Jonsereds IF
Market 44.4% · BetBugs 45%
Jonsereds IF's stronger home record (4W-3D-1L) and higher league position give them a slight edge, but the odds are close to fair.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Jonsereds IF or Draw at 1.44 – the model gives a 75% chance versus the implied 69.4%, a clear value edge.
Avoid over 2.5 goals at 1.38, as the market overestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Jonsereds IFMarket 44.4% · BetBugs 45%
Jonsereds IF's stronger home record (4W-3D-1L) and higher league position give them a slight edge, but the odds are close to fair.
Market 69.4% · BetBugs 75%
Jonsereds IF have lost only once at home this season, while Onsala BK have lost 3 of 8 away games, making home or draw highly likely.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 72.5%
Jonsereds' home games average 3.9 total goals and H2H meetings have produced goals, but the odds heavily favor Over 2.5 and leave no value at 1.38.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 56% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jonsereds IF | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28-27 | 28 |
| 10 | Onsala BK | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24-24 | 21 |

