Hestrafors IF0Onsala BK1

HT 0–0Fri 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–936%

Edges1–325%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Oct 2026, 16:43 · Europe/Bucharest

Third-placed Hestrafors host an Onsala side that has won two of the last three meetings, including a 5-1 in May, yet Hestrafors have won six of eight tracked home games since 22 May.

A home win looks the likeliest result, and at 1.95 it carries a small edge, as do Hestrafors leading at half-time at 2.38 and under 2.5 goals at 2.9. Over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.18 is not a price to back.

Context

Onsala's record against Hestrafors includes the biggest scoreline in the recent series.
Only three meetings sit in the tracked record, so this is a small sample, but the 5-1 on 16 May 2026 is both the most recent and the heaviest result in it. Hestrafors won the August 2025 meeting 1-0 at Onsala, while Onsala's other win was 3-1 at Hestrafor in May 2025, so the visitors have already taken a result at this ground. That head-to-head is the main counterweight to Hestrafors' home form.
- 16 May 2026: Onsala 5-1 Hestrafor, Division 2 - Västra Götaland
- 23 August 2025: Onsala 0-1 Hestrafor
- 23 May 2025: Hestrafor 1-3 Onsala
- Head-to-head sample: three meetings in the tracked record
Hestrafors' home scoring rate is the strongest part of their tracked record.
Eight matches is a small sample, but Hestrafors score 2.5 goals a game at home and only one of those eight ended without the visitors scoring. The split also contains two defeats, so the home record is good rather than flawless. It is the away side's best argument that the six wins are not automatic.
- Hestrafors home split since 22 May 2026: 8 matches, 6W 0D 2L
- Home: 2.5 goals scored and 1.375 conceded per game
- Both teams scored in 7 of the 8 home matches; 1 home clean sheet
Onsala concede more after half-time away from home than before it.
The away split is no better than Onsala's home record of two wins and two draws in eight, and the goals conceded rise from 1.625 per game at home to 1.86 away. The sharpest part comes after half-time: 0.43 goals scored against 1.29 conceded per away match, compared with 0.86 and 0.57 before the break. Seven matches is a small sample, so this is a lean rather than a settled pattern.
- Onsala away split since 22 May 2026: 7 matches, 2W 1D 4L
- Away: 1.29 goals scored, 1.86 conceded per game
- Second half away: 0.43 scored, 1.29 conceded per game
- First half away: 0.86 scored, 0.57 conceded per game

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Hestrafors have a strong home record and score heavily at home, while Onsala struggle away with only two wins in seven.
- Hestrafors home record: 6W 0D 2L in 8 matches
- Hestrafors overall: 9W 4D 2L in 15 matches
- Onsala away record: 2W 1D 4L in 7 matches
- Hestrafors home goals for average: 2.5
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHestrafors IFEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.38
The read
Hestrafors score early at home and often lead at the break, while Onsala have a modest first-half away scoring rate.
- Hestrafors first half goals for at home: 1.375
- Hestrafors first half goals against at home: 0.5
- Onsala first half goals for away: 0.86
- Hestrafors led at half-time in 4 of last 6
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostHestrafors IFEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors are stronger after the break at home, while Onsala concede more second-half goals away and often lose the second half.
- Hestrafors second half goals for at home: 1.125
- Hestrafors second half goals against at home: 0.875
- Onsala second half goals for away: 0.43
- Onsala second half goals against away: 1.29
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostHestrafors IFEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors score early at home and often lead at the break, while Onsala have a modest first-half away scoring rate. Both teams have relatively low first-half concession rates and have gone into the break level in recent matches, making a draw at half-time plausible.
- Hestrafors first half goals for at home: 1.375
- Hestrafors first half goals against at home: 0.5
- Onsala first half goals against away: 0.57
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonHestrafors IF or DrawEstimated chance78%

Goals4 of 10 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are involved in high-scoring matches, with Hestrafors home games averaging nearly four goals and Onsala away games over three.
- Hestrafors home average total goals: 3.88
- Onsala away average total goals: 3.15
- Hestrafors overall average total goals: 3.8
- Onsala overall average total goals: 3.0
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors home games almost always see both teams score, and Onsala have scored in most away matches, so both teams scoring is likely.
- Hestrafors home: both teams scored in 7 of 8
- Onsala away: both teams scored in 5 of 7
- Hestrafors overall: both teams scored in 13 of 15
- Onsala overall: both teams scored in 9 of 15
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors score heavily at home and Onsala concede nearly two goals per away game, so Hestrafors are likely to score at least twice.
- Hestrafors home goals for average: 2.5
- Hestrafors scored 2+ in 4 of last 6
- Hestrafors home: 6W 0D 2L
- Onsala away goals against average: 1.86
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostHestrafors IF over 1.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Onsala have a low away scoring rate and have often been limited to one goal or fewer, so under 1.5 is likely.
- Onsala away goals for average: 1.29
- Onsala scored 0 or 1 in 4 of last 6
- Hestrafors home goals against average: 1.375
- Onsala away: 2W 1D 4L
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonOnsala BK under 1.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Onsala have scored in almost every away match, so Hestrafors are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.
- Hestrafors home clean sheets: 1 in 8
- Onsala away scored in 6 of 7
- Hestrafors home goals against average: 1.375
- Onsala away goals for average: 1.29
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonOnsala BK to scoreEstimated chance86%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors have scored in every match this season and average 2.5 goals at home, so Onsala are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.
- Hestrafors scored in all 8 home matches in tracked window
- Hestrafors home goals for average: 2.5
- Onsala away clean sheets: 2 in 7
- Hestrafors overall scored in all 15 matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostHestrafors IF to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors often win at home but rarely without conceding, so a win to nil is not likely.
- Hestrafors home clean sheets: 1 in 8
- Hestrafors home wins: 6 in 8
- Onsala away scored in 6 of 7
- Hestrafors home goals against average: 1.375
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance89%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18
The read
Both teams average close to one first-half goal, and Hestrafors in particular score early at home, so at least one first-half goal is likely.
- Hestrafors first half goals for at home: 1.375
- Onsala first half goals for away: 0.86
- Hestrafors first half goals against at home: 0.5
- Onsala first half goals against away: 0.57
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance80%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors rarely concede in the first half at home and Onsala often fail to score early away, so both teams scoring in the first half is unlikely.
- Both teams scored in first half in 2 of Hestrafors' last 6
- Both teams scored in first half in 1 of Onsala's last 6
- Hestrafors first half goals against at home: 0.5
- Onsala first half goals against away: 0.57
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves in these teams' matches often produce at least two goals, with Onsala conceding heavily after the break away.
- Hestrafors second half total average at home: 2.0
- Onsala second half total average away: 1.72
- Over 1.5 in 3 of Hestrafors' last 6 second halves
- Over 1.5 in 4 of Onsala's last 6 second halves
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance56%