IF Boljan or Draw
Market 69% · BetBugs 72%
IF Boljan are unbeaten in 80% of home matches this season, while Onsala have lost half their away games, making the home/draw double chance a high-probability outcome.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
IF Boljan's strong home form (80% unbeaten) and Onsala's leaky away defense (2.0 goals conceded per game) make the Double Chance (IF Boljan or Draw) at 1.44 the top value play, with a +3 percentage point edge.
Avoid the Over 2.5 goals market at short odds, as our 58% probability lags the 72.5% implied chance, and the straight home win offers no value despite Boljan's favorable setup.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 69% · BetBugs 72%
IF Boljan are unbeaten in 80% of home matches this season, while Onsala have lost half their away games, making the home/draw double chance a high-probability outcome.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams' home/away splits show high-scoring trends, with IF Boljan's home games averaging 3.6 total goals and Onsala's away games 3.2, supporting a push beyond the 3.5 line.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
IF BoljanBetBugs 42% · Market 47%
IF Boljan's home form is solid but not dominant enough to justify a 47% implied probability; the market may be slightly overrating the hosts.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | IF Boljan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19-17 | 19 |
| 9 | Onsala BK | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17-19 | 14 |

