Hestrafors IF or Draw
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 72%
Hestrafors IF's strong H2H record and home advantage make them unlikely to lose, and the double chance odds offer a significant edge over our estimated probability.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is on Hestrafors IF or Draw (double chance) at 1.70, with a 13.2-point edge over the implied probability.
Avoid the match winner and over 2.5/3.5 goals markets, as the odds already reflect the H2H and scoring trends, leaving no value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 72%
Hestrafors IF's strong H2H record and home advantage make them unlikely to lose, and the double chance odds offer a significant edge over our estimated probability.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Hestrafors IFBetBugs 45% · Market 47.6%
H2H dominance (3 wins) and higher league position support Hestrafors IF, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate, leaving no value.
BetBugs 75% · Market 77.5%
Both teams average over 2 goals scored and conceded per match, and all H2H meetings produced over 3.5 goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 58.8% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate for a home win; the draw no bet price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hestrafors IF | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 34-29 | 27 |
| 9 | Qviding FIF | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33-31 | 22 |

