Primera NacionalFull time

Predictions graded

Estudiantes de Buenos Aires2All Boys1

HT 1–0Sun 14 Jun 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges1–325%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Jun 2026, 09:35 · Europe/Bucharest

A low-scoring, tight affair is expected between Estudiantes and relegation-threatened All Boys.

The best value lies in first-half under 0.5 goals (60% estimated probability vs. 50% implied) and under 2.5 total goals (80% vs. 75.2% implied). Avoid backing Estudiantes to win outright, as their modest home record offers no edge at current odds.

Context

AFA Zone A table on 7 June shows All Boys 16th with 16 points, two above 17th-place Central Norte.
- The bottom two teams in the zone are relegated, making every point critical.
All Boys' official site announced Giganti on 19 May.
- After the 30 May match, the club stated the team was still adapting to his instructions.
AFA Zone A table on 7 June has Estudiantes 10th with 20 points, equal to 8th and 9th.
- The top eight teams qualify for the promotion playoffs, so the incentive is immediate.
All Boys' away record this season: 0 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses.
- They have scored only 3 goals and conceded 13 in those 7 away games.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Estudiantes' strong recent form and All Boys' terrible away record, combined with H2H edge and All Boys' relegation pressure, make a home win the most likely single outcome.
- Estudiantes won 3 of last 5 matches (W3 D1 L1), including a 3-0 away win vs Chacarita Juniors.
- All Boys have 0 away wins in 7 attempts this season (D1 L6), scoring only 3 goals and conceding 13.
- H2H: Estudiantes won the most recent meeting 1-0 at home in 2026, and are unbeaten in last 3 H2H (W1 D2).
- All Boys are 16th, only 2 points above relegation, with a new coach (Giganti) still adapting the team.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonEstudiantes de Buenos AiresEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given All Boys' dreadful away form and Estudiantes' solid home record plus H2H dominance, Estudiantes avoiding defeat is highly probable.
- Estudiantes have lost only 2 of 7 home matches this season (W2 D3 L2).
- All Boys have not won away all season (D1 L6), with 6 losses in 7 away games.
- H2H: In last 3 meetings, Estudiantes have 1 win and 2 draws, no losses.
- Estudiantes are 10th, just outside playoff spots, needing points to stay in contention.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonEstudiantes de Buenos Aires or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The overwhelming trend of first-half draws for both sides, especially All Boys' inability to lead, points to a level score at the break.
- Estudiantes: 10 of last 15 matches were drawn at halftime.
- All Boys: 12 of last 15 matches were drawn at halftime.
- All Boys have led at halftime in 0 of 15 recent matches.
- H2H: Last 3 meetings were all draws at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A pattern of Estudiantes breaking the deadlock in the second half against a poor traveling All Boys side makes a draw/win HT/FT combination plausible.
- Estudiantes have won 3 of last 5 matches, with 2 of those wins coming after a drawn first half.
- All Boys have lost 6 of 7 away games, with 4 of those losses after a drawn first half.
- Estudiantes' home wins this season both came after a drawn first half.
- All Boys have not won a single away match this season.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Estudiantes de Buenos AiresEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistently low-scoring matches, with strong defensive trends and a history of tight H2H encounters, making under 2.5 goals very likely.
- Estudiantes' last 15 matches averaged 1.5 total goals (0.7 scored, 0.8 conceded).
- All Boys' last 15 matches averaged 1.5 total goals (0.5 scored, 1.0 conceded).
- In 7 home games, Estudiantes scored 4 and conceded 5, averaging 1.29 total goals.
- H2H: Last 3 meetings all had under 2.5 goals (0-0, 1-1, 1-0).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' severe away scoring struggles and Estudiantes' recent defensive solidity suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Estudiantes kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 matches, conceding only 2 goals in that span.
- All Boys failed to score in 4 of last 5 away matches, scoring only 1 goal in that period.
- All Boys have scored only 3 goals in 7 away games this season.
- H2H: In the most recent meeting, Estudiantes won 1-0 with a clean sheet.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Estudiantes' home clean sheet rate is modest, All Boys' away scoring impotence gives a reasonable chance for a home shutout.
- Estudiantes kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 matches overall.
- All Boys have failed to score in 4 of 7 away games this season.
- Estudiantes have 2 clean sheets in 7 home games this season.
- All Boys average only 0.43 goals per away game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostAll Boys not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are extremely slow starters, especially All Boys who rarely score before the break, making a goalless first half likely.
- Estudiantes' last 15 matches: 0.4 first-half goals scored, 0.5 conceded; 7 of last 15 had 0-0 at halftime.
- All Boys' last 15 matches: 0.1 first-half goals scored, 0.4 conceded; 10 of last 15 had 0-0 at halftime.
- All Boys have not scored a first-half goal in their last 10 matches.
- H2H: Last meeting was 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
With both teams tending to see more action after halftime, and All Boys' defense weakening late, at least one second-half goal is probable.
- Estudiantes scored 6 of their last 10 goals in the second half.
- All Boys conceded 10 of their last 16 goals in the second half.
- In 7 home games, Estudiantes scored 3 of 4 goals after halftime.
- All Boys' away matches: 10 of 13 goals conceded came in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
In the absence of direct corner stats, the low-event nature of this matchup and league trends support a lower corner count.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Low-scoring, tight matches typically produce fewer corners.
- Both teams average low possession and shots, suggesting limited corner opportunities.
- Primera Nacional matches often feature below-average corner counts.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Without specific card stats, the league average and lack of disciplinary red flags suggest a moderate card count, leaning under the line.
- Card data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Neither team has reported significant disciplinary issues in available data.
- The match context (relegation pressure) could increase tension, but no concrete evidence of high card counts.
- Primera Nacional averages around 4-5 cards per game.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

