals: 0.1 per game overall, with 0.5 conceded.
- All Boys have trailed at halftime in 27% of matches, led in only 7%.
- Ciudad de Bolivar have led at halftime in 27% of matches, trailed in 7%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Goals are more likely after the break as fatigue sets in and All Boys' away defense tends to crack in the second half.
- Ciudad de Bolivar average 0.6 second-half goals per game (1.1 total - 0.5 first half).
- All Boys concede 0.6 second-half goals per game (1.1 total - 0.5 first half).
- All Boys away: concede 1.6 goals per game on average, with many coming after halftime.
- Ciudad de Bolivar home: score 1.1 goals per game, often in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 0.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
All Boys' away scoring woes give Ciudad de Bolivar a chance at a clean sheet, though their own defensive record is not dominant.
- Ciudad de Bolivar have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 home matches.
- All Boys have failed to score in 5 of 10 away matches.
- All Boys average only 0.6 goals per away game.
- H2H: previous meeting ended 0-0.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAll Boys not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Ciudad de Bolivar's home attack is modest, and All Boys' away defense has shown occasional resilience, making multiple home goals unlikely.
- Ciudad de Bolivar home: scored 11 goals in 10 games (1.1 per game).
- Ciudad de Bolivar have scored 1 or fewer goals in 7 of their 10 home matches.
- All Boys away: conceded 16 goals in 10 games, but 5 clean sheets against them.
- All Boys have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonCiudad de Bolivar under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' away scoring record is abysmal, and Ciudad de Bolivar's home defense is decent, making an away goal unlikely.
- All Boys away: scored only 6 goals in 10 games, failing to score in 5.
- All Boys have scored 0 goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
- Ciudad de Bolivar home: conceded 11 goals in 10 games, with 3 clean sheets.
- All Boys overall: 13 goals in 20 games (0.65 per game).
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonAll Boys under 0.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 0W

D0-0All BoysvCiudad de BolívarMar 1, 2026PRI

0 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	Ciudad de Bolivar Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	20	7	9	4	19-16	30	LWLLD
13	All Boys	20	4	9	7	13-20	21	DDWLD

9pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Ciudad de Bolivar

L1-3Los AndesJul 11PRI

W3-1Godoy CruzJul 4PRI

L1-2CA EstudiantesJun 20PRI

L1-2Deportivo MoronJun 13PRI

D0-0Colon Santa FeJun 7PRI

D1-1San MiguelMay 31PRI

W1-0San TelmoMay 23PRI

W1-0AcassusoMay 16PRI

W1-0Chaco For EverMay 10PRI

L2-4Ferro Carril OesteMay 3PRI

W1-0Central NorteApr 26PRI

W1-0Deportivo MadrynApr 18PRI

D0-0Defensores De BelgranoApr 12PRI

W2-0Racing CordobaApr 5PRI

D0-0AgropecuarioMar 27PRI

All Boys

D1-1Almirante BrownJul 11PRI

D1-1Atletico MitreJul 5PRI

W1-0Defensores De BelgranoJun 21PRI

L1-2CA EstudiantesJun 14PRI

D1-1Racing CordobaJun 7PRI

D0-0Los AndesMay 30PRI

L0-4Godoy CruzMay 24PRI

W1-0Deportivo MoronMay 18PRI

L2-3Colon Santa FeMay 10PRI

D1-1San MiguelApr 30PRI

L0-1San TelmoApr 25PRI

D0-0AcassusoApr 18PRI

L0-2Chaco For EverApr 12PRI

D0-0Ferro Carril OesteApr 4PRI

D0-0Nueva ChicagoMar 29PRI

Squad & Injuries

Ciudad de Bolivar

29 available

Attackers7

Midfielders11

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

All Boys

29 available

Attackers8

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 0.5

Under 0.5

Ciudad de Bolivar or Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals6 of 7 landed

Markets to Avoid

Ciudad de Bolivar or Draw

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Ciudad de Bolivar

All Boys

Squad & Injuries

Ciudad de Bolivar

All Boys