Draw
Market 58% · BetBugs 65%
All Boys' home first halves are drawn 82% of the time and they rarely score early, while Central Norte often trail but All Boys lack the cutting edge to capitalise.
Primera NacionalFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
All Boys' unbeaten home record and Central Norte's poor away form make the double chance (All Boys or Draw) a high-confidence safety play, but the best value lies in the first-half under 0.5 goals (+9 point edge) given the hosts' extremely slow starts at home.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 58% · BetBugs 65%
All Boys' home first halves are drawn 82% of the time and they rarely score early, while Central Norte often trail but All Boys lack the cutting edge to capitalise.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 60%
All Boys are extremely slow starters at home, averaging just 0.18 first-half goals, while Central Norte's away first-half scoring is also low at 0.33 per game.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 80% · Market 80%
All Boys are unbeaten at home this season (3W 8D) and Central Norte lose 67% of away matches, making the home/draw double a high-probability safety play.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Odds imply 40% probability, matching our 45% estimate; the edge is too thin for a medium-confidence call.
In 7 recent matches where All Boys was projected for Under 2.5 goals, the prediction was fulfilled 6 times. The average estimated probability was 77%, and the only miss occurred in an away match with an 80% probability. At home, All Boys has a perfect record with 3 fulfilled predictions out of 3.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | All Boys | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 13-22 | 23 |
| 17 | CA Central NorteRelegation | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14-23 | 22 |