D0-0All BoysvCA EstudiantesSep 8, 2024PRI

D1-1CA EstudiantesvAll BoysApr 20, 2024PRI

L2-0CA EstudiantesvAll BoysOct 8, 2022PRI

W1-2CA EstudiantesvAll BoysMay 8, 2019PRI

W0-2All BoysvCA EstudiantesNov 25, 2018PRI

Estudiantes de Buenos Aires: 2 clean sheetsAll Boys: 2 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
10	Estudiantes de Buenos Aires	16	5	5	6	10-13	20
16	All Boys	16	3	7	6	9-16	16

4pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Estudiantes de Buenos Aires

D0-0Los AndesJun 6PRI

W1-0Godoy CruzMay 30PRI

L0-2Deportivo MoronMay 24PRI

D1-1Colon Santa FeMay 16PRI

D1-1San MiguelMay 9PRI

D1-1San TelmoMay 2PRI

W1-0AcassusoApr 26PRI

D0-0Chaco For EverApr 19PRI

W1-0Ferro Carril OesteApr 12PRI

W1-0Central NorteApr 4PRI

W3-0Chacarita JuniorsMar 29PRI

L0-3Deportivo MadrynMar 21PRI

L0-2Defensores De BelgranoMar 14PRI

L0-1Almirante BrownMar 1PRI

L0-1Atletico MitreFeb 23PRI

All Boys

D1-1Racing CordobaJun 7PRI

D0-0Los AndesMay 30PRI

L0-4Godoy CruzMay 24PRI

W1-0Deportivo MoronMay 18PRI

L2-3Colon Santa FeMay 10PRI

D1-1San MiguelApr 30PRI

L0-1San TelmoApr 25PRI

D0-0AcassusoApr 18PRI

L0-2Chaco For EverApr 12PRI

D0-0Ferro Carril OesteApr 4PRI

D0-0Nueva ChicagoMar 29PRI

L0-1Central NorteMar 22PRI

W1-0Deportivo MadrynMar 14PRI

D0-0Ciudad de BolívarMar 1PRI

L1-2Almirante BrownFeb 22PRI

Squad & Injuries

Estudiantes de Buenos Aires

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

All Boys

29 available

Attackers8

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper2

Estudiantes de Buenos Aires2All Boys1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Estudiantes de Buenos Aires or Draw

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Yes

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Estudiantes de Buenos Aires

All Boys

Squad & Injuries

Estudiantes de Buenos Aires

All Boys